Should I Buy FUTU? FUTU 2026 Analysis

Should You Buy Futu Holdings Ltd (FUTU) Today? Analysis, Price Targets, and 2026 Outlook.

Conclusion

Buy

Latest Price

164.880

1 Day change

-2.04%

52 Week Range

202.530

Analysis Updated At

2026/01/28

BUY for a beginner long-term investor with $50k–$100k. FUTU is coming off very strong 2025/Q3 growth (revenue +88.6% YoY, net income +144.3% YoY, EPS +141.5% YoY) and has supportive Wall Street momentum (Citi upgrade to Buy; Barclays Overweight with higher PT). Technicals are neutral-to-improving (bearish MACD fading, RSI neutral) and the stock is holding above key support. Given your preference for long-term and impatience for perfect entries, it’s a good buy right now rather than waiting.

Technical Analysis

Price closed at 168.94, essentially at the pivot (169.598), indicating a consolidation/decision zone. RSI(6) ~50.98 is neutral (no overbought/oversold). MACD histogram is negative (-1.376) but contracting, which often signals bearish momentum is weakening. Moving averages are converging, consistent with a base-building phase rather than a strong trend. Key levels: Support S1 ~161.54 (then S2 ~156.56); Resistance R1 ~177.66 (then R2 ~182.64). With price near pivot and momentum stabilizing, the setup favors a long-term entry with room to retest 177–183 if buyers follow through.

Options Data

Bearish

Open Interest Put-Call Ratio

Bullish

Option Volume Put-Call Ratio

Open interest put/call at 1.42 is defensive/hedged (more puts outstanding than calls), which can reflect caution or hedging demand. However, volume put/call at 0.84 shows slightly more call activity than puts on the day (more near-term upside speculation). Options volume is elevated vs the 30-day average (~131.6%), indicating heightened attention/positioning. IV (30d ~56.98) is moderate with IV percentile ~35 and IV rank ~19, suggesting volatility isn’t extremely expensive relative to its own history.

Technical Summary

Sell

Buy

Positive Catalysts

Fundamentals: 2025/Q3 delivered exceptional YoY growth (revenue +88.6%, net income +144.3%, EPS +141.5%) with very high gross margin (~92.21%).
Product/news: Launch of Futu Trustee’s Pension Family Trust (lower barrier HK$3M minimum, online setup) can broaden addressable clients and strengthen wealth-management/trust offerings in Hong Kong.
Street support: Citi upgraded to Buy (PT $
and Barclays maintained Overweight while raising PT to $236; both cited strong operational trends and attractive valuation after selloff.
Flows: Hedge funds are reported as buying with a sharp increase in buying amount (+1234.1% last quarter).

Neutral/Negative Catalysts

Technical/positioning: MACD still below zero and the stock is sitting at a pivot area, so near-term chop is possible.
Options positioning: Elevated put open interest (OI put/call 1.
implies meaningful hedging/caution remains in the market.
Short-term pattern stats provided suggest modest downside bias over the next week (-2.78%), which could mean a bumpier entry even if the long-term case remains strong.

Financial Performance

Latest reported quarter: 2025/Q3. Revenue rose to 6,083,039,000 (+88.63% YoY). Net income increased to 3,227,701,000 (+144.33% YoY). EPS grew to 2.85 (+141.53% YoY). Gross margin improved to 92.21% (+5.78% YoY). Overall, this is a strong acceleration in profitability and operating leverage, consistent with a business in a favorable growth phase rather than a slow-growth broker.

Growth

Profitability

Efficiency

Analyst Ratings and Price Target Trends

Recent trend is improving: Barclays reiterated Overweight and lifted the price target to $236 (from $232) after strong Q3 results. Citi upgraded FUTU to Buy from Neutral with an unchanged $201 target, citing strong results, ongoing asset inflows/trading volume support, and an attractive valuation after the selloff. Wall Street ‘pros’ view: accelerating growth and operational strength with continued inflows. ‘Cons’ view: lingering investor caution is visible in heavier put open interest, and near-term price action is still in consolidation rather than a clean uptrend. Politician/influential trading: no recent congress trading data available; insiders are neutral with no significant recent trend.

7 Analyst Rating

Wall Street analysts forecast FUTU stock price to rise over the next 12 months. According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for FUTU is 222.55 USD with a low forecast of 157.85 USD and a high forecast of 300 USD. However, analyst price targets are subjective and often lag stock prices, so investors should focus on the objective reasons behind analyst rating changes, which better reflect the company's fundamentals.

6 Buy

1 Hold

0 Sell

Strong Buy

Current: 168.320

Low

157.85

Averages

222.55

High

300

Current: 168.320

Low

157.85

Averages

222.55

High

300

Citi

Judy Zhang

Neutral -> Buy

upgrade

$201

AI Analysis

2025-11-21

Reason

Citi

Judy Zhang

Price Target

$201

AI Analysis

2025-11-21

upgrade

Neutral -> Buy

Reason

Citi analyst Judy Zhang upgraded Futu Holdings to Buy from Neutral with an unchanged price target of $201.

Citi

Neutral -> Buy

upgrade

$201

2025-11-21

Reason

Citi

Price Target

$201

2025-11-21

upgrade

Neutral -> Buy

Reason

Citi upgraded Futu Holdings to Buy from Neutral with an unchanged price target of $201. The stock has sold off further despite the company reporting "strong" fiscal Q3 results, the analyst tells investors in a research note. The firm sees Futu's asset inflow and trading volume continuing to support its brokerage commission and interest income. It cites an attractive valuation following the share selloff for the upgrade.

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FUTU Should I Buy

FUTU Should I Buy

Should You Buy Futu Holdings Ltd (FUTU) Today? Analysis, Price Targets, and 2026 Outlook.

Technical Analysis

Options Data

Technical Summary

Positive Catalysts

Neutral/Negative Catalysts

Financial Performance

Growth

Profitability

Efficiency

Analyst Ratings and Price Target Trends

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