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FRME Should I Buy

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Intellectia

Should You Buy First Merchants Corp (FRME) Today? Analysis, Price Targets, and 2026 Outlook.

Conclusion
Hold
Latest Price
39.440
1 Day change
0.27%
52 Week Range
43.220
Analysis Updated At
2026/03/27
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First Merchants Corp (FRME) is not a strong buy at the moment for a beginner investor with a long-term strategy. While the stock has shown some positive technical indicators and a modest price increase, insider selling, declining net income, and lack of strong trading signals make it prudent to hold off on investing right now.

Technical Analysis

The MACD is positive and expanding (0.21), indicating bullish momentum. RSI is at 70.606, which is neutral but nearing overbought levels. Moving averages are converging, suggesting no clear trend. The stock is trading near its resistance levels (R1: 38.121, R2: 38.662), which may limit immediate upside potential.

Options Data

Bullish
Open Interest Put-Call Ratio
Bullish
Option Volume Put-Call Ratio

Technical Summary

StrongSellSellNeutralBuyStrongBuydotted line Image
Sell
7
Buy
9

Positive Catalysts

  • Analyst Nathan Race raised the price target to $49 from $46 and maintained an Overweight rating, citing the recent acquisition and solid Q4 results. Revenue increased by 11.09% YoY in Q4 2025.

Neutral/Negative Catalysts

  • No recent news or congress trading data to act as a catalyst.

Financial Performance

In Q4 2025, revenue grew by 11.09% YoY to $158.86M, but net income dropped by 11.40% YoY to $56.60M. EPS also declined by 10.00% YoY to $0.99, indicating profitability challenges.

Growth

Profitability

Efficiency

Analyst Ratings and Price Target Trends

Analyst Nathan Race from Piper Sandler raised the price target to $49 and maintained an Overweight rating, citing positive impacts from the recent acquisition and solid Q4 results.

Wall Street analysts forecast FRME stock price to rise
2 Analyst Rating
Wall Street analysts forecast FRME stock price to rise
2 Buy
0 Hold
0 Sell
Moderate Buy
Current: 39.330
sliders
Low
46
Averages
48
High
50
Current: 39.330
sliders
Low
46
Averages
48
High
50
Piper Sandler
Nathan Race
Overweight
maintain
$46 -> $49
AI Analysis
2026-02-04
Reason
Piper Sandler
Nathan Race
Price Target
$46 -> $49
AI Analysis
2026-02-04
maintain
Overweight
Reason
Piper Sandler analyst Nathan Race raised the firm's price target on First Merchants to $49 from $46 and keeps an Overweight rating on the shares. The firm is also raising its 2026 operating EPS to $4.15 from $4.00 and establishing a 2027 of $4.45 following First Merchants' recent First Savings Financial acquisition closing and solid Q4 results.
Piper Sandler
Overweight
downgrade
$48 -> $46
2025-10-27
Reason
Piper Sandler
Price Target
$48 -> $46
2025-10-27
downgrade
Overweight
Reason
Piper Sandler lowered the firm's price target on First Merchants to $46 from $48 and keeps an Overweight rating on the shares. Following solid Q3 results with in-line PPNR and improved credit metrics, the firm believes First Merchants remains well-positioned to generate price-to-earnings expansion above peers.
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