GRAL Valuation

Grail Inc

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34.240

+1.09(3.288%)1D

Overview
Forecast
Valuation
Earnings

GRAL Relative Valuation

GRAL's fair value is calculated using relative valuation, based on historical P/E and P/S ranges and their premiums/discounts relative to a competitor average, adjusted by weights. If the market price exceeds this fair value range, GRAL is overvalued; if below, it's undervalued.

Historical Valuation

Grail Inc (GRAL) is now in the Undervalued zone, suggesting that its current forward PS ratio of 7.30 is considered Undervalued compared with the five-year average of -1.34. The fair price of Grail Inc (GRAL) is between 57.62 to 85.59 according to relative valuation methord. Compared to the current price of 34.75 USD , Grail Inc is Undervalued By 39.69%.

Relative Value

Fair Zone

57.62-85.59

Current Price：34.75

39.69%

Undervalued

-2.34

Trailing

Forward

-2.18

EV/EBITDA

Grail Inc. (GRAL) has a current EV/EBITDA of -2.18. The 5-year average EV/EBITDA is -0.76. The thresholds are as follows: Strongly Undervalued below -2.88, Undervalued between -2.88 and -1.82, Fairly Valued between 0.31 and -1.82, Overvalued between 0.31 and 1.37, and Strongly Overvalued above 1.37. The current Forward EV/EBITDA of -2.18 falls within the Undervalued range.

-1.26

EV/EBIT

Grail Inc. (GRAL) has a current EV/EBIT of -1.26. The 5-year average EV/EBIT is -0.44. The thresholds are as follows: Strongly Undervalued below -1.87, Undervalued between -1.87 and -1.15, Fairly Valued between 0.28 and -1.15, Overvalued between 0.28 and 0.99, and Strongly Overvalued above 0.99. The current Forward EV/EBIT of -1.26 falls within the Undervalued range.

7.52

Grail Inc. (GRAL) has a current PS of 7.52. The 5-year average PS is 4.82. The thresholds are as follows: Strongly Undervalued below -2.53, Undervalued between -2.53 and 1.15, Fairly Valued between 8.49 and 1.15, Overvalued between 8.49 and 12.16, and Strongly Overvalued above 12.16. The current Forward PS of 7.52 falls within the Historic Trend Line -Fairly Valued range.

-4.53

P/OCF

Grail Inc. (GRAL) has a current P/OCF of -4.53. The 5-year average P/OCF is -2.00. The thresholds are as follows: Strongly Undervalued below -5.67, Undervalued between -5.67 and -3.84, Fairly Valued between -0.17 and -3.84, Overvalued between -0.17 and 1.67, and Strongly Overvalued above 1.67. The current Forward P/OCF of -4.53 falls within the Undervalued range.

-4.17

P/FCF

Grail Inc. (GRAL) has a current P/FCF of -4.17. The 5-year average P/FCF is -2.02. The thresholds are as follows: Strongly Undervalued below -5.79, Undervalued between -5.79 and -3.91, Fairly Valued between -0.13 and -3.91, Overvalued between -0.13 and 1.75, and Strongly Overvalued above 1.75. The current Forward P/FCF of -4.17 falls within the Undervalued range.

Grail Inc (GRAL) has a current Price-to-Book (P/B) ratio of 0.51. Compared to its 3-year average P/B ratio of 0.33 , the current P/B ratio is approximately 53.59% higher. Relative to its 5-year average P/B ratio of 0.33, the current P/B ratio is about 53.59% higher. Grail Inc (GRAL) has a Forward Free Cash Flow (FCF) yield of approximately -32.06%. Compared to its 3-year average FCF yield of -93.68%, the current FCF yield is approximately -65.78% lower. Relative to its 5-year average FCF yield of -93.68% , the current FCF yield is about -65.78% lower.

0.52

P/B

Median3y

0.33

Median5y

0.33

-31.11

FCF Yield

Median3y

-93.68

Median5y

-93.68

Competitors Valuation Multiple

The average P/S ratio for GRAL's competitors is 48.73, providing a benchmark for relative valuation. Grail Inc Corp (GRAL) exhibits a P/S ratio of 7.52, which is -84.57% above the industry average. Given its robust revenue growth of 11.18%, this premium appears unsustainable.

P/S

P/E

EV/EBITDA

EV/EBIT

P/S

Revenue Growth

Market Cap

BioLife Solutions Inc

Establishment Labs Holdings Inc

Integra Lifesciences Holdings Corp

Pulse Biosciences Inc

266.76

1.15B

Performance Decomposition

Market capitalization of GRAL increased by 142.66% over the past 1 year. The primary factor behind the change was an decrease in P/E Change from -0.78 to -2.54.

The secondary factor is the Revenue Growth, contributed 11.18%to the performance.

Overall, the performance of GRAL in the past 1 year is driven by P/E Change. Which is more unsustainable.

11.18%

31.97M → 35.54M

Revenue Growth

-93.53%

-4.96K → -320.69

Margin Expansion

225.01%

-0.78 → -2.54

P/E Change

142.66%