The chart below shows how ENPH performed 10 days before and after its earnings report, based on data from the past quarters. Typically, ENPH sees a +4.66% change in stock price 10 days leading up to the earnings, and a -5.42% change 10 days following the report. On the earnings day itself, the stock moves by +1.38%. This data can give you a slight idea of what to expect for the next quarter's release.
Positive
Strong Quarterly Revenue: Quarterly revenue reached $382.7 million, with a gross margin of 53%, reflecting a strong financial performance compared to previous quarters.
Strong Free Cash Flow: Free cash flow generated in Q4 was $159 million, contributing to a total of approximately $480 million for the year, indicating robust cash generation capabilities.
Microinverter Shipment Growth: The company shipped approximately 1.7 million microinverters in Q4, with a 6% increase in U.S. revenue driven by strong demand for higher domestic content products.
Share Repurchase Commitment: A total of $199.7 million was spent on share repurchases in Q4, with $398 million remaining in the authorized share repurchase program, demonstrating commitment to returning capital to shareholders.
New Product Launch Impact: The introduction of new products, including the IQ Battery 5e and IQEV chargers, is expected to drive revenue growth and enhance market competitiveness in 2025.
Negative
Battery Sales Decline: Battery sales decreased by 8% in Q4 compared to Q3, attributed to lesser channel restocking than anticipated.
European Revenue Decline: Revenue in Europe fell by 25% in Q4 compared to Q3, with overall sell-through declining by 13%, indicating a challenging business environment.
Operating Expenses Increase: Operating expenses increased to $143.5 million in Q4 from $128.4 million in Q3, driven by higher R&D expenses, which may impact profitability.
Q1 Revenue Decline Expected: The company expects Q1 revenue to decline to a range of $340 million to $380 million, indicating a potential slowdown in growth compared to Q4.
Gross Margin Decline Expected: The overall gross margin for Q1 is expected to decrease to between 46% and 49%, down from 53% in Q4, reflecting potential pricing pressures and cost challenges.
Earnings call transcript: Enphase Energy beats Q4 2024 earnings estimates
ENPH.O
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