Technical Analysis:
EPAM has shown significant weakness recently, falling 21.97% last week following disappointing 2024 earnings and 2025 guidance. The stock is currently trading at $210.21, well below all major moving averages (SMA 5: $243.81, SMA 20: $254.26, SMA 200: $212.42).
The technical indicators are extremely bearish:
- RSI-14 at 24.41 indicates oversold conditions
- MACD shows strong negative momentum (-0.85) with bearish divergence
- Stock is trading below the Bollinger Band lower band ($213.37), suggesting extreme weakness
Fundamental Analysis & Recent Events:
- Q1 2025 EPS guidance of $2.22-$2.32 is below consensus of $2.59
- FY25 EPS guidance of $10.45-$10.75 falls short of $11.32 consensus
- Guggenheim analyst lowered price target to $285 from $290 but maintains Buy rating
- Positive development: Expanded collaboration with Baker Hughes for digital and AI implementations
Price Prediction for Next Week:
Based on Fibonacci levels and current technicals:
- Resistance levels: $266.82, $281.13
- Support levels: $220.48, $206.17
- Pivot point: $243.65
Given the severe technical damage and weak guidance, EPAM is likely to remain under pressure next week. Target price range:
- Bearish scenario (70% probability): $200-210
- Neutral scenario (20% probability): $210-220
- Bullish scenario (10% probability): $220-230
Recommendation: SELL
The combination of technical breakdown, disappointing guidance, and institutional selling pressure suggests further downside. Investors should wait for signs of stabilization before considering new positions.
Technical Analysis:
EPAM has shown significant weakness recently, falling 21.97% last week following disappointing 2024 earnings and 2025 guidance. The stock is currently trading at $210.21, well below all major moving averages (SMA 5: $243.81, SMA 20: $254.26, SMA 200: $212.42).
The technical indicators are extremely bearish:
- RSI-14 at 24.41 indicates oversold conditions
- MACD shows strong negative momentum (-0.85) with bearish divergence
- Stock is trading below the Bollinger Band lower band ($213.37), suggesting extreme weakness
Fundamental Analysis & Recent Events:
- Q1 2025 EPS guidance of $2.22-$2.32 is below consensus of $2.59
- FY25 EPS guidance of $10.45-$10.75 falls short of $11.32 consensus
- Guggenheim analyst lowered price target to $285 from $290 but maintains Buy rating
- Positive development: Expanded collaboration with Baker Hughes for digital and AI implementations
Price Prediction for Next Week:
Based on Fibonacci levels and current technicals:
- Resistance levels: $266.82, $281.13
- Support levels: $220.48, $206.17
- Pivot point: $243.65
Given the severe technical damage and weak guidance, EPAM is likely to remain under pressure next week. Target price range:
- Bearish scenario (70% probability): $200-210
- Neutral scenario (20% probability): $210-220
- Bullish scenario (10% probability): $220-230
Recommendation: SELL
The combination of technical breakdown, disappointing guidance, and institutional selling pressure suggests further downside. Investors should wait for signs of stabilization before considering new positions.