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The earnings call reveals several negative factors: a net loss for Q4 2025, unresolved ERP issues impacting revenue, and vague management responses on growth expectations. Although there are opportunities for cost synergies and potential growth in certain sectors, the uncertainty around ERP resolution and lack of specific guidance weigh heavily. With a small market cap, the stock is likely to react negatively, falling between -2% and -8%.
Legacy DNOW EBITDA $199 million for 2025, a record full year EBITDA. This was achieved despite U.S. upstream market activity contracting. The performance was driven by strong execution of strategy, service, dependability, and customer relationships.
Legacy DNOW EBITDA as a percentage of revenue 8.2% for 2025, surpassing the guided target of approaching 8%. This was due to the outstanding performance of teams and execution of strategy.
Revenue for Q4 2025 $959 million, up 51% or $325 million from Q3 2025. This increase was driven by $388 million of MRC Global contribution during the stub period.
Full year 2025 revenue $2.8 billion, up $447 million or 19% from 2024. This marks DNOW's fifth consecutive year of growth, with and without MRC Global's contribution.
Adjusted EBITDA for Q4 2025 $61 million or 6.4% of revenue. This reflects the contribution from MRC Global and seasonality effects.
Total 2025 EBITDA $209 million or 7.4% of revenue. This includes contributions from MRC Global and reflects DNOW's strong performance.
U.S. revenue for Q4 2025 $765 million, with $298 million contributed by MRC Global during the stub period. Legacy DNOW revenue was $467 million, down approximately 10% sequentially due to seasonality.
Canadian revenue for Q4 2025 $51 million, down $2 million or 4% sequentially. Full year 2025 revenue was $214 million, with challenges from low commodity prices and tariff uncertainty.
International revenue for Q4 2025 $143 million, with $90 million contributed by MRC Global during the stub period. Legacy DNOW International revenue was $53 million, down $1 million sequentially.
Legacy DNOW International full year 2025 revenue $222 million, down 7.5% year-over-year due to fewer projects and restructuring activities.
Adjusted gross profit for Q4 2025 $217 million or 22.6%, compared to $147 million or 23.2% in Q3 2025. The variance is due to MRC Global's contribution.
SG&A expense for Q4 2025 $226 million, up $114 million sequentially. This includes $75 million from MRC Global and $50 million in transaction-related expenses.
Net loss for Q4 2025 $147 million, impacted by $50 million in transaction-related costs, $12 million in DTA reclassification charges, and $135 million in inventory step-up charges.
Adjusted net income for Q4 2025 $23 million or $0.15 per fully diluted share, compared to $28 million or $0.26 per share in Q3 2025.
Cash from operating activities for Q4 2025 $83 million, with $7 million invested in capital expenditures. Full year cash flow from operations was $155 million.
Inventory at end of Q4 2025 $1.192 billion, up $833 million from Q3 2025 due to MRC Global's contribution.
Accounts receivable at end of Q4 2025 $874 million, with days sales outstanding (DSO) of 83 days. Legacy DNOW DSO was flat at 63 days.
Accounts payable at end of Q4 2025 $653 million, up $348 million from Q3 2025 due to MRC Global's contribution.
Leverage ratio at end of Q4 2025 1.2x, with a total debt balance of $411 million and $588 million in liquidity.
IMTEC gas meter solution: Began pilot testing last year, aims to increase customer wallet share and accelerate adoption with gas utility clients.
Data center market entry: Entered in January 2025 with no prior experience, now supplying core product offerings to 11 new customers across 4 key data center markets.
Merger with MRC Global: Completed in November 2025, significantly increases scale, diversifies sector reach, expands addressable market, and solidifies position as a premier distributor of energy and industrial products.
Geographic and sector expansion: Strengthened position across upstream, midstream, gas utilities, downstream, and industrial markets, while expanding geographic footprint and product offerings.
Cost synergies from merger: On track to achieve $23 million in cost savings by the end of the first year, exceeding the initial target of $17 million for 2026.
ERP challenges in MRC Global U.S.: ERP system issues causing inefficiencies, negative financial impacts, and customer service delays. Comprehensive remediation plan in place to address these challenges.
Revenue synergy initiatives: Cross-selling newly available offerings, leveraging expanded geographic footprint, and using combined purchasing scale to improve win rates and margins.
Capital allocation priorities: Focus on deleveraging, strategic M&A, and investments in growing sectors like water management, midstream, gas utilities, and data centers.
ERP Challenges: The legacy MRC Global U.S. ERP system has significant inefficiencies, causing negative operating and financial impacts. Issues include slow system performance, impeded customer service, increased safety stock, and difficulties in processing orders. These challenges have led to revenue declines and operational disruptions.
