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Access earnings results, analyst expectations, report, slides, earnings call, and transcript.
The earnings call reveals several negative factors: a Stop Work Order from BARDA, competitive pressures, and supply chain challenges. Although there is an increase in revenue due to the BARDA contract, its termination poses a financial risk. The Q&A section highlights management's lack of clarity on critical issues, further compounding uncertainties. Despite some positive financial metrics, the overall sentiment is negative due to these risks and uncertainties.
Revenue $1.6 million in Q1 2025 vs $0 in Q1 2024, an increase of $1.6 million due to the initiation of the BARDA contract in June 2024.
Research and Development Expenses $5.4 million in Q1 2025 vs $4.4 million in Q1 2024, an increase of $1 million or 21% primarily due to costs associated with the BARDA contract and Gedeptin and GEO-MVA programs.
General and Administrative Expenses $1.7 million in Q1 2025 vs $1.5 million in Q1 2024, an increase of $200,000 or 16% due to higher Investor Relations, consulting costs, and stock-based compensation.
Interest Income $47,000 in Q1 2025 vs $33,000 in Q1 2024, an increase of $14,000.
Net Loss $5.4 million in Q1 2025 or $0.45 per share vs $5.9 million in Q1 2024 or $2.47 per share, a decrease in net loss of $500,000.
Cash Balances $7.4 million as of March 31, 2025, compared to $5.5 million at December 31, 2024, reflecting $6 million used in operating activities offset by $7.9 million in financing transactions.
Outstanding Common Shares 15.2 million shares following recent financing activity.
GEO-CM04S1: GeoVax is committed to developing CM04S1, a next-generation multi-antigen COVID-19 vaccine, focusing on immunocompromised populations. The ongoing Phase 2 clinical trials will continue despite the termination of the BARDA contract.
GEO-MVA: The GEO-MVA vaccine candidate against mpox and smallpox has completed cGMP production and quality release of the clinical batch, with clinical evaluation anticipated later this year.
Gedeptin: Plans for a Phase II trial in head and neck cancer are underway, with additional studies planned for other solid tumors.
Market Positioning for GEO-MVA: GEO-MVA aims to expand the global supply of MVA vaccines, addressing epidemic outbreaks and stockpile opportunities, with significant governmental interest in U.S.-based supply chains.
Operational Impact of BARDA Contract Termination: The termination of the BARDA contract is expected to have a financial impact of less than $750,000 annually, primarily affecting reimbursement of personnel overhead costs.
Strategic Partnerships: GeoVax is pursuing strategic partnerships and collaborations to support the worldwide development and commercialization of its product portfolio.
Regulatory Issues: GeoVax received a Stop Work Order from BARDA, indicating the termination of the contract for convenience, which was unexpected and disappointing for the company.
Financial Impact: The termination of the BARDA contract is estimated to have a financial impact of less than $750,000 annually, primarily affecting reimbursement of existing personnel overhead costs.
Competitive Pressures: There is a risk of development of competitive products that may be more effective or easier to use than GeoVax’s products.
Supply Chain Challenges: The company acknowledges the significant governmental interest in U.S.-based supply chains, highlighting the current overdependence on non-U.S. suppliers.
Economic Factors: The ongoing government efficiency efforts may impact funding and support for projects like the BARDA contract.
Product Development Candidates: GeoVax is focused on advancing its portfolio of GEO-CM04S1, GEO-MVA, and Gedeptin, addressing unmet healthcare needs and aiming for expedited registration paths.
Advanced MVA Manufacturing Process: The advanced MVA manufacturing process is expected to provide a competitive advantage in the production of MVA-based vaccines and therapies.
Project NextGen: GeoVax received a Stop Work Order from BARDA regarding Project NextGen, which is expected to have a financial impact of less than $750,000 annually.
GEO-CM04S1 Vaccine: GeoVax is committed to developing CM04S1 as a next-generation COVID-19 vaccine, focusing on immunocompromised populations.
GEO-MVA Vaccine: GEO-MVA vaccine production is complete, with clinical evaluation anticipated later in 2025.
Gedeptin Trials: Plans for a Phase II Gedeptin trial in head and neck cancer are underway, with additional studies planned for other solid tumors.
Revenue Expectations: Revenues associated with the BARDA contract were $1.6 million in Q1 2025, but expected to decline due to contract termination.
R&D Expenses: Research and development expenses increased to $5.4 million in Q1 2025, primarily due to BARDA contract costs and Gedeptin and GEO-MVA programs.
Net Loss: Net loss for Q1 2025 was approximately $5.4 million, or $0.45 per share.
Cash Position: Cash balances at March 31, 2025, were $7.4 million, with ongoing clinical trials being a top priority for cash utilization.
Funding Strategies: GeoVax is exploring strategic partnerships, non-dilutive funding, and additional stock offerings to extend its cash runway.
Outstanding Common Shares: 15.2 million shares following recent financing activity.
Net Loss: Approximately $5.4 million or $0.45 per share for Q1 2025.
Cash Balances: $7.4 million as of March 31, 2025.
Revenues from BARDA Contract: $1.6 million in 2025, with a final settlement expected in Q2.
Financial Impact from BARDA Termination: Estimated at less than $750,000 annually.
Research and Development Expenses: $5.4 million in 2025, up from $4.4 million in 2024.
General and Administrative Expenses: $1.7 million in 2025, up from $1.5 million in 2024.
The earnings call revealed several challenges: declining revenue, increased net losses, and financial instability due to the BARDA contract termination. Despite positive developments in vaccine trials and potential partnerships, the Q&A highlighted concerns over manufacturing, supply chain, and financial vulnerabilities. The lack of clear guidance on critical issues further dampens sentiment. Overall, the negative aspects outweigh the positives, leading to a predicted stock price decline.
The earnings call summary and Q&A reveal mixed sentiments. While the company has strategic partnerships and optimistic plans, the net loss and cash balance raise concerns. The Q&A provided limited clarity on timelines and funding, indicating uncertainties. These factors, alongside a lack of strong financial metrics or guidance, suggest a neutral market reaction.
The earnings call reveals several negative factors: a Stop Work Order from BARDA, competitive pressures, and supply chain challenges. Although there is an increase in revenue due to the BARDA contract, its termination poses a financial risk. The Q&A section highlights management's lack of clarity on critical issues, further compounding uncertainties. Despite some positive financial metrics, the overall sentiment is negative due to these risks and uncertainties.
The earnings call reveals several negative factors: a Stop Work Order from BARDA, funding challenges, and competitive pressures. While there are some positives, such as increased revenue and no safety issues with the Mpox vaccine, these are overshadowed by regulatory and supply chain risks. The Q&A section highlights management's unclear responses and lack of guidance, further contributing to a negative sentiment. Considering these factors, the stock price is likely to experience a negative movement in the next two weeks.
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