CTRN Valuation

Citi Trends Inc

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33.950

-0.08(-0.235%)1D

Overview
Forecast
Valuation
Earnings

CTRN Relative Valuation

CTRN's fair value is calculated using relative valuation, based on historical P/E and P/S ranges and their premiums/discounts relative to a competitor average, adjusted by weights. If the market price exceeds this fair value range, CTRN is overvalued; if below, it's undervalued.

Historical Valuation

Citi Trends Inc (CTRN) is now in the Fair zone, suggesting that its current forward PS ratio of 0.33 is considered Fairly compared with the five-year average of -19.65. The fair price of Citi Trends Inc (CTRN) is between 19.98 to 57.55 according to relative valuation methord.

Relative Value

Fair Zone

19.98-57.55

Current Price：35.65

Fair

-36.01

Trailing

Forward

40.31

EV/EBITDA

Citi Trends Inc. (CTRN) has a current EV/EBITDA of 40.31. The 5-year average EV/EBITDA is -118.01. The thresholds are as follows: Strongly Undervalued below -1316.57, Undervalued between -1316.57 and -717.29, Fairly Valued between 481.27 and -717.29, Overvalued between 481.27 and 1080.55, and Strongly Overvalued above 1080.55. The current Forward EV/EBITDA of 40.31 falls within the Historic Trend Line -Fairly Valued range.

-41.87

EV/EBIT

Citi Trends Inc. (CTRN) has a current EV/EBIT of -41.87. The 5-year average EV/EBIT is -13.43. The thresholds are as follows: Strongly Undervalued below -84.02, Undervalued between -84.02 and -48.73, Fairly Valued between 21.86 and -48.73, Overvalued between 21.86 and 57.16, and Strongly Overvalued above 57.16. The current Forward EV/EBIT of -41.87 falls within the Historic Trend Line -Fairly Valued range.

0.34

Citi Trends Inc. (CTRN) has a current PS of 0.34. The 5-year average PS is 0.37. The thresholds are as follows: Strongly Undervalued below -0.06, Undervalued between -0.06 and 0.16, Fairly Valued between 0.59 and 0.16, Overvalued between 0.59 and 0.80, and Strongly Overvalued above 0.80. The current Forward PS of 0.34 falls within the Historic Trend Line -Fairly Valued range.

41.52

P/OCF

Citi Trends Inc. (CTRN) has a current P/OCF of 41.52. The 5-year average P/OCF is 56.31. The thresholds are as follows: Strongly Undervalued below -323.86, Undervalued between -323.86 and -133.77, Fairly Valued between 246.40 and -133.77, Overvalued between 246.40 and 436.48, and Strongly Overvalued above 436.48. The current Forward P/OCF of 41.52 falls within the Historic Trend Line -Fairly Valued range.

-15.98

P/FCF

Citi Trends Inc. (CTRN) has a current P/FCF of -15.98. The 5-year average P/FCF is -0.76. The thresholds are as follows: Strongly Undervalued below -25.29, Undervalued between -25.29 and -13.02, Fairly Valued between 11.51 and -13.02, Overvalued between 11.51 and 23.78, and Strongly Overvalued above 23.78. The current Forward P/FCF of -15.98 falls within the Undervalued range.

Citi Trends Inc (CTRN) has a current Price-to-Book (P/B) ratio of 2.38. Compared to its 3-year average P/B ratio of 1.35 , the current P/B ratio is approximately 76.80% higher. Relative to its 5-year average P/B ratio of 2.30, the current P/B ratio is about 3.55% higher. Citi Trends Inc (CTRN) has a Forward Free Cash Flow (FCF) yield of approximately -2.25%. Compared to its 3-year average FCF yield of -9.07%, the current FCF yield is approximately -75.23% lower. Relative to its 5-year average FCF yield of -1.63% , the current FCF yield is about 37.95% lower.

2.49

P/B

Median3y

1.35

Median5y

2.30

-2.15

FCF Yield

Median3y

-9.07

Median5y

-1.63

Competitors Valuation Multiple

The average P/S ratio for CTRN's competitors is 0.22, providing a benchmark for relative valuation. Citi Trends Inc Corp (CTRN) exhibits a P/S ratio of 0.34, which is 56.13% above the industry average. Given its robust revenue growth of 8.29%, this premium appears unsustainable.

P/S

P/E

EV/EBITDA

EV/EBIT

P/S

Revenue Growth

Market Cap

Performance Decomposition

Market capitalization of CTRN increased by 137.41% over the past 1 year. The primary factor behind the change was an decrease in P/E Change from -2.05 to -7.23.

The secondary factor is the Revenue Growth, contributed 8.29%to the performance.

Overall, the performance of CTRN in the past 1 year is driven by P/E Change. Which is more unsustainable.

8.29%

186.29M → 201.73M

Revenue Growth

-123.37%

-1.84 → 0.43

Margin Expansion

252.49%

-2.05 → -7.23

P/E Change

137.41%