Should You Buy Ellomay Capital Ltd (ELLO) Today? Analysis, Price Targets, and 2026 Outlook.
Conclusion
Buy
Latest Price
26.800
1 Day change
-1.07%
52 Week Range
29.250
Analysis Updated At
2026/01/28
Buy (long-term). Despite no near-term catalysts and a weakening MACD, ELLO’s higher-level trend is still bullish (SMA_5 > SMA_20 > SMA_200) and the latest quarter shows strong YoY earnings acceleration (EPS +68%, net income +66%). For a beginner long-term investor with $50k–$100k and no need to wait for an “optimal” entry, the current area near the pivot (~26.89) is an acceptable entry point, with the next technical ceiling around ~28.35.
Technical Analysis
Trend/structure: Bullish moving average stack (SMA_5 > SMA_20 > SMA_200) indicates the broader trend is up. Momentum: MACD histogram is -0.217 and negatively expanding, signaling short-term momentum is weakening and near-term chop/pullback risk remains. RSI_6 ~48.7 is neutral (no overbought/oversold edge). Levels: Pivot 26.891 is the key nearby reference; holding above it supports the uptrend. Resistance levels are R1 28.354 then R2 29.257; supports are S1 25.429 then S2 24.525. Probabilistic pattern read (similar candlesticks): modest upside bias short-term (+1.6% next week) but slightly negative skew over the next month (-1.79%).
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Options Data
Positive Catalysts
shows strong profitability acceleration: net income +65.92% YoY and EPS +68.09% YoY, supporting a longer-term bullish thesis. Technical backdrop remains constructive on moving averages (price trend still broadly upward). No significant negative hedge fund/insider trend flags (both neutral).
Neutral/Negative Catalysts
No news in the past week, so there are no clear event-driven catalysts to re-rate the stock near-term. MACD is below zero and worsening, suggesting weakening near-term momentum. Gross margin declined to 25.23% (down ~3.96% YoY), which can become a concern if it persists. Pattern-based outlook shows a slightly negative 1-month expectation (-1.79%).
Financial Performance
2025/Q3: Revenue rose to 12,729,000 (+3.21% YoY), while profitability jumped materially: net income 10,128,000 (+65.92% YoY) and EPS 0.79 (+68.09% YoY). The main blemish is margin pressure: gross margin fell to 25.23% (-3.96% YoY). Overall, growth is modest on revenue but strong on earnings, implying improved operating leverage/other income factors, though margin compression is worth monitoring.
Growth
Profitability
Efficiency
Analyst Ratings and Price Target Trends
No analyst rating trend or price target changes were provided, so a Wall Street pros/cons consensus view can’t be confirmed from the dataset. Based on the provided fundamentals/technicals only: Pros—strong YoY EPS and net income growth, bullish longer-term MA structure. Cons—margin deterioration, weakening MACD momentum, and no near-term news catalysts. Politician/congress activity: No recent congress trading data available; no politician/influential-figure transactions were provided.
Wall Street analysts forecast ELLO stock price to rise over the next 12 months. According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for ELLO is 0 USD with a low forecast of 0 USD and a high forecast of 0 USD. However, analyst price targets are subjective and often lag stock prices, so investors should focus on the objective reasons behind analyst rating changes, which better reflect the company's fundamentals.
Analyst Rating
0
Wall Street analysts forecast ELLO stock price to rise over the next 12 months. According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for ELLO is 0 USD with a low forecast of 0 USD and a high forecast of 0 USD. However, analyst price targets are subjective and often lag stock prices, so investors should focus on the objective reasons behind analyst rating changes, which better reflect the company's fundamentals.