Should You Buy Companhia Paranaense de Energia (ELPC) Today? Analysis, Price Targets, and 2026 Outlook.
Conclusion
Hold
Latest Price
10.140
1 Day change
0.40%
52 Week Range
10.630
Analysis Updated At
2026/01/28
Not a good buy right now for a beginner, long-term investor who wants to act immediately. Despite a technically bullish longer-term setup, the latest quarter (2025/Q3) showed a sharp collapse in profitability (net income and EPS down ~68–71% YoY) and margins weakening, while short-term pattern-based outlook points to mild downside over the next week/month. I would wait rather than deploy new capital at current levels near resistance.
Technical Analysis
Trend/structure: Bullish moving-average stack (SMA_5 > SMA_20 > SMA_200) indicates an upward longer-term trend remains intact.
Momentum: MACD histogram is positive (0.157) but contracting, suggesting bullish momentum is fading rather than strengthening. RSI_6 at 67.8 is near the upper end of “neutral” and close to overbought conditions, which reduces the attractiveness of chasing at current prices.
Price context & levels: Post-market price 10.37 after a -2.35% regular-session drop. Price is above the pivot (9.84) but is approaching resistance at R1 (10.436). Nearby support is the pivot at 9.84; a deeper support zone is S1 at 9.244.
Short-horizon model read: Similar candlestick-pattern analysis implies ~-2.52% next week and ~-1.82% next month, which does not favor immediate entry.
**Intellectia Proprietary Trading Signals**
- [AI Stock Picker](module://ai_stock_pick): No signal on given stock today.
- [SwingMax](module://swingmax): No signal on given stock recently.
Technicals still show a bullish longer-term trend via moving averages.
No negative news flow in the past week (no new event-driven overhang identified).
Neutral/Negative Catalysts
Profitability deterioration in the latest quarter: net income -67.93% YoY, EPS -71.43% YoY, and gross margin down (-8.31% YoY), indicating margin compression and weaker earnings quality.
Near-term technical momentum is weakening (MACD contracting) and price is close to resistance (R1 10.436), increasing the chance of a stall/pullback.
Pattern-based forward view is modestly negative for the next week/month.
No supportive hedge fund/insider accumulation trends detected (both Neutral).
Financial Performance
Latest quarter: 2025/Q3.
Growth: Revenue rose to 1,250,345,848.91 (+20.89% YoY).
Profitability: Net income fell to 70,532,652.84 (-67.93% YoY) and EPS fell to 0.02 (-71.43% YoY).
Margins: Gross margin declined to 18.53 (down -8.31% YoY).
Takeaway: Top-line growth is strong, but earnings and margins weakened sharply—this is a negative quality-of-growth signal for a long-term buyer entering today.
Growth
Profitability
Efficiency
Analyst Ratings and Price Target Trends
No analyst rating or price-target change data was provided, so a Wall Street pros/cons consensus cannot be confirmed from this dataset.
Other influential trading check: No recent congress trading data available, and no notable hedge fund/insider trend signals (both Neutral).
Wall Street analysts forecast ELPC stock price to rise over the next 12 months. According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for ELPC is 0 USD with a low forecast of 0 USD and a high forecast of 0 USD. However, analyst price targets are subjective and often lag stock prices, so investors should focus on the objective reasons behind analyst rating changes, which better reflect the company's fundamentals.
Analyst Rating
0
Wall Street analysts forecast ELPC stock price to rise over the next 12 months. According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for ELPC is 0 USD with a low forecast of 0 USD and a high forecast of 0 USD. However, analyst price targets are subjective and often lag stock prices, so investors should focus on the objective reasons behind analyst rating changes, which better reflect the company's fundamentals.
Buy
Hold
Sell
0
Current: 10.100
Low
0
Averages
0
High
0
0
Current: 10.100
Low
0
Averages
0
High
0
Goldman Sachs
Bruno Amorim
Buy
initiated
$10.40
AI Analysis
2026-01-28
New
Reason
Goldman Sachs
Bruno Amorim
Price Target
$10.40
AI Analysis
2026-01-28
New
initiated
Buy
Reason
Goldman Sachs analyst Bruno Amorim initiated coverage of Copel with a Buy rating and $10.40 price target. Copel is poised to deliver a positive combination of increased shareholder remuneration with selective NPV-positive growth opportunities ahead, the analyst tells investors.
