Fluence Energy, Inc. (FLNC) Q1 2026 Earnings Call Transcript
Access earnings results, analyst expectations, report, slides, earnings call, and transcript.
Overview
The earnings call presents a mixed picture. Strong revenue expectations and market demand are offset by concerns such as unconverted pipelines and $20 million in incremental costs. The Q&A section reveals uncertainties in data center integration and competitive pressures. However, the company's liquidity and strategic plans remain stable. The market cap suggests moderate volatility, leading to a neutral stock price prediction.
Key Financial Performance
Backlog $5.5 billion, reflecting a clear step-up in U.S. contracting activity driven by the One Big Beautiful Bill Act and rising demand forecast.
Liquidity $1.1 billion in total liquidity, positioning the company well to support growth.
Order Intake Over $750 million globally, with more than $500 million from the U.S., representing strong growth from prior quarters due to increased demand and recent legislation.
Pipeline Approximately $7 billion, a 30% increase, with the majority of growth coming from the U.S. due to expanded sales efforts and new customer segments.
Revenue $475 million for Q1 2026, nearly double the 18% of full year 2025 revenue earned during Q1 2025, driven by strong execution and growth trends.
Adjusted Gross Profit $27 million, representing an adjusted gross margin of 5.6%, below the full year expectation of 11%-13% due to $20 million of additional costs from two specific projects and typical first quarter margin dynamics.
Adjusted EBITDA Negative $52 million for the quarter, driven by lower gross margin and discrete project-specific items.
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Operating Highlights
New customer segments: Engaged in discussions covering 36 GWh of projects with data centers, including hyperscalers. Many of these projects are not yet included in the pipeline, representing upside opportunity.
Long-duration energy storage: Early discussions with 34 GWh of projects, largely in Europe and the U.S. Smartstack technology positions the company well for these applications.
Evolving use cases: Battery solutions now being used for speed to power, quality of power, backup power, and support of on-site generation for large energy users like data centers and C&I facilities.
U.S. market growth: Signed over $750 million in new orders globally in Q1, with $500 million from the U.S. driven by recent legislation and rising demand.
Pipeline expansion: Pipeline grew by $7 billion or 30%, with the majority of growth coming from the U.S.
Domestic supply chain: Domestic content supply chain performing at levels necessary to meet delivery schedules. Expanded and diversified supplier base to enhance flexibility and cost competitiveness.
Battery cell compliance: Progress with AESC to resolve PFE compliance issues for its Tennessee facility. Building multiple domestic cell partnerships to optimize pricing and resiliency.
Legal matters: Resolved Moss Landing and Diablo Canyon legal issues, including a court dismissal of a $230 million claim.
Revenue visibility: Midpoint of FY26 revenue outlook fully covered by backlog. Clear visibility into operating cost structure to deliver margins of 11%-13%.
Growth strategy: Focus on disciplined execution, supply chain cost advantages, innovation, and scale to meet growing energy storage demand.
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Risk or Challenges
Gross Margin Challenges: The adjusted gross margin for Q1 2026 was 5.6%, significantly below the full-year expectation of 11%-13%. This was due to $20 million in additional costs associated with two specific projects outside the U.S. and typical first-quarter margin dynamics. These issues impacted adjusted EBITDA, which was negative $52 million for the quarter.
Project-Specific Cost Overruns: Two specific projects outside the U.S. incurred approximately $20 million in additional costs. While these costs are expected to be recovered, they represent a risk to short-term financial performance and highlight potential challenges in project execution.
Supply Chain Risks: Although the company has made progress in diversifying its domestic supply chain, there are ongoing risks related to securing competitively priced, PFE-compliant battery cells. The resolution of these issues is critical to maintaining cost competitiveness and delivery schedules.
Legal and Settlement Risks: The company resolved two legal matters, including a settlement for the Moss Landing overheating incident and a court dismissal of the Diablo Canyon project claim. While these were resolved favorably, they highlight potential legal and operational risks in large-scale projects.
Revenue Visibility and Execution Risks: While the company has a record $5.5 billion backlog and full-year revenue guidance is covered, the ability to convert the pipeline into signed orders and execute on these projects remains a critical challenge.
