GPMT Earnings

GPMT reported its earnings on 2026-02-11, showcasing a revenue of 29.06M against an estimate of 10.70M, resulting in a 171.62% surprise. The EPS was -0.08, surpassing the expected -0.18 by 55.56%. The stock experienced a -11.45% price change on the earnings day and a -25.55% change over the next five days, reflecting market reactions to the results.

Following GPMT's earnings announcement on 2026-02-11, the stock price moved by -11.45% on the day of the release. Over the subsequent five days, it saw a -25.55% change. Historically, GPMT's stock price tends to shift by an average of -0.67% in the 10 days leading up to earnings and -2.95% in the 10 days following, providing insight into potential market.

For 2025/Q2, analysts estimate GPMT's annual revenue to reach 8.73M, while the EPS is projected at -0.85. These estimates reflect recent revisions, with revenue estimates unchanged by 0% and EPS estimates unchanged by 0% over the past three months, indicating analyst expectation in the company's performance.

The correlation between GPMT's stock price and earnings forecast revisions shows that positive revisions in revenue or EPS often strengthen the stock's fundamentals. Over the past three months, revenue estimates for FY2025 were unchanged by 0%, while EPS estimates moved unchanged by 0%. This trend suggests that price dips could present buying opportunities for investors.

Based on historical trends, GPMT's stock price typically moves by -0.67% in the 10 days before its earnings and -2.95% in the 10 days after. For the upcoming 2025/Q2 earnings, analysts expect an EPS of -0.85 and revenue of 8.73M.

The earnings call reveals several concerning factors: a GAAP net loss, increased CECL reserves, and a declining book value per share. The Q&A section highlights management's uncertainty regarding future losses and lack of clear guidance on book value trends. Despite some positive aspects like loan repayments, the overall sentiment is negative due to financial losses, increased reserves, and management's evasive responses. The market's reaction is likely to be negative, with a potential stock price decrease of 2% to 8% over the next two weeks.