Should I Buy GROV? GROV 2026 Analysis

Should You Buy Grove Collaborative Holdings Inc (GROV) Today? Analysis, Price Targets, and 2026 Outlook.

Conclusion

Hold

Latest Price

1.520

1 Day change

1.33%

52 Week Range

1.840

Analysis Updated At

2026/01/28

GROV is not a good buy right now for a beginner long-term investor who wants to act immediately. The stock is technically overbought near resistance, recent revenue is still shrinking (2025/Q3), and the options market is pricing extreme uncertainty. If you already own it, holding (not adding here) makes more sense than buying at today’s level.

Technical Analysis

Price: $1.50 (-0.66% vs prior close). Trend/momentum is improving short-term, but entry timing is poor. - MACD: Histogram +0.0332 and expanding above zero → bullish momentum building. - RSI(6): 87.95 → strongly overbought; risk of near-term pullback/consolidation is elevated. - Moving Averages: Converging → suggests a transition phase; price can chop around after a push. - Key levels: Pivot 1.343; Resistance R1 1.484 (price is slightly above it), next R2 1.572; Supports S1 1.202, S2 1.114. With RSI stretched and price near/above R1, upside to R2 is limited relative to downside back toward pivot/support. - Pattern-based forward odds: expected drift is slightly negative over the next week (-1.31%) and next month (-2.51%), which is not ideal for chasing today. **Intellectia Proprietary Trading Signals** - [AI Stock Picker](module://ai_stock_pick): No signal on given stock today. - [SwingMax](module://swingmax): No signal on given stock recently.

Options Data

Bullish

Open Interest Put-Call Ratio

Bullish

Option Volume Put-Call Ratio

- Put/Call (Open Interest) = 0.33 → positioning skews bullish (more calls than puts). - Volume is extremely light (3 calls, 0 puts) → today’s sentiment read is weak due to low participation. - Implied Volatility (30D): 584.49 with IV percentile 99.2 (rank 81.77) → options are pricing an unusually large move; this typically reflects high uncertainty and event/speculation more than steady long-term compounding conditions.

Technical Summary

Sell

Buy

Positive Catalysts

- Analyst support: Canaccord reiterated Buy and raised price target to $2 (from $1.50) on expectations that sales stabilize and return to growth into FY26 via new SKUs/categories.
- Profitability trend improving: 2025/Q3 net loss narrowed meaningfully and EPS improved (less negative).
- Gross margin slightly improved (53.33%).

Neutral/Negative Catalysts

- Core growth issue: 2025/Q3 revenue fell -9.42% YoY, meaning the top-line turnaround is not yet proven.
- Technical timing: RSI is extremely overbought while price sits near resistance (R1/R2 region).
- Options imply extreme uncertainty (very high IV), not a “steady long-term” setup.
- News flow provided is not a clear catalyst for GROV (the cited item references Cinch Home Services, not a direct GROV driver).
- No supportive positioning signal from hedge funds/insiders (both neutral).

Financial Performance

Latest quarter: 2025/Q3. - Revenue: $43.734M, down -9.42% YoY (negative growth trend). - Net income: -$3.335M, improved +120.86% YoY (loss narrowing materially). - EPS: -$0.08, improved +100% YoY. - Gross margin: 53.33%, up slightly (+0.57% YoY). Overall: margins/losses are improving, but the long-term story depends on revenue returning to consistent growth, which is not yet visible in the latest quarter.

Growth

Profitability

Efficiency

Analyst Ratings and Price Target Trends

Recent trend: Positive. On 2025-11-11, Canaccord raised its price target to $2 from $1.50 and maintained a Buy rating, citing expectations of sales stabilization and a return to YoY growth into FY26. Wall Street pros: credible upside case if management’s SKU/category expansion improves order economics and restores revenue growth. Wall Street cons: the latest reported quarter still shows YoY revenue decline, so the upgrade is based on a forward turnaround rather than confirmed current growth. Politicians/Influential trading: No recent congress trading data available (no signal from that channel).

1 Analyst Rating

Wall Street analysts forecast GROV stock price to rise over the next 12 months. According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for GROV is 2 USD with a low forecast of 2 USD and a high forecast of 2 USD. However, analyst price targets are subjective and often lag stock prices, so investors should focus on the objective reasons behind analyst rating changes, which better reflect the company's fundamentals.

1 Buy

0 Hold

0 Sell

Moderate Buy

Current: 1.500

Low

Averages

High

Current: 1.500

Low

Averages

High

Canaccord

Buy

maintain

AI Analysis

2025-11-11

Reason

Canaccord

Price Target

AI Analysis

2025-11-11

maintain

Buy

Reason

Canaccord raised the firm's price target on Grove Collaborative to $2 from $1.50 and keeps a Buy rating on the shares. The firm raised its target due to anticipating sales starting to stabilize and returning to consistent growth into FY26 and believes sales are on the cusp of returning to YOY growth as management adds new SKUs and categories to improve order economics.

Canaccord

Buy

downgrade

2025-08-08

Reason

Canaccord

Price Target

2025-08-08

downgrade

Buy

Reason

Canaccord lowered the firm's price target on Grove Collaborative to $1.50 from $3 and keeps a Buy rating on the shares. The firm noted they reported Q2 results with lower sales as Management noted that the decline primarily reflects the lagging effects of reduced advertising investment in 2024 and prior years, which led to a smaller active subscriber base entering 2025.

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GROV Should I Buy

GROV Should I Buy

Should You Buy Grove Collaborative Holdings Inc (GROV) Today? Analysis, Price Targets, and 2026 Outlook.

Technical Analysis

Options Data

Technical Summary

Positive Catalysts

Neutral/Negative Catalysts

Financial Performance

Growth

Profitability

Efficiency

Analyst Ratings and Price Target Trends

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