Should You Buy Gulfport Energy Corp (GPOR) Today? Analysis, Price Targets, and 2026 Outlook.
Conclusion
Buy
Latest Price
202.090
1 Day change
1.67%
52 Week Range
225.780
Analysis Updated At
2026/01/28
Buy GPOR now for a long-term investor. The technical trend is firmly bullish (strong moving-average stack and expanding positive MACD), and options positioning is constructive (puts notably lighter than calls). While the stock is a bit stretched short-term (RSI ~70 and price sitting just below/around near-term resistance), the Street’s price targets still generally imply upside from ~$199, and the next major catalyst is Q4 (QDEC 2025) earnings on 2026-02-26.
Intellectia Proprietary Trading Signals
- [AI Stock Picker](module://ai_stock_pick): no signal on given stock today.
- [SwingMax](module://swingmax): No signal on given stock recently.
Technical Analysis
Trend/structure: Bullish. The moving averages are in a strong uptrend configuration (SMA_5 > SMA_20 > SMA_200), and MACD histogram is positive and expanding (2.291), supporting continuation strength.
Momentum: RSI_6 at ~70.1 signals the stock is getting extended; near-term pullbacks are possible, but it’s not showing a breakdown.
Levels: Pivot ~186.80 is the key support reference. Near-term resistance levels are R1 ~196.91 (already cleared/being tested) and R2 ~203.15. With price at 198.78, the next technical “battle zone” is ~203.
Pattern-based forward odds (provided): ~20% chance of +0.87% next day; -1.45% next week; +4.25% next month—consistent with mild near-term digestion but constructive 1-month bias.
Options Data
Bullish
Open Interest Put-Call Ratio
Bullish
Option Volume Put-Call Ratio
Sentiment read: Bullish/constructive. Open interest put/call of 0.4 and volume put/call of 0.5 suggest more call positioning than puts.
Activity/volatility: Today’s options volume is elevated versus average (30.61x), implying heightened attention. Implied volatility (30D ~36.66) is above historical volatility (~32.73), and IV percentile ~66 suggests options are relatively pricey—typically seen when traders are positioning for moves around catalysts (next earnings 2026-02-26).
3) Many analysts remain constructive with targets above spot (examples: UBS $264, Jefferies $260, JPMorgan $222, BofA $215).
4) Sector backdrop: commentary points to natural gas demand inflection; potential upside if gas pricing tightens.
5) Upcoming earnings (QDEC 2025) on 2026-02-26 could act as a catalyst if guidance/cash returns impress.
Neutral/Negative Catalysts
1) Short-term overextension risk: RSI ~70 and price near resistance (~203) can lead to near-term pullbacks.
2) Fundamental volatility: Q3 2025 net income and EPS were sharply down YoY despite revenue growth (suggesting earnings sensitivity to commodity prices/hedging/one-offs).
3) Analyst caution emerging: Wolfe downgraded to Peer Perform citing “near fair value”; BofA cut target due to 2027 oversupply risk.
4) No supportive near-week news flow; absent catalysts can mean consolidation.
5) Hedge funds/insiders: both neutral—no strong confirmation signal from positioning.
Financial Performance
Latest reported quarter: 2025/Q3.
- Revenue: $312.9M, up +44.92% YoY (strong top-line growth).
- Gross margin: 64.23, up +28.36% YoY (improved profitability at the gross level).
- Net income: $81.4M, down -640.55% YoY.
- EPS: 4.45, down -636.14% YoY.
Takeaway: Operations/revenue improved, but bottom-line results were materially weaker YoY, highlighting earnings sensitivity and potential non-operational impacts; this keeps GPOR more suitable as an “uptrend + cycle exposure” long-term buy rather than a conservative compounding profile.
Growth
Profitability
Efficiency
Analyst Ratings and Price Target Trends
Recent trend: Still broadly positive but less uniformly bullish.
- Positive/raised targets: UBS raised PT to $264 (Buy); Jefferies raised to $260 (Buy); JPMorgan raised to $222 (Overweight); several others raised targets in Nov.
- Offsetting caution: Wolfe downgraded to Peer Perform (no PT) citing no compelling reason versus peers; BofA lowered PT to $215 (kept Buy) due to longer-term gas oversupply risk.
Wall Street pros view (pros/cons): Pros—inventory/resource potential and constructive natural gas demand narrative; Cons—valuations closer to fair value after the run and longer-dated supply/price risk.
Influential/politician activity: No recent congress trading data available; no politician trading flagged in the provided data.
Wall Street analysts forecast GPOR stock price to rise over the next 12 months. According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for GPOR is 233.33 USD with a low forecast of 200 USD and a high forecast of 264 USD. However, analyst price targets are subjective and often lag stock prices, so investors should focus on the objective reasons behind analyst rating changes, which better reflect the company's fundamentals.
12 Analyst Rating
Wall Street analysts forecast GPOR stock price to rise over the next 12 months. According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for GPOR is 233.33 USD with a low forecast of 200 USD and a high forecast of 264 USD. However, analyst price targets are subjective and often lag stock prices, so investors should focus on the objective reasons behind analyst rating changes, which better reflect the company's fundamentals.
8 Buy
4 Hold
0 Sell
Moderate Buy
Current: 198.780
Low
200
Averages
233.33
High
264
Current: 198.780
Low
200
Averages
233.33
High
264
BofA
Buy
downgrade
$245 -> $215
AI Analysis
2026-01-16
Reason
BofA
Price Target
$245 -> $215
AI Analysis
2026-01-16
downgrade
Buy
Reason
BofA lowered the firm's price target on Gulfport Energy to $215 from $245 and keeps a Buy rating on the shares. Bullish sentiment on natural gas has persisted for 18 months, but the firm sees rising risk of oversupply in 2027, which combined with lower price forecasts drives an average 12% reduction in its price objectives among the gas-levered E&P group.
Wolfe Research
Outperform -> Peer Perform
downgrade
2026-01-05
Reason
Wolfe Research
Price Target
2026-01-05
downgrade
Outperform -> Peer Perform
Reason
Wolfe Research downgraded Gulfport Energy to Peer Perform from Outperform without a price targe. After lowering its long-term gas outlook, Wolfe sees "no compelling reason" to own Gulfport over its peers. The shares are trading near fair value, the analyst tells investors in a research note.
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