Should You Buy EverCommerce Inc (EVCM) Today? Analysis, Price Targets, and 2026 Outlook.
Conclusion
Hold
Latest Price
12.080
1 Day change
2.46%
52 Week Range
14.410
Analysis Updated At
2026/01/28
Not a good buy right now for a beginner long-term investor who wants to act immediately. The stock is sitting right on support after a drop, momentum is weakening (bearish MACD), and Wall Street just issued back-to-back downgrades citing limited upside and overhang/liquidity concerns. If you already own it, holding is reasonable because longer-term moving averages are still bullish, but initiating a new long today does not offer an attractive risk/reward based on the current data.
Technical Analysis
Price closed at 11.95 (-2.71%), essentially testing key support (S1=11.938). Trend picture is mixed: the moving averages are still constructive (SMA_5 > SMA_20 > SMA_200), which supports a longer-term uptrend, but near-term momentum is deteriorating—MACD histogram is negative (-0.0821) and expanding lower, signaling increasing bearish momentum. RSI_6 at 34.742 is near the low end of neutral (close to oversold), suggesting selling pressure has been heavy but not yet showing a clear reversal signal. Key levels: support at 11.94 then 11.65 (S2=11.651). Resistance/pivot zone begins around 12.40 (pivot=12.402); a stronger recovery would need 12.87 (R1=12.866). Pattern-based projection supplied indicates a bearish drift bias over 1 week to 1 month.
Options Data
Bullish
Open Interest Put-Call Ratio
Bullish
Option Volume Put-Call Ratio
Options positioning is call-heavy (open interest put/call ratio 0.11: bullish skew), but there is effectively no trading activity today (0 volume) and total open interest is small (calls 126 vs puts 14), so sentiment read-through is weak and can be distorted by illiquidity. Implied volatility is elevated (30D IV ~61.66 vs HV ~71.64) with IV percentile ~61, suggesting the market still prices meaningful uncertainty, but without volume it’s not a strong actionable signal.
Technical Summary
Sell
5
Buy
6
Positive Catalysts
Longer-term trend structure remains supportive (SMA_5 > SMA_20 > SMA_200), so a technical bounce is possible if 11.94 holds.
Q3 FY2025 revenue grew +5.25% YoY and gross margin improved to 65.93% (+3.18% YoY), indicating some operating quality improvement.
Hedge fund and insider trading trends reported as neutral (no active selling pressure signaled by those datasets).
Neutral/Negative Catalysts
Momentum is currently bearish: expanding negative MACD and the stock just sold off into support.
No recent news catalysts in the last week to reverse sentiment.
Recent analyst actions are negative (multiple downgrades) with comments that upside is limited and concerns about liquidity/insider overhang.
Latest quarter profitability trend was sharply worse YoY (net income and EPS down materially), which can cap valuation expansion.
Financial Performance
Latest reported quarter: 2025/Q3. Revenue rose to $147.466M (+5.25% YoY) and gross margin improved to 65.93% (+3.18% YoY), a positive sign for the business mix/efficiency. However, profitability weakened sharply: net income was $11.116M (down -221.41% YoY) and EPS was $0.06 (down -220.00% YoY). Net result: top-line and margin improved, but bottom-line trend is unfavorable in the latest quarter, which aligns with the more cautious near-term Street stance.
Growth
Profitability
Efficiency
Analyst Ratings and Price Target Trends
Recent trend: decisively more cautious. On 2026-01-06 Raymond James downgraded to Market Perform from Outperform (no PT), citing limited upside from here plus liquidity/insider overhang. On 2026-01-05 RBC downgraded to Sector Perform from Outperform with a $12 price target unchanged, saying the stock looks fairly valued after a large rebound and optimization efforts will take time. Earlier, 2025-11-10 Barclays maintained an Underweight and cut PT to $10 from $11 after Q3 and a trimmed FY2025 revenue outlook. Wall Street pros: improving gross margin and some revenue growth; stock had been executing enough to rally off lows. Wall Street cons: limited upside at current levels, time needed for optimization to show results, and concerns around liquidity/overhang plus reduced outlook previously.
Wall Street analysts forecast EVCM stock price to rise over the next 12 months. According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for EVCM is 12 USD with a low forecast of 10 USD and a high forecast of 14 USD. However, analyst price targets are subjective and often lag stock prices, so investors should focus on the objective reasons behind analyst rating changes, which better reflect the company's fundamentals.
6 Analyst Rating
Wall Street analysts forecast EVCM stock price to rise over the next 12 months. According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for EVCM is 12 USD with a low forecast of 10 USD and a high forecast of 14 USD. However, analyst price targets are subjective and often lag stock prices, so investors should focus on the objective reasons behind analyst rating changes, which better reflect the company's fundamentals.
3 Buy
2 Hold
1 Sell
Moderate Buy
Current: 11.790
Low
10
Averages
12
High
14
Current: 11.790
Low
10
Averages
12
High
14
Raymond James
Outperform -> Market Perform
downgrade
AI Analysis
2026-01-06
Reason
Raymond James
Price Target
AI Analysis
2026-01-06
downgrade
Outperform -> Market Perform
Reason
Raymond James downgraded EverCommerce to Market Perform from Outperform.
Raymond James
Outperform -> Market Perform
downgrade
2026-01-06
Reason
Raymond James
Price Target
2026-01-06
downgrade
Outperform -> Market Perform
Reason
Raymond James downgraded EverCommerce to Market Perform from Outperform without a price target. The downgrade follows significant outperformance over the past 6-months and year, with shares up 15% and 10%, the analyst tells investors in a research note. The firm believes upside from present levels may be limited given the company's liquidity profile and remaining significant insider overhang.
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