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CTRA Should I Buy

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Intellectia

Should You Buy Coterra Energy Inc (CTRA) Today? Analysis, Price Targets, and 2026 Outlook.

Conclusion
Buy
Latest Price
31.420
1 Day change
1.72%
52 Week Range
36.880
Analysis Updated At
2026/04/17
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Coterra Energy Inc (CTRA) is a good buy for a beginner investor with a long-term strategy and $50,000-$100,000 available for investment. The stock benefits from strong analyst upgrades, positive financial performance, and favorable geopolitical tailwinds in the oil market. While technical indicators are neutral, the long-term outlook for the energy sector and the company's position within it make this a solid investment opportunity.

Technical Analysis

The MACD is below 0 but negatively contracting, suggesting a potential reversal. RSI is neutral at 28.591, and moving averages are converging, indicating no strong trend. The stock is trading near its support level of 31.758, with resistance at 34.955. Overall, technical indicators are neutral.

Options Data

Bullish
Open Interest Put-Call Ratio
Bullish
Option Volume Put-Call Ratio

The low put-call ratios indicate bullish sentiment in the options market, with a significant skew towards calls.

Technical Summary

StrongSellSellNeutralBuyStrongBuydotted line Image
Sell
8
Buy
4

Positive Catalysts

  • Multiple analysts have raised price targets significantly, with Citi, Morgan Stanley, and Mizuho projecting targets of $42-$

  • The ongoing Iran conflict is driving higher oil prices, benefiting North American producers like Coterra.

  • Strong financial performance in Q4 2025, with revenue and net income increasing over 23% YoY.

Neutral/Negative Catalysts

  • Downgrades from Texas Capital and Siebert Williams citing the merger with Devon Energy and concerns over valuation.

  • Gross margin dropped by 16.71% YoY in Q4 2025, which may raise questions about operational efficiency.

Financial Performance

In Q4 2025, revenue increased by 23.79% YoY to $1.79 billion, net income rose by 23.49% YoY to $368 million, and EPS grew by 20% YoY to $0.48. However, gross margin declined by 16.71% YoY to 31.51%. Overall, the company is showing strong growth trends despite some margin pressure.

Growth

Profitability

Efficiency

Analyst Ratings and Price Target Trends

Analysts are broadly positive, with multiple upgrades and price target increases reflecting higher oil price forecasts. The consensus price target is now in the $42-$43 range, significantly above the current price of $32. However, a few downgrades have been issued due to the merger with Devon Energy.

Wall Street analysts forecast CTRA stock price to rise
12 Analyst Rating
Wall Street analysts forecast CTRA stock price to rise
10 Buy
2 Hold
0 Sell
Strong Buy
Current: 30.890
sliders
Low
28
Averages
33.9
High
50
Current: 30.890
sliders
Low
28
Averages
33.9
High
50
Citi
Buy
maintain
$32 -> $42
AI Analysis
2026-03-29
Reason
Citi
Price Target
$32 -> $42
AI Analysis
2026-03-29
maintain
Buy
Reason
Citi raised the firm's price target on Coterra Energy to $42 from $32 and keeps a Buy rating on the shares. Citi updated models in the oil exploration and production group to reflect its higher oil price forecasts.
Morgan Stanley
Devin McDermott
Equal Weight
maintain
$28 -> $42
2026-03-27
Reason
Morgan Stanley
Devin McDermott
Price Target
$28 -> $42
2026-03-27
maintain
Equal Weight
Reason
Morgan Stanley analyst Devin McDermott raised the firm's price target on Coterra Energy to $42 from $28 and keeps an Equal Weight rating on the shares. Oil, LNG and refining margins have hit their highest levels since 2022 and even with de-escalation in Iran, it is becoming less likely that these markets can revert to their prior regime anytime soon, the analyst tells investors. The firm updated its price deck, increasing its 2026 WTI benchmark by 44%, NGLs by 40%, and cracks by 35%, while noting that its EBITDA estimates across its North America energy coverage are rising by about 40% for 2026 and 23% in 2027 on average.
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