Should I Buy CVR? CVR 2026 Analysis

Should You Buy Chicago Rivet & Machine Co (CVR) Today? Analysis, Price Targets, and 2026 Outlook.

Conclusion

Hold

Latest Price

13.150

1 Day change

-3.94%

52 Week Range

16.240

Analysis Updated At

2026/01/28

CVR is not a good buy right now for a beginner long-term investor with $50k–$100k. The current setup is technically weak (bearish MACD, post-market drop), fundamentals in the latest quarter show earnings deterioration, and there are no supportive catalysts, analyst upgrades, or proprietary buy signals to justify stepping in immediately.

Technical Analysis

Price/Trend: Post-market is ~14.02 after a sharp -7.28% move, which weakens near-term momentum. Momentum: MACD histogram is negative (-0.252) and negatively expanding, signaling bearish momentum is building. RSI(6) at ~37.8 is soft/near-oversold but not showing a clear reversal signal. Moving Averages: Converging MAs suggest indecision/transition, but with MACD deteriorating, the bias leans bearish until price reclaims key levels. Levels: Pivot 13.559 is the key near-term line—holding above it keeps a base-building scenario alive; losing it opens downside toward S1 12.589 (then S2 11.99). Upside resistance is R1 14.53 (then R2 15.129); a clean regain of 14.53 would be the first technical sign buyers are back. Pattern odds (model): Similar-pattern analysis implies only modest edge (40% chance of ~+1.26% next day; +8.7% next week; +6.67% next month), which isn’t strong enough to override the current bearish momentum. Intellectia Proprietary Trading Signals **Intellectia Proprietary Trading Signals** - [AI Stock Picker](module://ai_stock_pick): No signal on given stock today. - [SwingMax](module://swingmax): No signal on given stock today.

Options Data

Positive Catalysts

- Gross margin improved in 2025/Q3 (reported up strongly to 18.06), which could help profitability if sustained.
- Upcoming earnings: 2026-02-05 after hours (potential catalyst if results show profit normalization).
- No notable negative trading trends from hedge funds or insiders (both Neutral).

Neutral/Negative Catalysts

- Latest quarter profitability deteriorated sharply (net income and EPS down significantly YoY), which undermines the long-term buy case right now.
- Bearish near-term technicals: MACD negative and worsening; post-market selloff suggests weak demand at current levels.
- No recent news flow to act as an upside catalyst in the near term.
- Microcap profile (market cap ~$13.38M) typically comes with limited liquidity and limited institutional/Wall Street support (in practice, fewer supporting buyers).

Financial Performance

Latest reported quarter: 2025/Q3. - Revenue: 7,360,284 (+5.60% YoY) — modest top-line growth. - Net Income: 67,572 (down -104.67% YoY) — profitability materially worsened. - EPS: 0.07 (down -104.67% YoY) — earnings power weakened. - Gross Margin: 18.06 (up 73.49% YoY) — margin improved, but it did not translate into better bottom-line results this quarter. Overall: sales are growing modestly, but earnings momentum is currently negative, which is a poor backdrop for an immediate long-term entry.

Growth

Profitability

Efficiency

Analyst Ratings and Price Target Trends

No analyst rating or price target data was provided (and this stock likely has limited Wall Street coverage given its size). Wall Street pros/cons view cannot be meaningfully summarized from the dataset; effectively, there is no visible analyst-driven support to lean on. Politicians/congress: No recent congress trading data available; no influential-figure buying/selling data provided. Institutional/insider trends: both Neutral with no significant recent activity.

Analyst Rating

Wall Street analysts forecast CVR stock price to rise over the next 12 months. According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for CVR is 0 USD with a low forecast of 0 USD and a high forecast of 0 USD. However, analyst price targets are subjective and often lag stock prices, so investors should focus on the objective reasons behind analyst rating changes, which better reflect the company's fundamentals.

Buy

Hold

Sell

Current: 13.689

Low

Averages

High