Should I Buy EDN? EDN 2026 Analysis

Should You Buy Empresa Distribuidora y Comercializadora Norte SA (EDN) Today? Analysis, Price Targets, and 2026 Outlook.

Conclusion

Hold

Latest Price

30.950

1 Day change

-1.90%

52 Week Range

40.640

Analysis Updated At

2026/01/28

EDN is not a good buy right now for a beginner long-term investor with $50k–$100k who is unwilling to wait for better entry points. Despite a technically bullish setup, the latest quarter shows sharp earnings deterioration (net income and EPS down ~75–79% YoY) and there are no near-term catalysts or proprietary buy signals to justify buying immediately.

Technical Analysis

Trend/Setup: Mixed-to-bullish technically, but near-term edge looks weak. MACD histogram is positive (0.492) and expanding, and moving averages are bullish (SMA_5 > SMA_20 > SMA_200), indicating an established uptrend. RSI(6) at ~62 is neutral-to-slightly-strong (not overbought). Price levels: Pivot 29.528; resistance R1 32.248 (near current post-market 31.55) then R2 33.928; support S1 26.808. However, pattern-based forward stats suggest a modest downside bias (-3.03% next week, -3.02% next month). Intellectia Proprietary Trading Signals - [AI Stock Picker](module://ai_stock_pick): no signal on given stock today. - [SwingMax](module://swingmax): No signal on given stock recently.

Options Data

Positive Catalysts

Technicals remain constructive (bullish moving averages; MACD positive and strengthening). Gross margin improved to 41.93% (+10.40% YoY), which can support profitability if revenue stabilizes. No negative macro shock indicated by the broad market (S&P 500 ~-0.07% post-market).

Neutral/Negative Catalysts

Latest quarter fundamental momentum is poor: 2025/Q3 revenue -5.75% YoY, net income -74.89% YoY, EPS -78.57% YoY. No news in the last week implies no clear event-driven catalyst to reverse sentiment. Recent regular-session drop (-3.40%) plus pattern-based outlook points to mild downside over the next week/month. Trading trends show hedge funds and insiders are neutral (no confidence signal). No recent politician/congress activity is available to indicate influential buying support.

Financial Performance

2025/Q3: Revenue fell to 556,975,090.71 (-5.75% YoY). Net income fell to 30,552,407.26 (-74.89% YoY). EPS fell to 0.03 (-78.57% YoY). Gross margin rose to 41.93% (+10.40% YoY). Overall: margins improved, but growth and earnings quality weakened materially in the latest quarter, which is unfavorable for a long-term beginner buying immediately.

Growth

Profitability

Efficiency

Analyst Ratings and Price Target Trends

No analyst rating or price target data was provided, so no recent upgrades/downgrades or target changes can be assessed. Wall Street pro/con view cannot be reliably summarized from the given dataset.

Analyst Rating

Wall Street analysts forecast EDN stock price to rise over the next 12 months. According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for EDN is 0 USD with a low forecast of 0 USD and a high forecast of 0 USD. However, analyst price targets are subjective and often lag stock prices, so investors should focus on the objective reasons behind analyst rating changes, which better reflect the company's fundamentals.

Buy

Hold

Sell

Current: 31.550

Low

Averages

High

Current: 31.550

Low

Averages

High

Morgan Stanley

Fernando Amaral

Overweight -> Equal Weight

downgrade

$52 -> $36

AI Analysis

2025-08-19

Reason