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Guidance & Outlook
Revenue Outlook: The company reaffirmed its fiscal 2026 revenue guidance, expecting revenue in the range of $3.2 billion to $3.6 billion, with a midpoint of $3.4 billion. The midpoint of the revenue outlook is fully covered by the current backlog.
Adjusted EBITDA: The company expects adjusted EBITDA in the range of $40 million to $60 million for the full year 2026.
Annual Recurring Revenue: Annual recurring revenue is projected to reach approximately $180 million by the end of fiscal 2026.
Gross Margin: The company expects adjusted gross margins in the range of 11% to 13% for fiscal 2026, with continued margin improvement anticipated beyond this year.
Order Intake and Pipeline Growth: The company signed over $750 million in new orders globally during Q1 2026, with over $500 million from the U.S. The pipeline grew by approximately $7 billion or 30%, driven by U.S. demand and additional upside from data centers and long-duration energy storage projects.
Market Trends and Growth Opportunities: The company anticipates growth in orders across all core markets for 2026, with the U.S. representing about half of the total. Emerging opportunities include data centers (36 GWh of projects under discussion) and long-duration energy storage (34 GWh of projects in early discussions).
Supply Chain and Risk Management: The company has secured all equipment required to meet 2026 commitments, minimizing supply chain and commodity price risks. It is also expanding and diversifying its domestic supplier base to enhance flexibility and cost competitiveness.
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Shareholder Return Plan
The selected topic was not discussed during the call.
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Key Q&A
Q:Can you guide us on the resolution of the ownership stake with AESC?
A:The main objective is to ensure access to PFP-compliant cells at competitive terms. A proposal was made to AESC, and assurances were received that they will resolve the issue without involving the company in the ownership structure. Details on how AESC plans to resolve the issue are not yet communicated, but confidence remains high that they will meet legal deadlines and conditions.
Q:What does the competitive environment look like, particularly in data centers?
A:The competitive landscape has not changed significantly. There is a diversification of battery cell suppliers, and new entrants are expected. The company is optimistic about the U.S. market for battery storage and sees competition as a driver for innovation.
Q:How much of the 36 gigawatt-hour data center-related pipeline has been converted to backlog?
A:None of the 36 gigawatt-hour data center-related pipeline has been converted to backlog yet. This is a new market segment, and conversion is expected in the second half of the year. The company is still learning and working with these customers.
Q:What are the $20 million incremental costs related to two projects, and how will they be recovered?
A:The $20 million impact is due to changes in project scope—one related to equipment and the other to schedule. The company plans to recover these costs under the contract from customers during the rest of the year.
Q:Have you seen any intensification of issues like competition or tariffs recently?
A:No major changes have been observed in competition or tariffs. The competitive environment remains intense but stable, and the company is confident in its guidance.
Q:Can you confirm your liquidity situation if you acquire the AESC facility?
A:The company feels confident about its liquidity situation and does not foresee the need for external capital if it acquires the AESC facility. However, it is expected that AESC will resolve the issue without requiring the company to take ownership.
Q:How does your product fit into the data center community's needs, and when will data centers be included in your pipeline and backlog?
A:The product is well-suited for data centers due to its density, safety, reliability, and cybersecurity features. However, the company is still learning about this new customer segment and cannot provide a clear timeline for when data centers will be included in the pipeline and backlog.
Q:What is the mix of U.S.-made versus imported cells in your 2026 delivery plan, and how much of the supply is secured?
A:The mix is roughly half U.S.-made and half imported cells. The company has secured 100% of its domestic and international needs for the year.
Q:What is the gross margin delta between systems built with non-PFE U.S.-made cells versus imported cells under the current tariff load?
A:The company operates on a blended gross margin range of 10% to 15%, depending on project scope. Specific gross margin differences between U.S.-made and imported cells were not detailed.
Q:How do you plan to scale up volume and manage liquidity for larger projects?
A:The company has a long-term plan with base, upside, and high-growth cases for volume. It works with suppliers to ensure flexibility and capacity. Liquidity of $1 billion is deemed sufficient for current plans, but additional capital may be raised opportunistically for future opportunities.
Q:What is the operating leverage as volume grows?
