GDEN Valuation

Golden Entertainment Inc

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26.900

-0.4(-1.465%)1D

Overview
Forecast
Valuation
Earnings

GDEN Relative Valuation

GDEN's fair value is calculated using relative valuation, based on historical P/E and P/S ranges and their premiums/discounts relative to a competitor average, adjusted by weights. If the market price exceeds this fair value range, GDEN is overvalued; if below, it's undervalued.

Historical Valuation

Golden Entertainment Inc (GDEN) is now in the Undervalued zone, suggesting that its current forward PE ratio of 45.41 is considered Undervalued compared with the five-year average of 19.77. The fair price of Golden Entertainment Inc (GDEN) is between 30.35 to 44.72 according to relative valuation methord. Compared to the current price of 27.23 USD , Golden Entertainment Inc is Undervalued By 10.28%.

Relative Value

Fair Zone

30.35-44.72

Current Price：27.23

10.28%

Undervalued

45.38

Trailing

Forward

7.69

EV/EBITDA

Golden Entertainment Inc. (GDEN) has a current EV/EBITDA of 7.69. The 5-year average EV/EBITDA is 8.74. The thresholds are as follows: Strongly Undervalued below 6.45, Undervalued between 6.45 and 7.59, Fairly Valued between 9.88 and 7.59, Overvalued between 9.88 and 11.02, and Strongly Overvalued above 11.02. The current Forward EV/EBITDA of 7.69 falls within the Historic Trend Line -Fairly Valued range.

22.18

EV/EBIT

Golden Entertainment Inc. (GDEN) has a current EV/EBIT of 22.18. The 5-year average EV/EBIT is 21.78. The thresholds are as follows: Strongly Undervalued below -24.20, Undervalued between -24.20 and -1.21, Fairly Valued between 44.77 and -1.21, Overvalued between 44.77 and 67.76, and Strongly Overvalued above 67.76. The current Forward EV/EBIT of 22.18 falls within the Historic Trend Line -Fairly Valued range.

1.09

Golden Entertainment Inc. (GDEN) has a current PS of 1.09. The 5-year average PS is 1.15. The thresholds are as follows: Strongly Undervalued below 0.58, Undervalued between 0.58 and 0.86, Fairly Valued between 1.43 and 0.86, Overvalued between 1.43 and 1.71, and Strongly Overvalued above 1.71. The current Forward PS of 1.09 falls within the Historic Trend Line -Fairly Valued range.

6.35

P/OCF

Golden Entertainment Inc. (GDEN) has a current P/OCF of 6.35. The 5-year average P/OCF is 6.57. The thresholds are as follows: Strongly Undervalued below 2.56, Undervalued between 2.56 and 4.57, Fairly Valued between 8.58 and 4.57, Overvalued between 8.58 and 10.58, and Strongly Overvalued above 10.58. The current Forward P/OCF of 6.35 falls within the Historic Trend Line -Fairly Valued range.

9.61

P/FCF

Golden Entertainment Inc. (GDEN) has a current P/FCF of 9.61. The 5-year average P/FCF is 9.80. The thresholds are as follows: Strongly Undervalued below -1.49, Undervalued between -1.49 and 4.15, Fairly Valued between 15.45 and 4.15, Overvalued between 15.45 and 21.09, and Strongly Overvalued above 21.09. The current Forward P/FCF of 9.61 falls within the Historic Trend Line -Fairly Valued range.

Golden Entertainment Inc (GDEN) has a current Price-to-Book (P/B) ratio of 1.56. Compared to its 3-year average P/B ratio of 2.32 , the current P/B ratio is approximately -32.61% higher. Relative to its 5-year average P/B ratio of 3.08, the current P/B ratio is about -49.25% higher. Golden Entertainment Inc (GDEN) has a Forward Free Cash Flow (FCF) yield of approximately 6.79%. Compared to its 3-year average FCF yield of 5.86%, the current FCF yield is approximately 15.96% lower. Relative to its 5-year average FCF yield of 6.89% , the current FCF yield is about -1.39% lower.

1.56

P/B

Median3y

2.32

Median5y

3.08

6.86

FCF Yield

Median3y

5.86

Median5y

6.89

Competitors Valuation Multiple

The average P/S ratio for GDEN's competitors is 4.79, providing a benchmark for relative valuation. Golden Entertainment Inc Corp (GDEN) exhibits a P/S ratio of 1.09, which is -77.29% above the industry average. Given its robust revenue growth of -7.59%, this premium appears unsustainable.

P/S

P/E

EV/EBITDA

EV/EBIT

P/S

Revenue Growth

Market Cap

GDEN.O

Golden Entertainment Inc

Pursuit Attractions and Hospitality Inc

Dave & Buster's Entertainment Inc

Accel Entertainment Inc

0.78

7.32%

888.73M

Performance Decomposition

Market capitalization of GDEN decreased by 14.37% over the past 1 year. The primary factor behind the change was an increase in P/E Change from 37.62 to 70.28.

The secondary factor is the Revenue Growth, contributed -7.59%to the performance.

Overall, the performance of GDEN in the past 1 year is driven by P/E Change. Which is more unsustainable.

-7.59%

174.05M → 160.84M

Revenue Growth

-93.57%

24.11 → 1.55

Margin Expansion

86.79%

37.62 → 70.28

P/E Change

-14.37%