EVRG is a good buy right now: trend is bullish (SMA_5 > SMA_20 > SMA_200) and price is holding near the key pivot support (~76.62) while attempting to push into the next resistance zone.
Options positioning is constructive (put/call ratios below 1), suggesting bullish-to-neutral sentiment into the upcoming earnings catalyst.
Wall Street skews positive overall (multiple Overweight/Buy/Outperform ratings with price targets mostly above the current ~$77 level), though one recent downgrade flags that much of the regulatory improvement may already be priced in.
Net view: buy now for a near-term move toward the ~78.0–78.8 resistance band, with earnings (2026-02-19 pre-market) as the main catalyst.
Price/Trend: Bullish structure with stacked moving averages (SMA_5 > SMA_20 > SMA_200), indicating an ongoing uptrend.
Momentum: MACD histogram is positive (0.137) but “positively contracting,” implying upside momentum is still present but slowing.
RSI: RSI_6 ~60 (neutral-to-mildly bullish), not overbought—supports continuation rather than exhaustion.
Key levels: Pivot 76.62 (near-term support). Resistance levels at R1 77.99 and R2 78.84; a clean push above ~77.99 improves odds of a move toward ~78.84. Supports at S1 75.25 then S2 74.40.
Pattern-based odds (1D/1W/1M): Estimated 40% chance of +1.48% next day, +7.48% next week, +21.46% next month (model-based, pattern similarity).
Volatility pricing: IV_30d 26.62 vs historical vol 14.14 signals elevated implied volatility, consistent with the upcoming earnings event.
IV percentile: 85.66 suggests options are expensive vs recent history (market expecting a larger move).
Activity: Today’s options volume is elevated vs the 30-day average per provided ratio (6.98), pointing to heightened positioning into the catalyst.
Technical Summary
Sell
4
Buy
7
Positive Catalysts
Earnings catalyst: Q4 2025 earnings on 2026-02-19 pre-market, with a conference call shortly after—potential for guidance/capex/regulatory commentary to re-rate the stock.
Institutional flow: Hedge funds are buying (reported buying amount up sharply QoQ), supportive for near-term demand.
Analyst support: Multiple firms remain constructive (Barclays Overweight, RBC Outperform, UBS Buy) with price targets generally above current price.
Technical backdrop: Bullish moving average alignment supports dip-buying behavior around the pivot (~76.62).
Neutral/Negative Catalysts
citing that improvements may already be priced in.
Financial Performance
Latest reported quarter: 2025/Q3.
Revenue: $1.8099B, down -0.08% YoY (flat-to-slightly negative top-line trend).
Profitability: Net income $475M, up +2.02% YoY; gross margin 62.24%, up +2.93% YoY (margin improvement).
EPS: $2.03, up +0.50% YoY (modest EPS growth).
Takeaway: Slow revenue growth but improving margins/profitability—typical of a steadier utility profile heading into Q4 earnings.
Congress/politicians: No recent congress trading data available (no signal from that channel).
Growth
Profitability
Efficiency
Analyst Ratings and Price Target Trends
Recent rating/target trend (past ~2 months): Mostly stable-to-higher targets from Barclays ($82, Overweight), UBS ($83, Buy), and Wells Fargo ($79, Equal Weight), while RBC trimmed slightly to $91 (Outperform). Counterpoint: Mizuho downgraded to Neutral with PT cut to $76.
Street “pros” view: Constructive on fundamentals/regulatory backdrop and steady growth profile; multiple Overweight/Buy/Outperform stances with targets above spot.
Street “cons” view: Some believe the improved outlook is already priced in and are waiting for better valuation/entry (e.g., Mizuho downgrade; Wells calls it a valuation ‘battleground’).
Net: Analyst sentiment is moderately bullish overall, with the current price (~$77) sitting below most bullish targets (low-80s to low-90s), but close to the most cautious target ($76).
Wall Street analysts forecast EVRG stock price to rise over the next 12 months. According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for EVRG is 83.71 USD with a low forecast of 76 USD and a high forecast of 93 USD. However, analyst price targets are subjective and often lag stock prices, so investors should focus on the objective reasons behind analyst rating changes, which better reflect the company's fundamentals.
7 Analyst Rating
Wall Street analysts forecast EVRG stock price to rise over the next 12 months. According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for EVRG is 83.71 USD with a low forecast of 76 USD and a high forecast of 93 USD. However, analyst price targets are subjective and often lag stock prices, so investors should focus on the objective reasons behind analyst rating changes, which better reflect the company's fundamentals.
5 Buy
2 Hold
0 Sell
Moderate Buy
Current: 77.570
Low
76
Averages
83.71
High
93
Current: 77.570
Low
76
Averages
83.71
High
93
RBC Capital
Stephen D'Ambrisi
Outperform
to
Outperform
downgrade
$93 -> $91
AI Analysis
2026-01-23
Reason
RBC Capital
Stephen D'Ambrisi
Price Target
$93 -> $91
AI Analysis
2026-01-23
downgrade
Outperform
to
Outperform
Reason
RBC Capital analyst Stephen D'Ambrisi lowered the firm's price target on Evergy to $91 from $93 and keeps an Outperform rating on the shares as part of a broader research note previewing Q4 earnings in Utilities. As has been the trend across the space over the last 18 months given the rapidly changing capital deployment landscape, a number of utilities that are typically Q4 roll-forward companies gave off-cycle or early previews of updated capital plans, prompting the firm to revise its model in the sector, the analyst tells investors in a research note.
Barclays
NULL -> Overweight
maintain
$80 -> $82
2026-01-22
Reason
Barclays
Price Target
$80 -> $82
2026-01-22
maintain
NULL -> Overweight
Reason
Barclays raised the firm's price target on Evergy to $82 from $80 and keeps an Overweight rating on the shares. The firm adjusted targets in the power and utilities group as part of a Q4 preview.
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