A:Gross margins are expected to remain stable, while operating leverage will come from overhead growing at less than half the rate of top-line growth. For example, if top-line growth is 100%, overhead growth will be less than 50%.
Q:How important is vertical integration given rising competition, and what are your M&A criteria?
A:Vertical integration is not deemed necessary due to strong integration with suppliers and the ability to adapt to various technologies. M&A opportunities must be accretive and align with the company's strategy.
Q:What is the split between leads and pipeline in data center and long-duration projects?
A:Approximately 25% of the 36 gigawatt-hour data center pipeline is in the pipeline, with the rest being leads. Projects in the pipeline have a 50% probability of occurring within the next two years.
Q:Why did the data center pipeline percentage in the pipeline decrease from last quarter?
A:Projects move in and out of the pipeline based on feasibility and engineering assessments. Some projects may not meet the criteria for inclusion in the pipeline.
Q:What drove the increase in the U.S. pipeline from $10 billion to $17 billion?
A:The increase was primarily driven by front-of-the-meter customer opportunities, supported by a reorganization of the company and enhanced business development efforts.
Q:Review of Unclear Management Responses
A:Management avoided providing direct answers or lacked clarity on several questions, including: 1) Specific details on how AESC plans to resolve the ownership issue. 2) Clear timelines and conversion ratios for the 36 gigawatt-hour data center pipeline. 3) Specific gross margin differences between U.S.-made and imported cells. 4) Detailed operating leverage metrics beyond general guidance. 5) Precise criteria for M&A accretion and return thresholds. 6) Exact reasons for changes in the data center pipeline percentage.
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Earnings Word Cloud
The most frequently occurring keywords in this quarter's earning call
AESC
BESS
Beautiful Bill
Big Beautiful
Bill Act
Diablo
PFE compliance
Slide update
application
area
backlog record
battery cell
capability
claim
core market
customer segment
discussion gigawatt
duration
generation
gigawatt hour
grid
hour project
item
liquidity position
majority
midpoint
momentum
plan
portfolio
power Storage
sale effort
supplier base
track
use case
visibility
FLNC Transcript
Fluence Energy, Inc. (FLNC) Q1 2026 Earnings Call Transcript
Unknown2-5
The earnings call presents a mixed picture. Strong revenue expectations and market demand are offset by concerns such as unconverted pipelines and $20 million in incremental costs. The Q&A section reveals uncertainties in data center integration and competitive pressures. However, the company's liquidity and strategic plans remain stable. The market cap suggests moderate volatility, leading to a neutral stock price prediction.
Fluence Energy, Inc. (FLNC) Q4 2025 Earnings Call Transcript
Unknown11-25
The earnings call summary reveals a mix of positive and negative factors. While there is strong demand in the energy storage market and strategic legislative support, the company's revenue guidance is at the low end, and there are unresolved issues with supply chain and margins. The Q&A session highlights management's lack of clarity on critical details, such as data center margins and FIAC restrictions. Given the company's market cap of $2.4 billion, the stock is likely to experience a neutral movement within the next two weeks, balancing positive market trends with internal operational challenges.
Fluence Energy, Inc. (FLNC) Q3 2025 Earnings Call Transcript
Unknown8-12
The earnings call summary presents a mixed picture: while there are positive elements such as the launch of Smartstack technology and the company's liquidity position, there are also negative aspects like lowered revenue and EBITDA guidance due to tariff issues. The Q&A further reveals challenges with tariffs and ramp-up issues, but also highlights potential growth in non-U.S. markets. The overall sentiment is balanced by these opposing factors, leading to a neutral outlook for the stock price movement.
Fluence Energy, Inc. (FLNC) Q2 2025 Earnings Call Transcript
Unknown5-8
The earnings call presents multiple challenges: reduced revenue guidance by $700 million, a $75 million lower EBITDA guidance, and significant tariff impacts. Although liquidity is strong and backlog robust, the Q&A reveals management's evasiveness on critical issues, like domestic cell capacity and tariff breakeven levels. The market uncertainty and supply chain issues further compound the negative outlook. Given the company's mid-sized market cap, these factors are likely to result in a stock price decline between -2% to -8% over the next two weeks.
FLNC Slides
FLNC Report
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