Should I Buy GEOS? GEOS 2026 Analysis

Should You Buy Geospace Technologies Corp (GEOS) Today? Analysis, Price Targets, and 2026 Outlook.

Conclusion

Hold

Latest Price

16.620

1 Day change

-3.32%

52 Week Range

29.890

Analysis Updated At

2026/01/28

Not a good buy right now for a beginner long-term investor with $50k–$100k. The stock’s technical trend is still bearish (negative/expanding MACD) and fundamentals in the latest quarter (2025/Q4) deteriorated sharply (revenue down YoY, widening loss, gross margin collapse). While options positioning looks optimistic (call-heavy), the high implied volatility and upcoming earnings (Feb 4) make this more of an event-driven/speculative setup than a clean long-term entry. If you already own it, hold into the earnings catalyst only if you’re comfortable with a potentially sharp move; as a new purchase today, I would pass.

Technical Analysis

Trend is still weak. MACD histogram is -0.64 and negatively expanding, signaling bearish momentum is strengthening rather than stabilizing. RSI(6) at ~26 suggests the stock is stretched to the downside (near oversold), which can support a short-term bounce, but that alone is not a reliable long-term buy trigger when MACD is still worsening. Price is hovering just above key support S1 ~17.165 (current ~17.91); a break below that level increases downside risk toward S2 ~15.293. Major overhead pivot/resistance is ~20.197; the stock would need to reclaim and hold above that zone to improve the trend picture. Pattern-based probability data also leans negative for the next week/month.

Options Data

Bullish

Open Interest Put-Call Ratio

Bullish

Option Volume Put-Call Ratio

Options sentiment is bullish/optimistic: both open-interest and volume put-call ratios are low (call-heavy). However, implied volatility is very elevated (30D IV ~100% vs historical vol ~82%), and IV percentile ~74 suggests options are pricing a large move—consistent with an earnings catalyst ahead. Today’s options volume is also far above the 30-day average (~55x), reinforcing that positioning is active/speculative rather than calm long-term accumulation.

Technical Summary

Sell

Buy

Positive Catalysts

1) Scheduled earnings catalyst: QDec 2025 results on 2026-02-04 after hours, with a conference call on 2026-02-05—this can trigger a sharp repricing if results/outlook surprise positively.
2) Options market is positioned bullish (call-heavy), which can coincide with upside momentum if news breaks favorably.
3) Price is near a defined support band (~17.17), which sometimes produces reflex bounces.

Neutral/Negative Catalysts

4) No supportive flow signals: hedge fund and insider activity are described as neutral (no clear accumulation signal).

Financial Performance

Latest reported quarter: 2025/Q4. Growth and profitability trends weakened materially: revenue fell to $30.714M (-13.33% YoY), net income was -$9.062M (worse YoY), EPS -0.71 (worse YoY), and gross margin dropped to 11.27% (down ~74.93% YoY). This combination (falling revenue + deeper losses + margin compression) is not a long-term buy profile unless there’s a clear turnaround catalyst, which is not evident in the provided data.

Growth

Profitability

Efficiency

Analyst Ratings and Price Target Trends

No analyst rating/price target trend data was provided, so a Wall Street consensus view can’t be confirmed here. Based on the data available, the ‘pro’ case would be event-driven upside into earnings and bullish options positioning; the ‘con’ case is that recent financials show worsening fundamentals and the technical trend remains bearish, which typically leads analysts to stay cautious until results improve.

Analyst Rating

Wall Street analysts forecast GEOS stock price to rise over the next 12 months. According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for GEOS is 0 USD with a low forecast of 0 USD and a high forecast of 0 USD. However, analyst price targets are subjective and often lag stock prices, so investors should focus on the objective reasons behind analyst rating changes, which better reflect the company's fundamentals.

Buy