AMBA Earnings Prediction
The chart below shows how AMBA performed 10 days before and after its earnings report, based on data from the past quarters. Typically, AMBA sees a -7.93% change in stock price 10 days leading up to the earnings, and a -2.34% change 10 days following the report. On the earnings day itself, the stock moves by +2.21%. This data can give you a slight idea of what to expect for the next quarter's release.
AMBA Key Earning Data
2024/Q4
Year Over Year
Quarter Over Quarter
Total Revenue
82.65M
63.36%
29.70%
Gross Margin
60.55%
2.18%
-0.39%
Operating Margin
-30.86%
-62.79%
-45.80%
Net Margin
-29.12%
-64.68%
-46.81%
EPS
-0.58
-44.23%
-31.76%
No Data Available
AMBA Earnings Analysis
Ambarella, Inc. Ordinary Shares Corporation (AMBA.O) Earnings Conference Call
Positive
Strong Revenue Performance: Our third quarter revenue was above the high end of our guidance range, increasing about 30% sequentially in both our auto and IoT business.
Record AI Revenue Growth: We achieved a record level of AI revenue, which contributed to a higher blended average selling price.
Revenue Forecast Increase: We are forecasting fiscal 2025 revenue to increase by 22% to 24% year-over-year versus our prior estimate for revenue growth in the mid-to-high teens.
AI SoC Development Update: During the third quarter, we received the first silicon of our CV3-AD65 AI SoC, which targets advanced Level 2+ applications, including mass-market passenger vehicles.
Positive Operating Cash Flow: We generated positive operating cash flow of $6.6 million in the quarter and $8.4 million through the first three quarters of fiscal 2025.
Negative
Q3 Revenue Performance: Revenue for Q3 was $82.7 million, which is below the high end of guidance range, indicating a sequential increase of only 30% from the prior quarter and a year-over-year increase of 63%.
Gross Margin Analysis: Non-GAAP gross margin for fiscal Q3 was 62.6%, at the lower end of prior guidance due to product mix, which negatively impacted revenue from certain legacy processors.
Operating Expense Management: Non-GAAP operating expense was $49.1 million, about $900,000 lower than the midpoint of prior guidance range, driven by continued expense management and timing of spending between quarters.
Non-GAAP Net Profit Decline: The company reported a non-GAAP net profit of $4.5 million or $0.11 of earnings per diluted share, which is lower than expected due to various operational challenges.
Q4 Revenue Forecast Decline: The forecast for fiscal Q4 revenue is expected to be in the range of $76 million to $80 million, indicating a slight sequential decline in both IoT and auto segments.
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AMBA Earning Call Sentiment
Ambarella, Inc. (AMBA) Q3 2025 Earnings Call Transcript
1.0x
00:00
00:00
AMBA.O
1.84%Positive
The earnings report shows strong revenue growth and a return to profitability, but guidance remains cautious due to market volatility and regulatory pressures. Positive factors include strong AI product demand and effective expense management, but these are offset by automotive sector challenges and supply chain dependencies. The Q&A reveals optimism for IoT and AI, but automotive growth is slower than expected. Given the company's small market cap, the stock may react more strongly, but the mixed signals suggest a neutral short-term impact.
