GGB Should I Buy
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Gerdau SA (GGB) is not a strong buy at the moment for a beginner investor with a long-term strategy and $50,000-$100,000 available for investment. The stock shows mixed technical signals, weak financial performance in the latest quarter, and lacks significant positive catalysts or strong analyst support. It is better to hold off on buying until clearer positive signals emerge.
The stock is showing neutral technical indicators. The MACD is below 0 and negatively contracting, RSI is at 40.199 (neutral zone), and moving averages are converging. The price is near its pivot point of 4.181, with key resistance at 4.36 and support at 4.001. There is no clear bullish momentum.
No significant positive catalysts identified. The stock has a 40% chance of gaining 1.18% in the next day and 1.45% in the next month, but these probabilities are not strong enough to justify a buy.
Recent downgrade by BTG Pactual to Neutral from Buy. Weak financial performance in Q3 2025, with net income, EPS, and gross margin all declining YoY. No recent news or congress trading activity to support the stock.
In Q3 2025, revenue increased by 5.35% YoY, but net income dropped by 18.45%, EPS fell by 16.67%, and gross margin declined by 19.69%. These metrics indicate weakening profitability despite revenue growth.
Mixed analyst sentiment. UBS raised the price target to $4.60 and maintained a Buy rating, but BTG Pactual downgraded the stock to Neutral with a R$27 price target.
