Should I Buy FDP? FDP 2026 Analysis

Should You Buy Fresh Del Monte Produce Inc (FDP) Today? Analysis, Price Targets, and 2026 Outlook.

Conclusion

Hold

Latest Price

39.200

1 Day change

0.49%

52 Week Range

40.750

Analysis Updated At

2026/01/28

Not a good buy right now for a beginner, long-term investor with $50k–$100k. The chart is extended near resistance and momentum is cooling, while fundamentals just deteriorated sharply (losses and margin compression) and insiders are selling aggressively. I would not start a new position at this price; if you already own it, holding is more reasonable than adding.

Technical Analysis

Price: ~38.93 (market closed), sitting just below near-term resistance (R1 ~39.26) after a run-up. Trend structure is bullish (SMA_5 > SMA_20 > SMA_200), but momentum is no longer accelerating: MACD histogram is positive (0.289) yet contracting, suggesting the uptrend is losing steam. RSI(6) ~69.8 is near the upper end of neutral/approaching overbought, which often precedes consolidation/pullbacks. Key levels: support ~38.01 (pivot) then ~36.76; resistance ~39.26 then ~40.03. With price close to resistance and momentum cooling, the risk/reward for an impatient entry is unfavorable today. **Intellectia Proprietary Trading Signals** - [AI Stock Picker](module://ai_stock_pick): No signal on given stock today. - [SwingMax](module://swingmax): No signal on given stock today.

Options Data

Bearish

Open Interest Put-Call Ratio

Bullish

Option Volume Put-Call Ratio

Options sentiment is mildly cautious based on positioning: open interest put/call ratio at 1.89 indicates heavier put open interest than calls (more hedging/defensive positioning). However, actual options trading activity is extremely thin (today volume only 2 contracts; put volume 0), so the signal is low-confidence. Implied vol (30D) ~40.63 vs historical vol ~25.11 suggests options are pricing elevated uncertainty.

Technical Summary

Sell

Buy

Positive Catalysts

Technical trend remains bullish on moving averages, so the bigger trend is still up unless support breaks.
No negative newsflow in the past week (no fresh headline-driven overhang).
Pattern-based model suggests a positive 1-month drift (+2.59%), though near-term odds lean weaker.

Neutral/Negative Catalysts

Insiders are selling, with selling amount up ~2603% over the last month—clear negative signal.
Fundamentals deteriorated meaningfully in the latest reported quarter (losses and margin compression).
Options open-interest skew (put-heavy) implies more defensive sentiment.
Upcoming earnings: 2026-02-18 (pre-market) can be a volatility catalyst; with recent losses, the risk is skewed to disappointment.

Financial Performance

Latest quarter: 2025/Q3. Revenue was essentially flat at ~$1.0219B (+0.24% YoY), but profitability worsened sharply: Net Income fell to -$29.1M (-169.12% YoY), EPS to -$0.61 (-169.32% YoY), and Gross Margin declined to ~7.91% (-14.02% YoY). The key issue is not sales growth but deteriorating margins and losses—unfavorable for a long-term, beginner-friendly entry right now.

Growth

Profitability

Efficiency

Analyst Ratings and Price Target Trends

No analyst rating or price-target change data was provided, so a recent trend summary cannot be confirmed. With the available data, the 'Wall Street pro' case would be: technically bullish trend and stable revenue base. The 'con' case would be: sharp profitability decline, margin compression, and heavy insider selling—those typically outweigh chart strength for a long-term entry decision.

Analyst Rating

Wall Street analysts forecast FDP stock price to rise over the next 12 months. According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for FDP is 0 USD with a low forecast of 0 USD and a high forecast of 0 USD. However, analyst price targets are subjective and often lag stock prices, so investors should focus on the objective reasons behind analyst rating changes, which better reflect the company's fundamentals.

Buy