Should You Buy Funko Inc (FNKO) Today? Analysis, Price Targets, and 2026 Outlook.
Conclusion
Hold
Latest Price
4.060
1 Day change
-2.17%
52 Week Range
14.280
Analysis Updated At
2026/01/28
Not a good buy right now for a beginner long-term investor with $50k–$100k who doesn’t want to wait for a better entry. Despite a bullish short-term technical setup, fundamentals are weakening (Q3 revenue and earnings sharply down YoY) and the lone recent Wall Street update is Neutral with a $3.50 target—below the current ~$4.21—implying more downside risk than upside at this price.
Technical Analysis
Price/Trend: FNKO is in a short-term uptrend with bullish moving averages (SMA_5 > SMA_20 > SMA_200), suggesting momentum has improved.
Momentum: MACD histogram is positive (0.0565) but contracting, which often signals the uptrend is losing steam.
RSI: RSI_6 at ~67.8 is near the upper end of neutral (approaching overbought), implying limited near-term room before buyers tire.
Levels: Pivot at 3.95 is the key near-term support. Immediate resistance is R1 at 4.447 (then R2 at 4.753). At ~$4.21, the stock is closer to resistance than support, making the risk/reward less attractive for an impatient long-term buyer.
Options Data
Bullish
Open Interest Put-Call Ratio
Bullish
Option Volume Put-Call Ratio
Sentiment: Put/call ratios are low (OI PCR 0.68; volume PCR 0.1), indicating bullish positioning and call-heavy flow.
Volatility: Implied volatility (30D) is very high (~100.7) versus historical (~81.7), suggesting the market is pricing elevated uncertainty.
Activity: Today’s option volume (66) is far below the 5D/10D averages, but the “today vs 30D avg” spike indicates the baseline has been very low; overall, options are not showing broad, consistent institutional urgency today.
Technical Summary
Sell
2
Buy
7
Positive Catalysts
Technical trend is currently bullish (stacked moving averages) and options positioning is call-leaning.
Operational execution noted by Goldman: improved cost control and pricing supporting profitability.
Potential event catalyst: next earnings on 2026-02-05 (after hours) could re-rate shares if revenue stabilizes or margins improve.
Neutral/Negative Catalysts
is below the current price (~$4.21), implying expected downside.
Financial Performance
Latest quarter: 2025/Q3.
Revenue: $250.905M, down -14.30% YoY (top-line contraction).
Net income: $0.901M, down -79.19% YoY.
EPS: $0.02, down -75.00% YoY.
Gross margin: 34.36%, down ~3.65% YoY.
Takeaway: profitability improvements mentioned by analysts appear more cost-driven than demand-driven; growth trend is negative, which is not ideal for a beginner long-term entry at current levels.
Growth
Profitability
Efficiency
Analyst Ratings and Price Target Trends
Recent trend: Limited coverage in the provided data, but the latest update (2025-11-10, Goldman Sachs) kept a Neutral rating while raising the target to $3.50 from $2.50. Even after the raise, the target remains below the current price (~$4.21), signaling Wall Street sees the stock as fully valued to overvalued near-term.
Wall Street pros: better cost execution, pricing, and holiday offering strength supporting profitability.
Wall Street cons: revenue miss/pressure and tariff headwinds leading to trimmed revenue forecasts.
Influential/Politician activity: No recent congress trading data available; hedge funds and insiders show Neutral/No significant recent trend in the provided dataset.
Wall Street analysts forecast FNKO stock price to fall over the next 12 months. According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for FNKO is 3.5 USD with a low forecast of 3.5 USD and a high forecast of 3.5 USD. However, analyst price targets are subjective and often lag stock prices, so investors should focus on the objective reasons behind analyst rating changes, which better reflect the company's fundamentals.
2 Analyst Rating
Wall Street analysts forecast FNKO stock price to fall over the next 12 months. According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for FNKO is 3.5 USD with a low forecast of 3.5 USD and a high forecast of 3.5 USD. However, analyst price targets are subjective and often lag stock prices, so investors should focus on the objective reasons behind analyst rating changes, which better reflect the company's fundamentals.
1 Buy
1 Hold
0 Sell
Moderate Buy
Current: 4.150
Low
3.5
Averages
3.5
High
3.5
Current: 4.150
Low
3.5
Averages
3.5
High
3.5
Goldman Sachs
Neutral
maintain
AI Analysis
2025-11-10
Reason
Goldman Sachs
Price Target
AI Analysis
2025-11-10
maintain
Neutral
Reason
Goldman Sachs raised the firm's price target on Funko to $3.50 from $2.50 and keeps a Neutral rating on the shares. Funko's Q3 results were mixed, with revenue below expectations but strong beats on adjusted EBITDA and EPS driven by lower costs and improved pricing, the analyst tells investors in a research note. While revenue forecasts have been trimmed due to tariff-related headwinds, improved cost execution and solid holiday offerings support a more favorable profitability outlook, the firm says.
DA Davidson
Buy
maintain
$7
2025-07-28
Reason
DA Davidson
Price Target
$7
2025-07-28
maintain
Buy
Reason
DA Davidson keeps a Buy rating with a $7 price target on Funko but has added the stock to the firm's "Stampede list", citing "Equity/Debt Recapitalization" as a potential catalyst. The tariff and management related headwinds that Funko has faced so far create a challenging setup for 2025, but should provide easier growth comparisons in 2026, the analyst tells investors in a research note. Funko should sell their Loungefly segment and use the proceeds to pay down debt, the firm added.
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