Should You Buy Ducommun Inc (DCO) Today? Analysis, Price Targets, and 2026 Outlook.
Analysis Updated At
2026/01/28
Not a good buy right now for a beginner long-term investor who wants to enter immediately. While the longer-term trend is still constructive (bullish moving averages) and Wall Street is positive with higher price targets, the stock is showing short-term weakening momentum (bearish MACD), insider selling has accelerated, and the latest reported quarter (2025/Q3) showed a sharp earnings collapse into a large loss. I would hold off on new buying until after the next earnings report (2026-02-23) confirms profitability normalization and the price reclaims/holds above the ~112 pivot with improving momentum.
Technical Analysis
Trend/structure: Bullish moving-average stack (SMA_5 > SMA_20 > SMA_200) suggests an intact longer-term uptrend.
Momentum: MACD histogram is negative (-0.291) and expanding to the downside, signaling near-term momentum is weakening.
RSI: RSI_6 ~51.7 is neutral (no oversold support signal).
Key levels: Pivot ~112.07 is immediate decision point. Support levels: ~107.98 then ~105.46. Resistance: ~116.17 then ~118.69.
Pattern-based forward bias (provided): ~50% chance of -2.1% next day, +1.63% next week, -5.91% next month—skews weak over the next month.
Intellectia Proprietary Trading Signals
- [AI Stock Picker](module://ai_stock_pick): No signal on given stock today.
- [SwingMax](module://swingmax): No signal on given stock today.
Analyst Ratings and Price Target Trends
Recent trend: Net-positive and strengthening. Citi initiated Buy (PT $110) in Dec 2025; then Truist raised PT to $124 (Buy) on 2026-01-09; Goldman raised PT to $132 (Buy) on 2026-01-20.
Wall Street pros: Favorable aerospace OE supply/demand dynamics, strong aftermarket growth/pricing, and improving defense hardware growth backdrop.
Wall Street cons: Defense margins may face pressure from contract mix shifts; fewer obvious defense catalysts in 2026; sector valuations elevated—stock selection matters.
Wall Street analysts forecast DCO stock price to rise over the next 12 months. According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for DCO is 111.8 USD with a low forecast of 100 USD and a high forecast of 124 USD. However, analyst price targets are subjective and often lag stock prices, so investors should focus on the objective reasons behind analyst rating changes, which better reflect the company's fundamentals.
Wall Street analysts forecast DCO stock price to rise over the next 12 months. According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for DCO is 111.8 USD with a low forecast of 100 USD and a high forecast of 124 USD. However, analyst price targets are subjective and often lag stock prices, so investors should focus on the objective reasons behind analyst rating changes, which better reflect the company's fundamentals.
Current: 111.720
Current: 111.720