Upstream Market Contraction: U.S. upstream market activity has contracted, with customer spending focused on maintenance and reliability rather than growth. This limits growth opportunities in this sector.
Chemical Sector Softening: Market conditions in the chemical sector have softened, with customers postponing project expenditures, impacting revenue opportunities.
Integration and Synergy Risks: The integration of MRC Global and DNOW presents challenges, including achieving cost synergies and aligning commercial strategies. Delays or inefficiencies in integration could impact financial performance.
Debt from MRC Global Merger: The merger with MRC Global has increased DNOW's debt, requiring a focus on deleveraging to maintain financial health.
International Market Challenges: Legacy DNOW International revenue declined due to fewer projects and exits from certain countries as part of cost restructuring activities.
Seasonality and Revenue Declines: Fourth-quarter revenue for legacy DNOW and MRC Global U.S. operations declined due to seasonality, impacting overall financial performance.
Revenue Synergies: DNOW is realizing revenue synergies from the merger with MRC Global, including cross-selling opportunities, improved access to core product inventory, and better product margins. Near-term initiatives include leveraging the expanded geographic footprint and combined purchasing scale to improve win rates and margin performance.
Sector Growth Expectations: The gas utilities market is expected to grow in 2026, supported by system modernization and the adoption of DNOW's IMTEC gas meter solution. Data centers represent an attractive growth opportunity, with DNOW supplying core products to 11 new customers and entering additional markets. Midstream growth is supported by natural gas infrastructure expansion and LNG development.
Operational Improvements: DNOW is addressing ERP challenges within legacy MRC Global U.S. operations through a comprehensive remediation plan. The company is focusing on stabilizing critical processes and leveraging DNOW's IT and operational expertise to resolve inefficiencies.
Capital Allocation Priorities: DNOW plans to invest in growing sectors like water management solutions, midstream, gas utilities, and data centers. The company is also focused on deleveraging, reducing debt, pursuing strategic M&A, and opportunistically repurchasing shares under its $160 million share repurchase program.
Downstream and Industrial Markets: Downstream refining is preparing for an active turnaround and maintenance season in 2026, expected to drive demand for valves, fittings, and other MRO products. DNOW is also pursuing opportunities in refining, chemical, and mining markets through its Process Solutions businesses.
Integration and Cost Synergies: DNOW is on track to achieve $23 million in cost savings from the MRC Global merger by the end of the first year, exceeding the initial target of $17 million for 2026. The company aims to achieve $70 million in cost savings within three years of closing the merger.
Market Trends and Customer Activity: Upstream activity is expected to remain flat to down, with a focus on maintenance and reliability initiatives. Midstream and gas utility sectors are expected to grow, while downstream refining anticipates increased activity in the latter half of 2026.
Share Repurchase Program: The company has a reactivated $160 million share repurchase program. In the fourth quarter of 2025, $10 million worth of common stock was repurchased. Cumulatively, $37 million has been repurchased under this program as of December 31, 2025. The company plans to opportunistically repurchase shares under this program as part of its capital allocation strategy.
The earnings call indicates strong financial performance with increased revenue, operating cash flow, and net earnings. Despite higher production costs, the company is actively returning capital to shareholders through share repurchases, which is generally viewed positively. The Q&A section reveals positive reception to acquisitions and strategic delays that allow for better preparation. However, there are some concerns about increased production costs and sustainability of pre-strip levels. Overall, the positive elements outweigh the negatives, suggesting a positive stock price movement.
The earnings call reveals several negative factors: a net loss for Q4 2025, unresolved ERP issues impacting revenue, and vague management responses on growth expectations. Although there are opportunities for cost synergies and potential growth in certain sectors, the uncertainty around ERP resolution and lack of specific guidance weigh heavily. With a small market cap, the stock is likely to react negatively, falling between -2% and -8%.
The earnings call reflects a positive outlook with strong financial performance, including improved EBITDA and free cash flow. The MRC Global merger presents synergy opportunities, and there's optimism in market expansion, especially in energy evolution markets. While there are challenges in integration and uncertain midstream growth projections, management maintains confidence in achieving cost synergies. The positive aspects outweigh the uncertainties, leading to a positive sentiment, likely resulting in a stock price increase of 2% to 8% over the next two weeks.
The earnings call reveals strong financial performance with record EBITDA, solid free cash flow, and a debt-free balance sheet. Despite some regional revenue declines, overall growth is evident. The Q&A session highlights strategic growth areas like electrification and AI, and the company remains focused on integration and diversification. While management's guidance remains cautious, the strong current metrics and shareholder returns suggest a positive stock price movement, especially for a small-cap company.
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