Should You Buy Genie Energy Ltd (GNE) Today? Analysis, Price Targets, and 2026 Outlook.
Conclusion
Hold
Latest Price
13.820
1 Day change
0.95%
52 Week Range
28.470
Analysis Updated At
2026/01/28
GNE is not a good buy right now for a beginner, long-term investor who wants to act immediately. The stock is in a clear short-to-medium-term downtrend (bearish moving averages and weakening MACD), insiders have been aggressively selling recently, and profitability/margins deteriorated in the latest quarter despite revenue growth. With no Intellectia buy signals today and earnings approaching (2026-02-02 pre-market), the risk/reward is not attractive for an “enter now” decision.
**Intellectia Proprietary Trading Signals**
- [AI Stock Picker](module://ai_stock_pick): No signal on given stock today.
- [SwingMax](module://swingmax): No signal on given stock today.
Technical Analysis
Trend is bearish. Price (13.69) is sitting right at/just below near-term support (S1 13.697) and below the pivot (14.262), indicating sellers control the tape.
- Moving Averages: Bearish alignment (SMA_200 > SMA_20 > SMA_5) suggests a sustained downtrend.
- MACD: Histogram -0.0408 and negatively expanding, implying downside momentum is strengthening.
- RSI(6): 32.7 is near oversold territory (not a confirmed reversal signal yet).
Key levels:
- Immediate support: 13.70 (S1) then 13.35 (S2). A break below ~13.35 increases downside risk.
- Resistance: 14.26 (pivot) then 14.83 (R1). A reclaim of 14.26 would be the first technical improvement.
Pattern-based forward bias provided: modest positive drift is suggested (next month +8.14%), but current momentum indicators do not confirm a durable turn yet.
Options Data
Bullish
Open Interest Put-Call Ratio
Bullish
Option Volume Put-Call Ratio
Options positioning looks call-heavy by open interest (put/call OI ratio 0.14), which is typically bullish, but today’s options volume is essentially zero (volume put-call ratio 0.0; total volume 0), so sentiment from trading flow is not reliable.
Volatility is elevated: 30D IV ~90.95 with IV percentile ~90.8, implying the market is pricing a large potential move (often around event risk, e.g., earnings). For a beginner long-term buyer, this often means you may be paying for uncertainty rather than getting a clean, stable entry.
Technical Summary
Sell
9
Buy
2
Positive Catalysts
- Revenue growth is strong in the latest reported quarter (2025/Q3 revenue +23.6% YoY).
- Call-heavy open interest (low put/call OI ratio) can reflect more optimistic positioning.
- Earnings on 2026-02-02 (pre-market) can act as a catalyst if results/forward commentary are strong.
- Price is near support (around 13.7), which sometimes produces technical bounces if it holds.
Neutral/Negative Catalysts
- Insiders are selling heavily (selling amount up ~238.85% over the last month), which is a notable near-term negative signal.
- Profitability weakened in 2025/Q3: net income -33.89% YoY, EPS -31.58% YoY.
- Technical trend is bearish (SMA stack bearish; MACD weakening), so “buying now” is against momentum.
- Elevated implied volatility suggests higher uncertainty into the upcoming earnings event.
Financial Performance
Latest quarter: 2025/Q3.
- Revenue: 138.324M, up +23.60% YoY (top-line growth positive).
- Net Income: 6.743M, down -33.89% YoY.
- EPS: 0.26, down -31.58% YoY.
- Gross Margin: 21.7%, down significantly YoY.
Takeaway: Growth is being achieved, but margins and earnings power are deteriorating—this is not the profile of a clean long-term “buy now” for a beginner without clearer evidence of margin stabilization.
Growth
Profitability
Efficiency
Analyst Ratings and Price Target Trends
No analyst rating/price target trend data was provided, so no confirmed recent upgrades/downgrades or target changes can be summarized. Wall Street pro/con view cannot be validated from the dataset. From the available fundamentals/technicals alone: pros are revenue growth and potential event-driven upside; cons are weakening profitability/margins, strong insider selling, and a bearish chart trend.
Influential trading check: No recent congress trading data available; no politician/influential buy/sell info was provided.
Wall Street analysts forecast GNE stock price to rise over the next 12 months. According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for GNE is 0 USD with a low forecast of 0 USD and a high forecast of 0 USD. However, analyst price targets are subjective and often lag stock prices, so investors should focus on the objective reasons behind analyst rating changes, which better reflect the company's fundamentals.
Analyst Rating
0
Wall Street analysts forecast GNE stock price to rise over the next 12 months. According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for GNE is 0 USD with a low forecast of 0 USD and a high forecast of 0 USD. However, analyst price targets are subjective and often lag stock prices, so investors should focus on the objective reasons behind analyst rating changes, which better reflect the company's fundamentals.
