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DLO Should I Buy

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Intellectia

Should You Buy Dlocal Ltd (DLO) Today? Analysis, Price Targets, and 2026 Outlook.

Conclusion
Hold
Latest Price
11.980
1 Day change
3.28%
52 Week Range
16.780
Analysis Updated At
2026/03/06
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DLocal Ltd (DLO) is not a strong buy at the moment for a beginner investor with a long-term focus. While the company shows strong financial growth trends in revenue, net income, and EPS, the technical indicators are bearish, and there is no immediate positive catalyst or trading signal to suggest an optimal entry point. The options data reflects a bullish sentiment, but the stock's recent price performance and lack of significant news or insider activity make it prudent to hold off on buying for now.

Technical Analysis

The stock is in a bearish trend with MACD below zero and negatively expanding, RSI at 35.45 in the neutral zone, and bearish moving averages (SMA_200 > SMA_20 > SMA_5). Key support is at 11.792, and resistance is at 13.225. The stock is trading close to its support level, but no clear reversal signals are present.

Options Data

Bullish
Open Interest Put-Call Ratio
Bullish
Option Volume Put-Call Ratio

The low put-call ratios indicate bullish sentiment in the options market. Implied volatility is high at 90.25, with an IV percentile of 92.03, suggesting elevated expectations of price movement.

Technical Summary

StrongSellSellNeutralBuyStrongBuydotted line Image
Sell
8
Buy
2

Positive Catalysts

  • Strong financial performance in Q3 2025 with revenue up 52.06% YoY, net income up 93.51% YoY, and EPS up 88.89% YoY. Analysts maintain optimistic ratings with price targets above the current price.

Neutral/Negative Catalysts

  • Bearish technical indicators, recent price decline (-2.88% in regular market trading), and no recent news or significant insider/hedge fund activity. Gross margin dropped by -13.19% YoY, indicating potential cost pressures.

Financial Performance

In Q3 2025, revenue increased to $282.48M (+52.06% YoY), net income rose to $51.83M (+93.51% YoY), and EPS increased to $0.17 (+88.89% YoY). However, gross margin declined to 36.53% (-13.19% YoY), which could signal rising costs or pricing pressures.

Growth

Profitability

Efficiency

Analyst Ratings and Price Target Trends

Analysts are optimistic with recent ratings including JPMorgan's Overweight rating and a price target of $18, and Truist's Buy rating with a price target of $17. However, there is caution about tougher year-over-year comparisons and potential guidance resets for 2026.

Wall Street analysts forecast DLO stock price to rise
2 Analyst Rating
Wall Street analysts forecast DLO stock price to rise
2 Buy
0 Hold
0 Sell
Moderate Buy
Current: 11.600
sliders
Low
17
Averages
17.5
High
18
Current: 11.600
sliders
Low
17
Averages
17.5
High
18
JPMorgan
Overweight -> Overweight
downgrade
$18
AI Analysis
2026-02-02
Reason
JPMorgan
Price Target
$18
AI Analysis
2026-02-02
downgrade
Overweight -> Overweight
Reason
JPMorgan lowered the firm's price target on DLocal to $18 from $18.50 and keeps an Overweight rating on the shares.
Truist
Buy
maintain
$16 -> $17
2026-01-20
Reason
Truist
Price Target
$16 -> $17
2026-01-20
maintain
Buy
Reason
Truist raised the firm's price target on DLocal to $17 from $16 and keeps a Buy rating on the shares as part of a broader research note previewing Q4 earnings in FinTech. The quarter's results should be solid, although a tougher y/y comparison may limit volume-related beats, and while Truist is optimistic on the group throughout 2026, some management teams may look to reset Street expectations a bit lower with their original 2026 guidance, the analyst tells investors in a research note.
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