Should You Buy Gogo Inc (GOGO) Today? Analysis, Price Targets, and 2026 Outlook.
Conclusion
Hold
Latest Price
4.540
1 Day change
52 Week Range
16.820
Analysis Updated At
2026/01/28
Not a good buy right now for a beginner long-term investor with $50k–$100k who doesn’t want to wait for a better entry. The stock is in a bearish trend (key moving averages stacked bearishly) and Wall Street has recently turned more cautious due to Starlink competition and a likely low-growth 2026. While insider buying and bullish-leaning options ratios are positives, the current setup does not offer a clean long-term entry today—avoid initiating a new position at $4.54.
Technical Analysis
Trend is bearish: SMA_200 > SMA_20 > SMA_5 indicates sustained downside pressure. RSI_6 at ~33 is near oversold, suggesting selling pressure may be stretched, but it is not a confirmed reversal signal by itself. MACD histogram is positive (0.0348) but contracting, implying weakening bullish momentum rather than a strong uptrend restart. Price is sitting near support: S1 ~4.56 and S2 ~4.44; a break below ~4.44 would reinforce downside risk. Near-term resistance levels to reclaim are ~4.76 (pivot) then ~4.96 and ~5.09.
Options Data
Bullish
Open Interest Put-Call Ratio
Bullish
Option Volume Put-Call Ratio
Options positioning is mildly bullish/less defensive (both put/call ratios below 1). Implied volatility is elevated (30D IV ~64% vs historical ~62%), but IV rank is low (~16.9) and IV percentile is mid (~42), suggesting options aren’t pricing extreme fear. Volume is very light versus recent averages (today 224 vs 5D/10D avg 482/637), so the sentiment read is supportive but not high-conviction.
Technical Summary
Sell
9
Buy
3
Positive Catalysts
Insiders are buying aggressively (reported buying amount up ~418% over the last month), which can indicate internal confidence at current levels. Revenue growth in the latest reported quarter was very strong (2025/Q3 revenue up 122% YoY). Options put/call ratios (OI 0.82; volume 0.7) lean bullish.
Neutral/Negative Catalysts
Recent analyst downgrades and price target cuts tied to competitive pressure from Starlink and expectations of a low-growth 2026 during product transitions. Profitability and margins deteriorated in the latest quarter (net income negative; gross margin down sharply). Technical trend remains bearish with price hovering near key supports, increasing the chance of further downside if support fails. No recent news catalysts were provided to suggest an imminent positive re-rating.
Financial Performance
Latest quarter: 2025/Q3. Revenue increased to ~$223.6M (+122.41% YoY), but profitability weakened: net income fell to about -$1.93M (more negative YoY), EPS -$0.01, and gross margin dropped to ~38.35 (down ~38.12% YoY). The key takeaway is strong top-line growth but worsening margin/profit trends, which is not ideal for a beginner-focused long-term buy decision right now.
Growth
Profitability
Efficiency
Analyst Ratings and Price Target Trends
Analyst sentiment has weakened recently: William Blair downgraded to Market Perform from Outperform (2025-12-09) citing intensifying Starlink competition, elevated net debt, and pressure on Air-to-Ground net adds during migration. Morgan Stanley cut its price target sharply to $8 from $15 (2026-01-16) and maintained Equal Weight, calling 2026 a likely low-growth year amid product transitions. Wall Street pros: potential upside if transitions execute well and demand holds; cons: competitive threat from Starlink, leverage concerns, and near-term growth/margin headwinds. Politician/congress activity: no recent congress trading data available; no influential-figure trades were provided.
Wall Street analysts forecast GOGO stock price to rise over the next 12 months. According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for GOGO is 12 USD with a low forecast of 11 USD and a high forecast of 13 USD. However, analyst price targets are subjective and often lag stock prices, so investors should focus on the objective reasons behind analyst rating changes, which better reflect the company's fundamentals.
3 Analyst Rating
Wall Street analysts forecast GOGO stock price to rise over the next 12 months. According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for GOGO is 12 USD with a low forecast of 11 USD and a high forecast of 13 USD. However, analyst price targets are subjective and often lag stock prices, so investors should focus on the objective reasons behind analyst rating changes, which better reflect the company's fundamentals.
1 Buy
2 Hold
0 Sell
Moderate Buy
Current: 4.540
Low
11
Averages
12
High
13
Current: 4.540
Low
11
Averages
12
High
13
Morgan Stanley
Equal Weight
downgrade
$15 -> $8
AI Analysis
2026-01-16
Reason
Morgan Stanley
Price Target
$15 -> $8
AI Analysis
2026-01-16
downgrade
Equal Weight
Reason
Morgan Stanley lowered the firm's price target on Gogo to $8 from $15 and keeps an Equal Weight rating on the shares. In the Services vertical of Space Technology, the firm sees debate centering on how "Direct-to-Device" takes further shape in 2026, the analyst tells investors. The firm is lowering its Gogo target as it rolls its valuation forward and revisits model assumptions into 2026, which it expects to be "a low-growth year" amid multiple product transitions.
William Blair
Louie DiPalma
Outperform -> Market Perform
downgrade
2025-12-09
Reason
William Blair
Louie DiPalma
Price Target
2025-12-09
downgrade
Outperform -> Market Perform
Reason
William Blair analyst Louie DiPalma downgraded Gogo to Market Perform from Outperform.
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