Should You Buy Hafnia Ltd (HAFN) Today? Analysis, Price Targets, and 2026 Outlook.
Conclusion
Hold
Latest Price
6.090
1 Day change
1.00%
52 Week Range
6.640
Analysis Updated At
2026/01/28
Not a good long-term buy right now at ~$6.05. The chart is strong short-term, but price is stretched near resistance while the latest quarter (2025/Q3) showed sharp YoY declines in revenue, net income, and EPS—weakening the long-term setup for a beginner investor deploying $50k–$100k. I’d hold off on initiating a new long-term position here.
Technical Analysis
Trend/Momentum: Bullish. Moving averages are stacked positively (SMA_5 > SMA_20 > SMA_200) and MACD histogram is above zero and expanding (0.0365), confirming upward momentum.
Overbought/Entry quality: RSI(6) at ~72.4 suggests the stock is getting stretched in the short term.
Levels: Pivot 5.843. Support S1 5.675 (then S2 5.571). Resistance R1 6.011 has been cleared and price (~6.05) is now pressing toward R2 6.115, which creates near-term “overhead” resistance.
Near-term odds (pattern-based): model implies modest downside bias over the next week (-3.08%) despite a better 1-month expectation (+3.23%), which supports waiting rather than buying immediately at resistance.
**Intellectia Proprietary Trading Signals**
- [AI Stock Picker](module://ai_stock_pick): no signal on given stock today.
- [SwingMax](module://swingmax): No signal on given stock recently.
Options Data
Bullish
Open Interest Put-Call Ratio
Bullish
Option Volume Put-Call Ratio
Sentiment: Bullish positioning skew (very low put/call ratios) suggests traders are leaning upside.
Activity/heat: Today’s option volume is elevated vs 30-day average (~205%), indicating heightened interest.
Risk pricing: Implied vol (30D) ~57.6 vs historical vol ~32.6 and IV percentile ~73 indicates options are pricing elevated uncertainty; sentiment is optimistic, but the market is charging a premium for that exposure.
Technical Summary
Sell
2
Buy
11
Positive Catalysts
- Technical momentum is clearly bullish (MA stack + positive MACD).
- Options market positioning is strongly call-skewed (bullish sentiment).
- Analyst action: Fearnley upgraded to Buy with NOK 68 target, citing improved risk/reward at current levels.
Neutral/Negative Catalysts
- No positive news catalysts in the past week.
- Short-term setup is extended: RSI > 70 and price is near R2 (~6.115), which often caps near-term upside.
- Latest quarter fundamentals weakened materially YoY (net income and EPS down ~57%), which is a negative for long-term conviction.
- No notable confirming accumulation signals from hedge funds/insiders (both neutral).
Financial Performance
Latest quarter: 2025/Q3.
Growth trend: Deteriorating YoY.
- Revenue: 586,882,000 (-18.46% YoY)
- Net income: 91,503,000 (-57.57% YoY)
- EPS: 0.18 (-57.14% YoY)
These declines suggest profitability is compressing significantly versus last year, which weakens the long-term “buy and hold” case at this moment.
Growth
Profitability
Efficiency
Analyst Ratings and Price Target Trends
Recent trend: Limited data, but the notable change is constructive—on 2025-12-02 Fearnley upgraded Hafnia to Buy from Hold with a NOK 68 price target, arguing risk/reward improved at current share levels.
Wall Street-style pros: improving perceived valuation/risk-reward, supportive technical momentum.
Cons: earnings power is clearly down YoY (2025/Q3), and the setup looks short-term overextended near resistance.
Wall Street analysts forecast HAFN stock price to rise over the next 12 months. According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for HAFN is 8.37 USD with a low forecast of 6.73 USD and a high forecast of 10 USD. However, analyst price targets are subjective and often lag stock prices, so investors should focus on the objective reasons behind analyst rating changes, which better reflect the company's fundamentals.
2 Analyst Rating
Wall Street analysts forecast HAFN stock price to rise over the next 12 months. According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for HAFN is 8.37 USD with a low forecast of 6.73 USD and a high forecast of 10 USD. However, analyst price targets are subjective and often lag stock prices, so investors should focus on the objective reasons behind analyst rating changes, which better reflect the company's fundamentals.
2 Buy
0 Hold
0 Sell
Moderate Buy
Current: 6.030
Low
6.73
Averages
8.37
High
10
Current: 6.030
Low
6.73
Averages
8.37
High
10
Fearnley
Hold
to
Buy
upgrade
$68
AI Analysis
2025-12-02
Reason
Fearnley
Price Target
$68
AI Analysis
2025-12-02
upgrade
Hold
to
Buy
Reason
Fearnley upgraded Hafnia to Buy from Hold with a NOK 68 price target. The firm sees an improved risk/reward at current share levels.
Fearnley
Buy
to
Hold
downgrade
$65
2025-09-03
Reason
Fearnley
Price Target
$65
2025-09-03
downgrade
Buy
to
Hold
Reason
Fearnley downgraded Hafnia to Hold from Buy with a NOK 65 price target.
Unlock Full Analyst Thesis， Get the complete breakdown of rating reason for HAFN
