Should You Buy Embraer SA (EMBJ) Today? Analysis, Price Targets, and 2026 Outlook.
Analysis Updated At
2026/01/28
EMBJ (Embraer SA) is NOT a good buy right now at ~$76.9 for a beginner long-term investor who wants to act immediately. The stock is technically in an uptrend, but near-term odds and positioning suggest downside risk, and the only recent Wall Street update (UBS) has a $69 target—below the current price—implying limited upside from here. If you must act today, this is a HOLD / do-not-buy-at-current-price setup rather than a clean long-term entry.
Technical Analysis
Trend: Bullish overall (SMA_5 > SMA_20 > SMA_200), indicating an established uptrend.
Momentum: MACD histogram is positive (0.437) but “positively contracting,” which often signals weakening upside momentum after a run.
RSI: RSI(6)=55.1 (neutral), not oversold—so there’s no technical “discount” signal.
Price levels: Pivot 75.833 with price ~76.9 slightly above it. Near resistance at R1 ~79.565; supports at S1 ~72.101 and S2 ~69.795.
Near-term pattern odds: Similar candlestick-pattern stats show a 60% chance of -2.14% next day and -2.78% next week (only +0.67% next month). That leans against chasing at current levels.
**Intellectia Proprietary Trading Signals**
- [AI Stock Picker](module://ai_stock_pick): No signal on given stock today.
- [SwingMax](module://swingmax): No signal on given stock today.
Analyst Ratings and Price Target Trends
Recent analyst change: [2025-12-05] UBS upgraded Embraer to Neutral from Sell, raising PT to $69 (from $44).
Trend summary: Rating improved (Sell -> Neutral) and target was raised meaningfully, but the new target ($69) still sits BELOW the current price (~$76.9).
Wall Street pros view (pros): The upgrade and higher target acknowledge improved outlook/operational progress.
Wall Street cons view (cons): With the PT below market, pros are effectively saying valuation/near-term upside is already stretched at current levels; this argues against buying immediately.
Wall Street analysts forecast EMBJ stock price to fall over the next 12 months. According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for EMBJ is 72.2 USD with a low forecast of 67 USD and a high forecast of 80 USD. However, analyst price targets are subjective and often lag stock prices, so investors should focus on the objective reasons behind analyst rating changes, which better reflect the company's fundamentals.
Wall Street analysts forecast EMBJ stock price to fall over the next 12 months. According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for EMBJ is 72.2 USD with a low forecast of 67 USD and a high forecast of 80 USD. However, analyst price targets are subjective and often lag stock prices, so investors should focus on the objective reasons behind analyst rating changes, which better reflect the company's fundamentals.
Current: 76.480
Current: 76.480
