FRGE Earnings

FRGE reported its FY2025Q2 earnings on 2025-07-30, showcasing a revenue of 28.00M against an estimate of 21.00M, resulting in a 30.47% surprise. The EPS was -0.99, surpassing the expected -1.16 by 14.66% . The stock experienced a 0.9% price change on the earnings day and a 37.97% change over the next five days, reflecting market reactions to the results.

Following FRGE's FY2025Q2 earnings announcement on 2025-07-30, the stock price moved by 0.90% on the day of the release. Over the subsequent five days, it saw a 37.97% change. Historically, FRGE's stock price tends to shift by an average of -0.98% in the 10 days leading up to earnings and -1.96% in the 10 days following, providing insight into potential market.

For 2025/Q4, analysts estimate FRGE’s annual revenue to reach 26.00M, while the EPS is projected at -1.00. These estimates reflect recent revisions, with revenue estimates revised Revenue Revise Upward by 0.23% and EPS estimates Revise Upward by 1.12% over the past three months, indicating analyst expectation in the company’s performance.

The correlation between FRGE's stock price and earnings forecast revisions shows that positive revisions in revenue or EPS often strengthen the stock’s fundamentals. Over the past three months, revenue estimates for FY2025 were Revise Upward by 0.23%, while EPS estimates moved Revise Upward by 1.12% . This trend suggests that price dips could present buying opportunities for investors.

Based on historical trends, FRGE's stock price typically moves by -0.98% in the 10 days before its earnings and -1.96% in the 10 days after. For the upcoming 2025/Q4 earnings, analysts expect an EPS of -1.00 and revenue of 26.00M.

The earnings call showed improved financial metrics, such as a 28% increase in revenues and a 33% improvement in adjusted EBITDA loss, which are strong indicators of positive performance. Despite a net loss, the company has reduced cash used in operations and improved adjusted EPS by 29%. The cautious optimism in the Q&A and exploration of new partnerships in tokenization further support a positive outlook. However, the lack of specific breakeven guidance tempers the sentiment slightly, keeping it in the positive range rather than strong positive.