Should You Buy Greif Inc (GEF) Today? Analysis, Price Targets, and 2026 Outlook.
Analysis Updated At
2026/01/28
GEF is NOT a good buy right now for a beginner long-term investor who is impatient. The stock’s longer-term trend is still constructive (bullish moving averages), but momentum is weakening (MACD turning more negative), recent earnings were mixed (EPS miss + revenue decline), and Wall Street sentiment is mostly Hold/Neutral with a recent downgrade and limited near-term catalysts. If you want to deploy capital immediately, this does not screen as a high-conviction long-term entry today.
Technical Analysis
Price (72.46) is sitting just above the key pivot/support area (Pivot 72.005; S1 70.507). Trend: bullish structure remains intact with SMA_5 > SMA_20 > SMA_200, which supports a longer-term uptrend. Momentum: MACD histogram is negative (-0.0591) and expanding to the downside, signaling fading upside momentum and increasing risk of a pullback toward 70.5–69.6 support. RSI_6 at 58.9 is neutral (not oversold), so the stock is not signaling a clear "dip-buy" from momentum indicators. Near-term levels: resistance at 73.50 (R1) then 74.43 (R2); failure to reclaim/hold above 73.5 increases odds of a drift lower.
**Intellectia Proprietary Trading Signals**
- [AI Stock Picker](module://ai_stock_pick): No signal on given stock today.
- [SwingMax](module://swingmax): No signal on given stock today.
Analyst Ratings and Price Target Trends
Recent trend: mostly Hold/Neutral with cautious tone. Truist raised PT to $79 but kept Hold (expects modestly challenged packaging volumes). BofA raised PT to $74 and stayed Neutral (waiting on clarity for use of proceeds from containerboard sale). Wells Fargo downgraded to Equal Weight with PT $72 (still sees lack of catalysts and macro concerns). Baird previously cut PT to $60 and stayed Neutral. Wall Street pros: margin/EBITDA improvement, potential capital allocation upside, and some end-market pricing discipline. Cons: soft volumes/revenue pressure, recent EPS miss, and limited near-term catalysts—overall not a strong consensus-buy setup.
Influential/political trading: No recent congress trading data available. Institutional/insider activity: Hedge funds neutral; insiders neutral (no notable recent trend).
Wall Street analysts forecast GEF stock price to rise over the next 12 months. According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for GEF is 71.25 USD with a low forecast of 60 USD and a high forecast of 79 USD. However, analyst price targets are subjective and often lag stock prices, so investors should focus on the objective reasons behind analyst rating changes, which better reflect the company's fundamentals.
Wall Street analysts forecast GEF stock price to rise over the next 12 months. According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for GEF is 71.25 USD with a low forecast of 60 USD and a high forecast of 79 USD. However, analyst price targets are subjective and often lag stock prices, so investors should focus on the objective reasons behind analyst rating changes, which better reflect the company's fundamentals.
Current: 70.100
Current: 70.100
