The chart below shows how STR performed 10 days before and after its earnings report, based on data from the past quarters. Typically, STR sees a -0.90% change in stock price 10 days leading up to the earnings, and a -0.23% change 10 days following the report. On the earnings day itself, the stock moves by +0.08%. This data can give you a slight idea of what to expect for the next quarter's release.
Positive
Production Rate Surge: 1. Strong Production Growth: Sitio achieved a production rate of nearly 38,600 BOEs per day in Q3 2024, with half of that being oil, exceeding expectations and enhancing the 2024 outlook.
Strategic Acquisitions Impact: 2. Successful Acquisitions: The company closed five new acquisitions totaling approximately $22 million, adding over 2,300 NRAs in the DJ Basin, which supports future production growth.
Debt Reduction Achievements: 3. Debt Reduction: Sitio reduced total debt by nearly $60 million over the last quarter, contributing to a healthier balance sheet and lower interest expenses on a per barrel basis.
Capital Return Commitment: 4. Significant Return of Capital: Since becoming public in June 2022, Sitio has returned over $765 million to shareholders through dividends and share buybacks, demonstrating a strong commitment to capital return.
Line of Sight Wells Growth: 5. Increased Line of Sight Wells: The company reported a solid 11% increase in net line of sight wells compared to the previous quarter, indicating strong future operator activity and confidence in production sustainability.
Negative
Cash Flow Decline: 1. Declining Cash Flow: Sitio reported a decrease in free cash flow, with a cash flow from operations of $30 million, down from $45 million in the previous quarter.
Debt Management Challenges: 2. Increased Debt Levels: Despite reducing total debt by nearly $60 million, the company still carries a significant debt load, with total debt remaining at $400 million, indicating ongoing leverage concerns.
Modest Production Increase: 3. Lower Production Guidance: The company raised its production guidance by only 1,000 BOEs per day, which is a modest increase compared to previous quarters, suggesting potential stagnation in growth.
Rising Operating Costs: 4. High Operating Costs: The average D&C costs per foot for new wells have increased, with Civitas reporting 5% higher costs for new lateral wells compared to previous averages, impacting overall profitability.
Share Buyback Reduction: 5. Reduced Share Buybacks: Sitio's share buyback program saw a reduction, with only $29 million spent in the last quarter, down from $50 million in previous quarters, indicating a tightening of capital allocation.
Sitio Royalties Corp. (STR) Q3 2024 Earnings Call Transcript
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