Should I Buy GCBC? GCBC 2026 Analysis

Should You Buy Greene County Bancorp Inc (GCBC) Today? Analysis, Price Targets, and 2026 Outlook.

Conclusion

Buy

Latest Price

24.360

1 Day change

1.33%

52 Week Range

27.620

Analysis Updated At

2026/02/04

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- Buy now (momentum + fundamentals align), even though the stock looks slightly extended short-term. - Technicals are bullish (positive/expanding MACD) and price is pressing into the next resistance band (near R2 ~24.70). - Latest quarter (2026/Q2) shows strong YoY acceleration in revenue, net income, and EPS—supports continuation rather than a fade. - Expect some near-term chop/pullback risk because RSI is elevated and price is near resistance, but the 1-week and 1-month pattern-based odds lean positive.

Technical Analysis

- Trend/Momentum: Bullish; MACD histogram is positive (0.257) and expanding, typically consistent with upside continuation. - RSI: RSI_6 at ~77.9 is in overbought territory, implying near-term pullback risk even if the broader trend remains constructive. - Moving averages: Converging MAs suggest consolidation that is resolving upward (confirmed by MACD strength). - Levels: Pivot 23.10; Support S1 22.10 (then 21.49). Resistance R1 24.09 has been exceeded; next key upside level is R2 24.70. Current post-market ~24.41 sits between R1 and R2. **Intellectia Proprietary Trading Signals** - [AI Stock Picker](module://ai_stock_pick): No signal on given stock today. - [SwingMax](module://swingmax): No signal on given stock recently.

Positive Catalysts

- Strong 2026/Q2 results: Revenue +17.11% YoY, Net Income +37.41% YoY, EPS +36.36% YoY.
- Technical momentum is supportive (MACD positive and strengthening).
- No negative news flow in the last week (low headline risk near-term).
- Pattern-based forward drift is positive: +3.64% (next week) and +8.47% (next month) in the provided analog set.

Neutral/Negative Catalysts

increases the odds of a quick dip or stall.

Financial Performance

- Latest quarter: 2026/Q2. - Revenue: 19.059M, up 17.11% YoY (solid top-line acceleration). - Net income: 10.292M, up 37.41% YoY (profit growth outpacing revenue). - EPS: 0.60, up 36.36% YoY (strong per-share earnings momentum). - Overall read: Growth is clearly positive and accelerating, which supports a buy-biased stance.

Growth

Profitability

Efficiency

Analyst Ratings and Price Target Trends

- No analyst rating or price target change data was provided, so there’s no visible recent Wall Street upgrade/downgrade trend to lean on. - Wall Street pros/cons view (based on available data only): - Pros: Fundamental momentum (earnings/revenue growth) and bullish technicals. - Cons: Near-term overbought setup and lack of fresh catalyst/coverage signals in the dataset. - Influential/political trading: No recent congress trading data available (no politician buy/sell signal to incorporate).

Analyst Rating

Wall Street analysts forecast GCBC stock price to rise over the next 12 months. According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for GCBC is 0 USD with a low forecast of 0 USD and a high forecast of 0 USD. However, analyst price targets are subjective and often lag stock prices, so investors should focus on the objective reasons behind analyst rating changes, which better reflect the company's fundamentals.

Buy

Hold

Sell

Current: 24.040

Low

Averages

High