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01/10 19:47
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Access earnings results, analyst expectations, report, slides, earnings call, and transcript.
The earnings call presents a mixed picture: strong contract backlog and dividend policy are positives, but spot market softness, drydocking costs, and charter non-renewals pose challenges. The Q&A reveals optimism about market growth but lacks clarity on certain options, leading to uncertainty. The company's commitment to dividends and strong cash position are offset by risks in market exposure and interest rate impacts. Given the market cap of $1.5 billion, these factors suggest a neutral stock price movement in the short term.
Revenue for Q3 2025 $85.7 million ($83.6 million adjusting for EUAs), impacted by softer spot market and drydocking of two vessels.
Fleet Average TCE $70,900 per day, influenced by softer spot market and vessel drydocking.
Net Income for Q3 2025 $16.8 million (adjusted net income: $23.5 million), reflecting unrealized losses on derivatives and refinancing costs.
Earnings Per Share (EPS) $0.31 per share (adjusted EPS: $0.43), influenced by adjustments for unrealized losses and refinancing costs.
Cash Balance $479 million, an all-time high, due to refinancing of Flex Resolute and Flex Constellation.
Operating Expenses $18.8 million ($15,700 per day), in line with full-year guidance.
Interest Expenses Reduced by $10 million year-over-year due to improved financing terms and interest rate management.
Net Operating Cash Flow $37 million, after $8 million in drydock expenditures and $23 million in debt installments.
Dividend $0.75 per share, marking the 17th consecutive dividend, with a 12-month trailing dividend of $3 per share and a yield of 11%.
LNG Market Growth: Global LNG trading volumes grew by 3% year-on-year, reaching 350 million tonnes from January to October 2025. The U.S. led the growth with a 22% increase in exports, totaling 87 million tonnes. Europe showed a 26% increase in imports, offsetting declines in Asia.
New Liquefaction Capacity: The outlook for new LNG supply remains strong, with significant contributions from Qatar's North Field expansion and U.S. projects. Financial investment decisions (FIDs) in 2025 accounted for 68 million tonnes of new capacity, with the U.S. contributing nearly 60 million tonnes.
Spot Market Trends: Spot rates for modern LNG carriers improved to around $70,000 per day due to record LNG volumes, increased exports from the U.S. and Africa, and congestion in Egypt. Global LNG volumes on the water reached record levels, with 10 million tonnes exported from the U.S. in October.
Fleet Operations: Flex LNG completed four scheduled dry dockings in 2025 safely and efficiently, with an average cost of $5.6 million per docking. The fleet achieved a time charter equivalent (TCE) of $70,900 per day in Q3 2025.
Financial Performance: Flex LNG reported Q3 2025 revenues of $86 million, adjusted EBITDA of $250 million for the full year, and an all-time high cash balance of $479 million. The company declared a quarterly dividend of $0.75 per share, marking the 17th consecutive dividend.
Contract Backlog: Flex LNG has a minimum firm backlog of 53 years, potentially extending to 80 years if all charter options are exercised. 80% of available days for 2026 are already covered.
Market Positioning: Flex LNG is well-positioned to benefit from the upcoming wave of LNG supply growth, supported by its strong contract backlog and modern fleet. The company is actively marketing vessels for future employment and maintaining a shareholder-friendly dividend policy.
Fleet Modernization and Scrapping: The LNG shipping market is seeing increased scrapping of older vessels, with 14 ships retired in 2025. Flex LNG's young fleet and long-term contracts provide a competitive advantage in this evolving market.
Spot Market Conditions: The softer spot market is impacting earnings from Flex Constellation and Flex Artemis, reducing the number of available days and affecting revenue.
Dry Docking Costs and Scheduling: Dry docking of vessels, including Flex Artemis and Flex Amber, has reduced available days and incurred significant costs, with an average cost of $5.6 million per docking.
Charter Non-Renewal: A charterer has decided not to declare the 1-year option on the vessel Flex Volunteer, leaving it open from mid-January 2026, creating uncertainty in future employment.
