FROG Price Prediction Next Week
Technical Analysis
JFrog's stock has shown strong momentum recently, with the price rising from $37.71 to $45.01 over the past two weeks. The stock is trading above both its 5-day moving average of $37.18 and 20-day moving average of $37.36, indicating a bullish short-term trend.
Fundamental Catalysts
The recent surge was driven by strong Q4 2024 earnings results announced on February 14, 2025:
- EPS of $0.19 beat estimates of $0.14
- Revenue of $116.08M beat estimates of $114.19M
- Q1 2025 guidance: Revenue $116-118M, EPS $0.15-0.17
- FY2025 guidance: Revenue $499-503M, EPS $0.67-0.69
Analyst Sentiment
Multiple analysts raised their price targets following earnings:
- Needham: $46 (from $39)
- Canaccord Genuity: $45 (from $38)
- Morgan Stanley: $44 (from $36)
Price Prediction for Next Week (March 4-8)
Based on technical indicators and recent momentum:
- Support levels: $43.79 (Feb 28 low)
- Resistance levels: $45.40 (March 1 high)
- RSI at 51.07 indicates neutral momentum
- MACD showing slight bearish divergence
Target Price Range:
- Bullish case ($47-48): Continued momentum from earnings beat
- Base case ($44-46): Consolidation near current levels
- Bearish case ($42-43): Profit taking after recent rally
Recommendation: HOLD
The stock appears fairly valued after the recent 14% post-earnings rally. While long-term fundamentals remain strong with growing AI/ML adoption driving demand, the risk/reward is balanced at current levels. Consider taking profits on strength above $46 or adding on pullbacks to $42-43 support.
FROG Similar Chart Price Prediction
The price of FROG is predicted to go up -16.55%, based on the high correlation periods with AQMS. The similarity of these two price pattern on the periods is 98.13%.
FROG
AQMS
Down: -16.55%Similarity: 98.13%
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FROG Analyst's Forecast
Jason Celino
Keybanc
Buy
2025-02-14
Price Target
$36 → $46
Upside
+15.58%
KeyBanc analyst Jason Celino raised the firm's price target on JFrog to $46 from $36 and keeps an Overweight rating on the shares. The firm notes JFrog reported a nice finish to the year, with Q4 Cloud revenue growth of 37% solidly ahead of consensus of 30% year-over-year driven by large deals, smaller migrations in the quarter, and $1.3M benefit from migrating self-hosted customers to a cloud hosted database product. 2025 initial guidance came in largely in line across the board, though Cloud growth guide of 30%-32% was above Street estimates of 29% year-over-year, KeyBanc adds. The firm is encouraged by the large deal activity in the second half of 2024, including security momentum, especially considering a more conservative guidance framework for 2025.
Brad Reback
Stifel
Strong Buy
2025-02-14
Price Target
$35 → $45
Upside
+13.07%
Ryan Macwilliams
Barclays
Buy
2025-02-14
Price Target
$38 → $48
Upside
+20.6%
