FSLY Earnings Prediction
The chart below shows how FSLY performed 10 days before and after its earnings report, based on data from the past quarters. Typically, FSLY sees a +1.28% change in stock price 10 days leading up to the earnings, and a -6.73% change 10 days following the report. On the earnings day itself, the stock moves by -0.98%. This data can give you a slight idea of what to expect for the next quarter's release.
FSLY Key Earning Data
2024/Q4
Year Over Year
Quarter Over Quarter
Total Revenue
140.58M
2.03%
2.46%
Gross Margin
53.40%
-2.91%
-1.96%
Operating Margin
-24.10%
-20.72%
10.55%
Net Margin
-23.39%
37.83%
-15.59%
EPS
-0.23
-27.78%
-14.81%
No Data Available
FSLY Earnings Analysis
Fastly Inc Corporation (FSLY.N) Earnings Conference Call
Positive
Fourth Quarter Revenue Exceeds Guidance: Record fourth quarter revenue of $140.6 million, exceeding guidance of $136 million to $140 million, and representing 2% growth year over year and quarter over quarter.
Annual Revenue Growth: Annual revenue reached $544 million, reflecting a 7% year over year growth, demonstrating resilience despite previous demand headwinds.
Revenue Diversification Success: Revenue outside the top 10 customers grew 16% year over year in Q4, indicating successful diversification of the revenue base.
Customer Package Sales Surge: Customer package sales grew over 60% year over year in Q4, with new logo sales increasing by 70%, highlighting strong customer acquisition efforts.
Free Cash Flow Improvement: Free cash flow improved by $23 million year over year, reducing cash burn from $59 million in 2023 to $36 million in 2024, showcasing effective cost management.
Negative
Operating Loss Analysis: Operating loss of $4,200,000 in Q4, at the lower end of guidance range of $1,000,000 to $5,000,000, indicating ongoing financial challenges.
Revenue Shortfall Analysis: Annual revenue of $544,000,000 fell short of original guidance of $580,000,000 to $590,000,000, reflecting revenue headwinds from major customers.
Net Retention Rate Decline: Trailing twelve month net retention rate decreased to 102%, down from 105% in the prior quarter and 113% a year ago, indicating customer revenue contraction.
Gross Margin Decline: Gross margin declined to 56.5% in Q4, down from 57.7% in Q3 and 59.2% in Q4 of the previous year, primarily due to increased bandwidth costs and a shift in traffic mix.
Profitability Decline Analysis: Net loss of $3,800,000 in Q4 compared to net income of $1,700,000 in the same quarter last year, highlighting a significant deterioration in profitability.
FSLY FAQs
How does FSLY typically perform around its earnings report dates?
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FSLY Earning Call Sentiment
Earnings call transcript: Fastly Q4 2024 reveals EPS miss, stock drops 19%
FSLY.N
-4.82%Positive
Despite strong revenue diversification and security portfolio expansion, the flat Q4 revenue guidance and decreased gross margins raise concerns. The Q&A highlighted confidence in long-term strategies but revealed uncertainties, especially regarding TikTok's US revenue and the Asia Pac expansion. The positive cash flow and improved cash management are offset by a decline in gross margins and operating losses. Given the small-cap nature of the company, these mixed signals suggest a neutral short-term stock price movement.
