Should I Buy FIZZ? FIZZ 2026 Analysis

Should You Buy National Beverage Corp (FIZZ) Today? Analysis, Price Targets, and 2026 Outlook.

Conclusion

Hold

Latest Price

34.000

1 Day change

2.53%

52 Week Range

47.890

Analysis Updated At

2026/01/28

Not a good buy right now for a beginner long-term investor who wants to act immediately. The stock lacks clear upside catalysts (no recent news, neutral hedge/insider activity), fundamentals show minimal growth (revenue slightly down YoY, EPS flat), and the only recent Wall Street update is a Sell rating with a lowered price target. I would hold/avoid starting a new long-term position at this time.

Technical Analysis

Price is 33.16 (down -0.72%) and sits below the pivot (33.545), indicating slightly weak near-term positioning. RSI(6) at 42.18 is neutral-to-soft (not oversold), so there’s no strong rebound signal. MACD histogram is positive (0.0753) but contracting, suggesting bullish momentum is fading rather than strengthening. Moving averages are converging, consistent with consolidation and no strong trend. Key levels: support S1=33.022 then S2=32.698; resistance R1=34.068 then R2=34.392. With price close to S1, downside risk to ~32.70 is still in play if support breaks, while upside needs a push above ~34.07 to look convincingly better.

Options Data

Bullish

Open Interest Put-Call Ratio

Bullish

Option Volume Put-Call Ratio

Details: Put/Call open interest ratio at 0.23 implies materially more call OI than put OI (bullish tilt in positioning). However, today’s option volume is 0, so the volume-based sentiment signal is effectively non-informative. Implied vol (30d) ~32.51 vs historical vol ~29.22 suggests mildly elevated option pricing, but IV percentile ~33 and IV rank ~10.46 indicate it’s not extreme.

Technical Summary

Sell

Buy

Positive Catalysts

1) Technical setup is near first support (33.022), which can sometimes produce a short bounce if buyers defend the level. 2) Options open interest skew is bullish (low put/call OI), suggesting some market participants are positioned for upside. 3) Profitability quality improved in the latest quarter: net income up and gross margin up YoY.

Neutral/Negative Catalysts

1) No news flow in the last week—no visible near-term catalyst to re-rate the stock higher. 2) Momentum is not strong: MACD is positive but weakening; price is below pivot and needs to reclaim resistance (~34.07) to improve trend confidence. 3) Wall Street tone is negative: UBS keeps a Sell and cut its target, which can cap demand. 4) Growth is sluggish: revenue declined YoY and EPS was flat, reducing the ‘compounding’ appeal for an impatient long-term buyer.

Financial Performance

Latest quarter (2026/Q2): Revenue 288,331,000 (-0.99% YoY) shows slight contraction; Net Income 46,364,000 (+1.59% YoY) improved; EPS 0.49 (0.00% YoY) was flat; Gross Margin 37.87% (+0.85 YoY) improved. Overall: profitability/margins improved modestly, but top-line growth is not present—this is more ‘steady/defensive’ than ‘growing’, which limits long-term upside if bought without a clear catalyst.

Growth

Profitability

Efficiency

Analyst Ratings and Price Target Trends

Recent trend: On 2025-12-05, UBS lowered the price target to $35 from $39 and maintained a Sell rating (a clear downgrade in target and persistently negative stance). Wall Street pros view (implied): margin improvement and stable earnings quality. Cons view: limited growth and reduced upside expectations, reflected by a Sell rating and lowered target. Influential/politician activity: no recent congress trading data in the last 90 days; hedge funds and insiders are neutral with no significant recent trends. Intellectia Proprietary Trading Signals: - [AI Stock Picker](module://ai_stock_pick): no signal on given stock today. - [SwingMax](module://swingmax): No signal on given stock recently.

1 Analyst Rating

Wall Street analysts forecast FIZZ stock price to rise over the next 12 months. According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for FIZZ is 35 USD with a low forecast of 35 USD and a high forecast of 35 USD. However, analyst price targets are subjective and often lag stock prices, so investors should focus on the objective reasons behind analyst rating changes, which better reflect the company's fundamentals.

0 Buy

0 Hold

1 Sell

Moderate Sell

Current: 33.160

Low

Averages

High

Current: 33.160

Low

Averages

High

UBS

NULL -> Sell

downgrade

$39 -> $35

AI Analysis

2025-12-05

Reason

UBS

Price Target

$39 -> $35

AI Analysis

2025-12-05

downgrade

NULL -> Sell

Reason

UBS lowered the firm's price target on National Beverage to $35 from $39 and keeps a Sell rating on the shares ahead of the fiscal Q2 report.

UBS

Sell

downgrade

$40 -> $39

2025-09-15

Reason

UBS

Price Target

$40 -> $39

2025-09-15

downgrade

Sell

Reason

UBS lowered the firm's price target on National Beverage to $39 from $40 and keeps a Sell rating on the shares. National Beverage reported in line Q1 EPS, as weaker top line growth was offset by better than expected gross margin, the analyst tells investors in a research note. UBS continues to believe that the investment case is largely dependent on top line and market share trends, and with the tracked data indicating that volumes have continued to weaken quarter-to-date, expects that sentiment is likely to remain negative until there is greater signs that stabilization or improvement is on the horizon.

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FIZZ Should I Buy

FIZZ Should I Buy

Should You Buy National Beverage Corp (FIZZ) Today? Analysis, Price Targets, and 2026 Outlook.

Technical Analysis

Options Data

Technical Summary

Positive Catalysts

Neutral/Negative Catalysts

Financial Performance

Growth

Profitability

Efficiency

Analyst Ratings and Price Target Trends

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