Access earnings results, analyst expectations, report, slides, earnings call, and transcript.
The earnings call presents a mixed picture. While there is positive growth in revenue and gross margin, the marketplace revenue miss and CEO transition pose risks. The Q&A reveals concerns about leadership stability and lack of clarity on licensing opportunities. Despite positive aspects like AI initiatives and community engagement, the recent common stock offering and missed marketplace expectations suggest a cautious outlook. Given these factors, and without a clear market cap, a neutral sentiment is justified, anticipating a stock price movement between -2% and 2%.
Revenue $23.8 million, up $2.5 million or 12% year-over-year.
Gross Profit $20.9 million, up 15% from $18.2 million in Q1 of 2024.
Gross Margin 87.8%, up from 85.4% year-over-year.
EPS Net loss of $-0.04 per share, improved by $0.01 from Q1 last year.
Operating Cash Flow $1.3 million.
Free Cash Flow $0.7 million.
Cash Balance $13.1 million at quarter end.
Credit Line $10 million credit line remains fully available.
Annualized Gross Profit per Employee Over $800,000, up from $680,000 a year ago.
Generative AI Product Development: Accelerated development of Gaia’s generative AI product and the Gaia Community platform following an $8 million offering.
Gaia's Conscious AI Companion: On track to launch on or before the next scheduled price increase in early 2026, with exceptional early internal testing.
International Market Expansion: Launched a Peru-based tour in Q2 that has already sold out, with additional inventory coming online later this year.
Community Engagement: Building infrastructure for international meet-ups and chapter-based engagement to differentiate from other streaming services.
Gross Margin Improvement: Gross margin improved to 87.8%, up from 85.4% in the year-ago quarter, with expectations to remain between 86% to 87% for the year.
Employee Efficiency: Annualized gross profit per employee increased to over $800,000, up from $680,000 a year ago.
Leadership Transition: James Colquhoun transitioning to Chief Business Development Officer, with Kiersten Medvedich taking over as CEO to focus on growth opportunities.
AI-First Strategy: Embracing an AI-first strategy to streamline operations, reduce costs, and enhance user experience.
Marketplace Revenue: Marketplace revenue was lower than expectations, missing revenue by approximately 1%. This was primarily due to a U.S. Level 3 travel advisory for Egypt, leading to a 30% decline in bookings and overall tourist travel at just 45% of pre-conflict levels.
Economic Factors: The heavy reliance on Egypt trips in the first half of the year impacted performance, necessitating a pivot to other markets such as Peru.
Regulatory Issues: The U.S. Level 3 travel advisory for Egypt represents a regulatory challenge affecting travel-related revenue.
Competitive Pressures: Gaia is facing competitive pressures in the streaming service market, necessitating differentiation through community engagement and content ecosystem.
Leadership Transition: The transition of CEO to a new role may pose risks related to leadership stability and strategic direction during the change.
AI Development: Accelerated development of generative AI product and Gaia Community platform following an $8 million offering.
AI-First Strategy: Gaia is embracing an AI-first strategy to streamline operations, reduce costs, and boost productivity.
Community Building: Significant progress in building infrastructure for international meet-ups and chapter-based engagement.
Leadership Transition: James Colquhoun will transition to Chief Business Development Officer, while Kiersten Medvedich will become CEO.
Gross Margin: Expected to be in the range of 86% to 87% for the remainder of the year.
Marketplace Revenue: Expect to perform in line with expectations for marketplace revenue in the back half of the year.
Revenue Growth: Core business continues to grow meaningfully with strong member retention and expanding Gaia+ base.
Financial Performance: Q1 2025 revenue was $23.8 million, up 12% year-over-year, with a gross profit of $20.9 million.
Common Stock Offering: In February, Gaia closed an underwritten offering of $8 million of common stock, raising approximately $7.0 million in net proceeds, which are now being allocated to AI development and Gaia Community initiatives.
Free Cash Flow: For Q1 2025, Gaia reported free cash flow of $0.7 million.
Cash Balance: Gaia's cash balance at quarter end was $13.1 million.
Credit Line: Gaia has a $10 million credit line that remains fully available.
Despite positive growth in revenue and ARPU, the net loss and concerns about profitability are significant. The Q&A section reveals potential risks with AI integration and price hikes affecting churn. However, the optimistic guidance on Igniton's growth and AI's potential to enhance engagement balances these concerns. The increased cash balance and free cash flow are positives, but the lack of specific guidance on churn and content spending introduces uncertainties. Overall, the mixed signals and potential risks balance the positives, leading to a neutral stock price prediction.
The earnings call reveals strong financial performance, with significant growth in revenue, gross profit, and cash flow, alongside a reduced net loss. The Igniton valuation increase and positive market reception indicate strong future potential. The Q&A highlights strategic investments in AI and community building, although some uncertainty remains regarding Igniton's revenue impact. Overall, the financial health and strategic direction suggest a positive sentiment, likely resulting in a stock price increase of 2% to 8% over the next two weeks.
The earnings call presents a mixed picture. While there is positive growth in revenue and gross margin, the marketplace revenue miss and CEO transition pose risks. The Q&A reveals concerns about leadership stability and lack of clarity on licensing opportunities. Despite positive aspects like AI initiatives and community engagement, the recent common stock offering and missed marketplace expectations suggest a cautious outlook. Given these factors, and without a clear market cap, a neutral sentiment is justified, anticipating a stock price movement between -2% and 2%.
The earnings call reveals mixed signals: strong revenue growth and improved margins, but challenges in marketplace revenue and leadership transition risks. The AI-first strategy and community engagement initiatives are positive, but lack concrete partnerships or deals with large hyperscalers. The Q&A section highlighted uncertainty around Q2 performance and vague management responses on key initiatives. With no share repurchase program and a small net loss, the stock's movement is likely to be neutral, with potential positive momentum from AI developments balanced by marketplace and leadership uncertainties.
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