Should You Buy Dragonfly Energy Holdings Corp (DFLI) Today? Analysis, Price Targets, and 2026 Outlook.
Conclusion
Sell
Latest Price
3.350
1 Day change
-1.76%
52 Week Range
26.200
Analysis Updated At
2026/01/28
DFLI is not a good buy right now for a beginner long-term investor with $50k–$100k who is unwilling to wait for a cleaner setup. The stock is in a clear downtrend (bearish moving-average stack) and is sitting right on key support (~3.58). There are no Intellectia buy signals today, no recent news catalysts, and Wall Street’s latest published price targets ($1.50 and $2.25) sit materially below the current ~$3.6 level—an unfavorable mismatch for a long-term entry today.
Technical Analysis
Trend/price action: Bearish. Moving averages are stacked bearishly (SMA_200 > SMA_20 > SMA_5), signaling a sustained downtrend.
Momentum: RSI(6) ~33.1 is weak and near oversold territory but not showing a confirmed reversal signal. MACD histogram is positive (0.111) but contracting, suggesting bullish momentum is fading rather than building.
Levels: Immediate support S1 ~3.582 (price ~3.6 is extremely close). If support breaks, next support is S2 ~3.333. Resistance levels to reclaim are Pivot ~3.985 then R1 ~4.388.
Pattern-based odds: Similar-pattern stats imply modest/low expected upside near-term (40% chance to +1.14% next day; +1.34% next week; +0.66% next month), which is not compelling versus downside risk from a support break.
Intellectia Proprietary Trading Signals
- [AI Stock Picker](module://ai_stock_pick): No signal on given stock today.
- [SwingMax](module://swingmax): No signal on given stock today.
Options Data
Bullish
Open Interest Put-Call Ratio
Bullish
Option Volume Put-Call Ratio
Options sentiment read: The provided put-call ratios are 0.0 (with many fields missing/blank), which suggests the options dataset is too sparse to confidently infer real sentiment from positioning/flow. What is clear: historical volatility is extremely high (~107%), implying the market expects large moves; that typically raises risk for a beginner long-term entry without a strong catalyst or confirmed trend reversal.
Technical Summary
Sell
11
Buy
4
Positive Catalysts
- Financial improvement signals in 2025/Q3: revenue growth (+25.53% YoY) and higher gross margin (+31.47% YoY) indicate operational progress.
- Net loss improved (net income less negative, +63.30% YoY improvement), which can support a longer-term turnaround narrative.
- Prior analyst commentary highlights financing/debt restructuring and belief in dry electrode technology potential (from Roth/Canaccord notes).
Neutral/Negative Catalysts
with price sitting on a key support (~3.58); a break could accelerate downside toward ~3.
- Analyst price targets, despite being raised, are still far below the current price (~$3.6), implying Wall Street sees meaningful downside versus today’s level.
Financial Performance
Latest reported quarter: 2025/Q3.
- Revenue: $15.967M, up 25.53% YoY (top-line growth improving).
- Gross margin: 29.66%, up 31.47% YoY (profitability at the gross level improving).
- Net income: -$11.07M, improved by 63.30% YoY (loss narrowing).
- EPS: -1.97, down 79.88% YoY (per-share performance worsened, consistent with potential dilution or other per-share headwinds despite improved net loss).
Overall: Operating trends look better in revenue/margins and loss reduction, but the EPS deterioration is a significant negative for equity holders and supports caution at this price.
Growth
Profitability
Efficiency
Analyst Ratings and Price Target Trends
Recent analyst trend (latest updates 2025-11-17):
- Roth Capital: Maintains Buy; raised PT to $1.50 from $1.00.
- Canaccord: Maintains Buy; raised PT to $2.25 from $1.00.
Wall Street pros view (pros/cons):
Pros: Both covering firms remain constructive, citing improved financial footing from financings/debt restructuring and underappreciated technology upside.
Cons: Even after upward revisions, both price targets remain well below the current ~$3.6, which effectively signals that—on their models—the stock looks overextended versus fundamentals. That disconnect is a major negative for initiating a long-term position today.
Politician/congress activity: No recent congress trading data available in the last 90 days.
Wall Street analysts forecast DFLI stock price to fall over the next 12 months. According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for DFLI is 1.88 USD with a low forecast of 1.5 USD and a high forecast of 2.25 USD. However, analyst price targets are subjective and often lag stock prices, so investors should focus on the objective reasons behind analyst rating changes, which better reflect the company's fundamentals.
2 Analyst Rating
Wall Street analysts forecast DFLI stock price to fall over the next 12 months. According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for DFLI is 1.88 USD with a low forecast of 1.5 USD and a high forecast of 2.25 USD. However, analyst price targets are subjective and often lag stock prices, so investors should focus on the objective reasons behind analyst rating changes, which better reflect the company's fundamentals.
2 Buy
0 Hold
0 Sell
Moderate Buy
Current: 3.410
Low
1.5
Averages
1.88
High
2.25
Current: 3.410
Low
1.5
Averages
1.88
High
2.25
Roth Capital
Buy
maintain
$1
AI Analysis
2025-11-17
Reason
Roth Capital
Price Target
$1
AI Analysis
2025-11-17
maintain
Buy
Reason
Roth Capital raised the firm's price target on Dragonfly Energy to $1.50 from $1 and keeps a Buy rating on the shares. The company's recent capital fundraising and debt restructuring provide a path to profitability, the analyst tells investors in a research note. The firm believes development of Dragonfly's dry electrode technology is being underappreciated by investors.
Canaccord
Buy
maintain
$1
2025-11-17
Reason
Canaccord
Price Target
$1
2025-11-17
maintain
Buy
Reason
Canaccord raised the firm's price target on Dragonfly Energy to $2.25 from $1 and keeps a Buy rating on the shares. The firm said September results were healthy and noted the course of the past several weeks, Dragonfly has concluded a sequence of transformative financings that that have restored the company's sound financial footing.
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