Market Exposure: The company has two vessels opening in 2026, which increases exposure to market fluctuations and creates uncertainty in securing future contracts.
Interest Rate and Financing Risks: Unrealized losses on interest rate derivatives and refinancing costs have impacted financial results, though partially offset by improved financing terms.
Fleet Growth and Competition: A wave of new LNG vessels entering the market in 2026 and 2027 could increase competition and pressure on rates, despite the company's strong contract backlog.
Economic Life of Older Vessels: Older steam turbine ships are being retired earlier, and there is limited appetite for these vessels in the current spot market, which could impact fleet utilization.
Revenue Expectations: Full year revenues for 2025 are expected to be around $340 million.
Time Charter Equivalent (TCE) Projections: TCE for the year is expected to be about $71,000 to $72,000 per day.
Adjusted EBITDA: Expected to come in around $250 million for the full year 2025.
Dividend Policy: The company is committed to maintaining a shareholder-friendly dividend policy, with a declared ordinary quarterly dividend of $0.75 per share.
Contract Backlog: The company has 53 years of minimum firm backlog, which may grow to 80 years if all charter options are declared. 80% of available days are covered for next year.
Dry Docking Plans: Three dry dockings are planned for 2026, including Flex Volunteer (mid-January), Flex Freedom, and Flex Vigilant in the first half of 2026.
Market Trends: The LNG shipping market is expected to benefit from increasing LNG volumes, with strong growth in U.S. exports and new liquefaction projects. The outlook for LNG shipping is bright due to upcoming supply waves from Qatar and the U.S.
Fleet Growth and Scrapping: A wave of LNG vessel retirements is expected to continue, with older steam turbine ships being scrapped to make room for new buildings.
Dividend Declaration: The Board has declared another dividend of $0.75 per share. This is the 17th consecutive dividend of $0.75. The 12-month trailing dividend is $3 per share, implying a dividend yield of 11%. Close to $730 million has been distributed to shareholders since Q4 2021.
Dividend Payment Schedule: The declared quarterly dividend of $0.75 per share will be paid on December 11th to shareholders on record by November 28th.
Dividend Policy: The company is committed to maintaining a shareholder-friendly dividend policy. The framework for dividend payouts includes earning visibility, contract backlog, balance sheet strength, and debt maturity profile.
The earnings call presents a mixed picture: strong contract backlog and dividend policy are positives, but spot market softness, drydocking costs, and charter non-renewals pose challenges. The Q&A reveals optimism about market growth but lacks clarity on certain options, leading to uncertainty. The company's commitment to dividends and strong cash position are offset by risks in market exposure and interest rate impacts. Given the market cap of $1.5 billion, these factors suggest a neutral stock price movement in the short term.
The earnings call summary shows a solid financial performance with consistent TCE and a robust balance sheet, supported by a high dividend yield and a share buyback program. Despite some market challenges, such as competition and reduced LNG imports in China and India, the company maintains a positive long-term outlook. The Q&A section indicated cautious but strategic cash management and potential growth opportunities. Given the company's small market cap, the positive factors, including strong shareholder returns and optimistic guidance, are likely to result in a positive stock price movement.
The earnings call presents a mixed picture: strong financial performance with EPS exceeding expectations and a solid backlog providing stability. However, the cautious market outlook and potential operational challenges temper enthusiasm. The high dividend yield is a positive, but concerns about market conditions and management's unclear responses in the Q&A add uncertainty. The company's market cap suggests moderate volatility, leading to a neutral prediction for short-term stock movement.
The earnings call summary presents mixed signals: strong dividend yield and a solid cash position are positive, but declining headline revenues and net income due to derivative losses are concerning. The cautious market outlook and unclear management responses in the Q&A add to uncertainties. Despite a robust contract backlog and refinancing efforts, the near-term LNG market caution and spot market volatility suggest limited positive momentum. Given the small-cap nature of the company, the stock is likely to remain stable with potential slight fluctuations, leading to a neutral sentiment.
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