Based on the provided data and recent market events, here's a concise analysis of FTAI's valuation:
Recent Price Movement
FTAI has experienced significant volatility, dropping from its 52-week high of $181.64 to current levels around $120.87. The stock faced substantial pressure after short-seller reports from both Muddy Waters and Snowcap Research in January 2025.
Valuation Concerns
The stock shows concerning valuation metrics with:
- High EV/EBITDA of 37.82 in Q3 2024
- Elevated P/S ratio of 8.71
- Significantly high P/B ratio of 115.13
- Declining dividend yield from 1.78% to 0.90%
Short Seller Impact
The company is currently under review following short-seller allegations, with potential delays in filing its 2024 annual report. This uncertainty has created significant downward pressure on the stock price.
Market Sentiment
Despite recent challenges, multiple analysts maintain positive ratings, with price targets ranging from $100 to $300. However, the ongoing audit committee review and potential reporting delays create substantial near-term risks.
Based on these factors, FTAI appears overvalued at current levels, particularly given the unresolved concerns about financial reporting and the significant premium to book value. The stock's valuation multiples are stretched compared to historical averages, and the current uncertainty surrounding financial reporting adds additional risk.