GHG Valuation

GreenTree Hospitality Group Ltd

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2.100

-0.019(-0.896%)1D

Overview
Forecast
Valuation
Earnings

GHG Relative Valuation

GHG's fair value is calculated using relative valuation, based on historical P/E and P/S ranges and their premiums/discounts relative to a competitor average, adjusted by weights. If the market price exceeds this fair value range, GHG is overvalued; if below, it's undervalued.

Historical Valuation

GreenTree Hospitality Group Ltd (GHG) is now in the Fair zone, suggesting that its current forward PE ratio of 4.23 is considered Fairly compared with the five-year average of 11.05. The fair price of GreenTree Hospitality Group Ltd (GHG) is between 0.73 to 8.38 according to relative valuation methord.

Relative Value

Fair Zone

0.73-8.38

Current Price：2.10

Fair

4.23

Trailing

Forward

3.42

EV/EBITDA

GreenTree Hospitality Group Ltd. (GHG) has a current EV/EBITDA of 3.42. The 5-year average EV/EBITDA is 6.18. The thresholds are as follows: Strongly Undervalued below -15.37, Undervalued between -15.37 and -4.60, Fairly Valued between 16.95 and -4.60, Overvalued between 16.95 and 27.73, and Strongly Overvalued above 27.73. The current Forward EV/EBITDA of 3.42 falls within the Historic Trend Line -Fairly Valued range.

4.23

EV/EBIT

GreenTree Hospitality Group Ltd. (GHG) has a current EV/EBIT of 4.23. The 5-year average EV/EBIT is 7.82. The thresholds are as follows: Strongly Undervalued below -15.47, Undervalued between -15.47 and -3.82, Fairly Valued between 19.47 and -3.82, Overvalued between 19.47 and 31.12, and Strongly Overvalued above 31.12. The current Forward EV/EBIT of 4.23 falls within the Historic Trend Line -Fairly Valued range.

0.96

GreenTree Hospitality Group Ltd. (GHG) has a current PS of 0.96. The 5-year average PS is 2.86. The thresholds are as follows: Strongly Undervalued below -1.22, Undervalued between -1.22 and 0.82, Fairly Valued between 4.90 and 0.82, Overvalued between 4.90 and 6.95, and Strongly Overvalued above 6.95. The current Forward PS of 0.96 falls within the Historic Trend Line -Fairly Valued range.

1.64

P/OCF

GreenTree Hospitality Group Ltd. (GHG) has a current P/OCF of 1.64. The 5-year average P/OCF is 6.73. The thresholds are as follows: Strongly Undervalued below -12.60, Undervalued between -12.60 and -2.93, Fairly Valued between 16.40 and -2.93, Overvalued between 16.40 and 26.06, and Strongly Overvalued above 26.06. The current Forward P/OCF of 1.64 falls within the Historic Trend Line -Fairly Valued range.

1.67

P/FCF

GreenTree Hospitality Group Ltd. (GHG) has a current P/FCF of 1.67. The 5-year average P/FCF is 16.27. The thresholds are as follows: Strongly Undervalued below -38.74, Undervalued between -38.74 and -11.23, Fairly Valued between 43.78 and -11.23, Overvalued between 43.78 and 71.28, and Strongly Overvalued above 71.28. The current Forward P/FCF of 1.67 falls within the Historic Trend Line -Fairly Valued range.

GreenTree Hospitality Group Ltd (GHG) has a current Price-to-Book (P/B) ratio of 1.04. Compared to its 3-year average P/B ratio of 1.37 , the current P/B ratio is approximately -23.51% higher. Relative to its 5-year average P/B ratio of 2.05, the current P/B ratio is about -49.10% higher. GreenTree Hospitality Group Ltd (GHG) has a Forward Free Cash Flow (FCF) yield of approximately 19.33%. Compared to its 3-year average FCF yield of 13.03%, the current FCF yield is approximately 48.26% lower. Relative to its 5-year average FCF yield of 7.65% , the current FCF yield is about 152.66% lower.

1.04

P/B

Median3y

1.37

Median5y

2.05

19.33

FCF Yield

Median3y

13.03

Median5y

7.65

Competitors Valuation Multiple

The average P/S ratio for GHG's competitors is 0.49, providing a benchmark for relative valuation. GreenTree Hospitality Group Ltd Corp (GHG) exhibits a P/S ratio of 0.96, which is 97.04% above the industry average. Given its robust revenue growth of -18.18%, this premium appears unsustainable.

P/S

P/E

EV/EBITDA

EV/EBIT

P/S

Revenue Growth

Market Cap

GHG.N

GreenTree Hospitality Group Ltd

Murano Global Investments Plc

Lindblad Expeditions Holdings Inc

1.03

23.04%

798.98M

Performance Decomposition

Market capitalization of GHG decreased by 29.87% over the past 1 year. The primary factor behind the change was an decrease in Margin Expansion from -9.19 to -25.43.

The secondary factor is the Revenue Growth, contributed -18.18%to the performance.

Overall, the performance of GHG in the past 1 year is driven by Margin Expansion. Which is more sustainable.

-18.18%

372.16M → 304.52M

Revenue Growth

176.71%

-9.19 → -25.43

Margin Expansion

-188.40%

-15.67 → 13.86

P/E Change

-29.87%