Should You Buy Goodyear Tire & Rubber Co (GT) Today? Analysis, Price Targets, and 2026 Outlook.
Conclusion
Hold
Latest Price
9.590
1 Day change
1.48%
52 Week Range
12.030
Analysis Updated At
2026/01/28
GT is not a good buy right now for a Beginner long-term investor with $50k–$100k who wants to deploy capital immediately. The setup is mostly sideways-to-soft (limited technical momentum, weak near-term statistical trend), financials still show pressured revenue/margins and large losses, and there are no proprietary buy signals today. If you already own it, holding into the next earnings (2026-02-11) is reasonable, but I would not initiate a fresh long-term position at the current ~$9.44 without a clearer turn in fundamentals or a technical breakout.
Technical Analysis
Price/Trend: GT closed at 9.44 (-1.05% on the day), sitting just above the pivot (9.288). Moving averages are converging, which typically signals consolidation rather than a strong uptrend.
Momentum: MACD histogram is slightly positive (0.0129) but contracting, implying bullish momentum is fading. RSI(6) at ~56.9 is neutral—no oversold bounce signal.
Levels to watch: Support S1 8.969 (then S2 8.772). Resistance R1 9.607 (then R2 9.804). A convincing move above ~9.61 would improve the bullish case; a breakdown below ~8.97 would turn the chart more clearly bearish.
Near-term pattern odds: Similar-pattern analysis suggests a mild negative drift (-0.54% next week, -1.27% next month), which does not favor chasing a long entry today.
Intellectia Proprietary Trading Signals
- [AI Stock Picker](module://ai_stock_pick): No signal on given stock today.
- [SwingMax](module://swingmax): No signal on given stock today.
Options Data
Bullish
Open Interest Put-Call Ratio
Bullish
Option Volume Put-Call Ratio
Sentiment/Positioning: Put/call ratios are low (OI PCR 0.63; Volume PCR 0.18), which is generally bullish (more call interest/volume than puts).
Activity: Today’s options volume is elevated vs its 30-day average (~159.9%), suggesting increased attention/speculation.
Volatility: 30D IV ~48.6 vs historical vol ~45.9 (slightly higher implied), with IV percentile ~54 (mid-range). This points to moderate event/uncertainty pricing rather than extreme fear.
Read-through: Options flow leans bullish, but it looks more like speculative interest than a confirmed, durable long-term turn—especially since the chart trend and fundamentals aren’t clearly improving yet.
Technical Summary
Sell
2
Buy
10
Positive Catalysts
3) Some sell-side support: Deutsche Bank reiterates Buy and recently raised its price target to $12 (2026-01-22).
Neutral/Negative Catalysts
1) Latest quarter (2025/Q3) shows revenue down (-3.71% YoY) and gross margin down (-7.06% YoY), which is not what you want for a clean long-term turnaround.
2) Profitability is still deeply negative in the reported snapshot (net income and EPS remain negative), even though YoY comparisons improved (likely aided by base effects/non-recurring items).
3) No recent news-driven catalysts in the past week; absent fresh drivers, the stock may continue to drift.
4) Mixed Wall Street view: Morgan Stanley remains Underweight (even after raising PT to $7.30), indicating persistent skepticism.
5) Technical momentum is not strong (MACD positive but fading; neutral RSI; consolidation under resistance).
Financial Performance
Latest reported quarter: 2025/Q3.
- Revenue: 4.645B, down 3.71% YoY (top-line pressure).
- Gross Margin: 18.17%, down 7.06% YoY (margin compression).
- Net Income: -2.195B, up 6355.88% YoY (improvement YoY but still a large loss).
- EPS: -7.62, up 6250% YoY (improvement YoY but still negative).
Bottom line: The YoY improvement is notable, but the business still appears profitability-challenged in this snapshot, with weakening revenue and margins—this weakens the case for an immediate long-term buy today.
Growth
Profitability
Efficiency
Analyst Ratings and Price Target Trends
Recent trend: Price targets have been moving up slightly overall, but ratings remain mixed.
- Deutsche Bank (2026-01-22): Raised PT to $12 (from $10), reiterated Buy.
- Morgan Stanley (2025-11-28): Raised PT to $7.30 (from $6.88), kept Underweight.
- Citi (2025-11-11): Cut PT to $9 (from $10), kept Neutral.
- Deutsche Bank (2025-11-05): Cut PT to $10 (from $11), kept Buy.
Wall Street pros: Turnaround/self-help and potential margin recovery; at least one major bank sees meaningful upside to $12.
Wall Street cons: Not everyone believes in the turnaround durability (Underweight from Morgan Stanley), and PT dispersion reflects uncertainty.
Influential/political flows: Hedge funds and insiders are neutral; no recent Congress trading data available in the last 90 days.
Wall Street analysts forecast GT stock price to rise over the next 12 months. According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for GT is 9.86 USD with a low forecast of 7.3 USD and a high forecast of 13 USD. However, analyst price targets are subjective and often lag stock prices, so investors should focus on the objective reasons behind analyst rating changes, which better reflect the company's fundamentals.
5 Analyst Rating
Wall Street analysts forecast GT stock price to rise over the next 12 months. According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for GT is 9.86 USD with a low forecast of 7.3 USD and a high forecast of 13 USD. However, analyst price targets are subjective and often lag stock prices, so investors should focus on the objective reasons behind analyst rating changes, which better reflect the company's fundamentals.
3 Buy
1 Hold
1 Sell
Moderate Buy
Current: 9.450
Low
7.3
Averages
9.86
High
13
Current: 9.450
Low
7.3
Averages
9.86
High
13
Deutsche Bank
Buy
maintain
$10 -> $12
AI Analysis
2026-01-22
Reason
Deutsche Bank
Price Target
$10 -> $12
AI Analysis
2026-01-22
maintain
Buy
Reason
Deutsche Bank raised the firm's price target on Goodyear Tire to $12 from $10 and keeps a Buy rating on the shares as part of a Q4 earnings preview.
Morgan Stanley
Javier Martinez de Olcoz Cerdan
Underweight
maintain
2025-11-28
Reason
Morgan Stanley
Javier Martinez de Olcoz Cerdan
Price Target
2025-11-28
maintain
Underweight
Reason
Morgan Stanley analyst Javier Martinez de Olcoz Cerdan raised the firm's price target on Goodyear Tire to $7.30 from $6.88 and keeps an Underweight rating on the shares after incorporating Q3 numbers into Goodyear's model and lifting its 2025-27 EPS estimates by 5%-9% on a quicker margin recovery thanks to self-help efforts.
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