EXOD Valuation

Exodus Movement Inc

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26.980

+0.72(2.742%)1D

Overview
Forecast
Valuation
Earnings

EXOD Relative Valuation

EXOD's fair value is calculated using relative valuation, based on historical P/E and P/S ranges and their premiums/discounts relative to a competitor average, adjusted by weights. If the market price exceeds this fair value range, EXOD is overvalued; if below, it's undervalued.

Historical Valuation

Exodus Movement Inc (EXOD) is now in the Fair zone, suggesting that its current forward PE ratio of 36.47 is considered Fairly compared with the five-year average of 23.70. The fair price of Exodus Movement Inc (EXOD) is between 9.65 to 32.04 according to relative valuation methord.

Relative Value

Fair Zone

9.65-32.04

Current Price：26.98

Fair

36.47

Trailing

Forward

19.80

EV/EBITDA

Exodus Movement Inc. (EXOD) has a current EV/EBITDA of 19.80. The 5-year average EV/EBITDA is 19.11. The thresholds are as follows: Strongly Undervalued below 8.01, Undervalued between 8.01 and 13.56, Fairly Valued between 24.66 and 13.56, Overvalued between 24.66 and 30.21, and Strongly Overvalued above 30.21. The current Forward EV/EBITDA of 19.80 falls within the Historic Trend Line -Fairly Valued range.

30.24

EV/EBIT

Exodus Movement Inc. (EXOD) has a current EV/EBIT of 30.24. The 5-year average EV/EBIT is 18.63. The thresholds are as follows: Strongly Undervalued below -13.62, Undervalued between -13.62 and 2.51, Fairly Valued between 34.75 and 2.51, Overvalued between 34.75 and 50.88, and Strongly Overvalued above 50.88. The current Forward EV/EBIT of 30.24 falls within the Historic Trend Line -Fairly Valued range.

5.38

Exodus Movement Inc. (EXOD) has a current PS of 5.38. The 5-year average PS is 7.42. The thresholds are as follows: Strongly Undervalued below 2.53, Undervalued between 2.53 and 4.97, Fairly Valued between 9.86 and 4.97, Overvalued between 9.86 and 12.31, and Strongly Overvalued above 12.31. The current Forward PS of 5.38 falls within the Historic Trend Line -Fairly Valued range.

23.51

P/OCF

Exodus Movement Inc. (EXOD) has a current P/OCF of 23.51. The 5-year average P/OCF is 13.63. The thresholds are as follows: Strongly Undervalued below -10.25, Undervalued between -10.25 and 1.69, Fairly Valued between 25.56 and 1.69, Overvalued between 25.56 and 37.50, and Strongly Overvalued above 37.50. The current Forward P/OCF of 23.51 falls within the Historic Trend Line -Fairly Valued range.

29.36

P/FCF

Exodus Movement Inc. (EXOD) has a current P/FCF of 29.36. The 5-year average P/FCF is 7.96. The thresholds are as follows: Strongly Undervalued below -21.19, Undervalued between -21.19 and -6.61, Fairly Valued between 22.53 and -6.61, Overvalued between 22.53 and 37.11, and Strongly Overvalued above 37.11. The current Forward P/FCF of 29.36 falls within the Overvalued range.

Exodus Movement Inc (EXOD) has a current Price-to-Book (P/B) ratio of 2.74. Compared to its 3-year average P/B ratio of 4.42 , the current P/B ratio is approximately -37.87% higher. Relative to its 5-year average P/B ratio of 4.42, the current P/B ratio is about -37.87% higher. Exodus Movement Inc (EXOD) has a Forward Free Cash Flow (FCF) yield of approximately -2.83%. Compared to its 3-year average FCF yield of -1.66%, the current FCF yield is approximately 70.43% lower. Relative to its 5-year average FCF yield of -1.66% , the current FCF yield is about 70.43% lower.

2.74

P/B

Median3y

4.42

Median5y

4.42

-2.83

FCF Yield

Median3y

-1.66

Median5y

-1.66

Competitors Valuation Multiple

The average P/S ratio for EXOD's competitors is 2.79, providing a benchmark for relative valuation. Exodus Movement Inc Corp (EXOD) exhibits a P/S ratio of 5.38, which is 93.01% above the industry average. Given its robust revenue growth of 15.77%, this premium appears unsustainable.

P/S

P/E

EV/EBITDA

EV/EBIT

P/S

Revenue Growth

Market Cap

Performance Decomposition

Market capitalization of EXOD increased by 82.30% over the past 1 year. The primary factor behind the change was an increase in P/E Change from 1.50 to 9.10.

The secondary factor is the Revenue Growth, contributed 15.77%to the performance.

Overall, the performance of EXOD in the past 1 year is driven by P/E Change. Which is more unsustainable.

15.77%

22.31M → 25.83M

Revenue Growth

-438.69%

-43.06 → 145.84

Margin Expansion

505.22%

1.50 → 9.10

P/E Change

82.30%