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CTRA Should I Buy

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Intellectia

Should You Buy Coterra Energy Inc (CTRA) Today? Analysis, Price Targets, and 2026 Outlook.

Conclusion
Buy
Latest Price
34.670
1 Day change
-3.45%
52 Week Range
36.880
Analysis Updated At
2026/03/27
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Coterra Energy Inc (CTRA) is a good buy for a beginner investor with a long-term strategy and $50,000-$100,000 available for investment. The stock benefits from strong financial performance, positive analyst sentiment, and favorable market conditions driven by geopolitical factors. Despite some overbought technical indicators, the long-term prospects and merger synergies make it an attractive investment.

Technical Analysis

The technical indicators for CTRA are bullish. The MACD is positive and expanding, indicating upward momentum. The RSI is overbought at 90.179, suggesting the stock may be slightly overextended in the short term. Moving averages are bullish (SMA_5 > SMA_20 > SMA_200), and the stock is trading above key resistance levels (R1: 35.622, R2: 36.691).

Options Data

Bullish
Open Interest Put-Call Ratio
Bullish
Option Volume Put-Call Ratio

Technical Summary

StrongSellSellNeutralBuyStrongBuydotted line Image
Sell
4
Buy
7

Positive Catalysts

  • Analysts have raised price targets, with Mizuho, Barclays, and Piper Sandler projecting higher oil prices due to geopolitical risks.

  • The merger with Devon Energy is expected to create $1 billion in synergies by 2027, enhancing market position.

  • Strong financial performance in Q4 2025, with revenue and net income up 23.79% and 23.49% YoY, respectively.

Neutral/Negative Catalysts

  • Some analysts downgraded the stock due to the merger, citing limited upside from the deal.

  • The RSI indicates the stock is overbought, which could lead to short-term pullbacks.

  • Gross margin dropped by -16.71% YoY in Q4 2025, which may raise concerns about cost management.

Financial Performance

In Q4 2025, Coterra Energy reported strong growth with revenue increasing by 23.79% YoY to $1.79 billion, net income rising by 23.49% YoY to $368 million, and EPS up 20% YoY to $0.48. However, gross margin declined by -16.71% YoY to 31.51%.

Growth

Profitability

Efficiency

Analyst Ratings and Price Target Trends

Analysts are generally positive on CTRA, with multiple firms raising price targets due to higher oil price forecasts and the merger's potential synergies. However, some downgrades were issued due to concerns about the merger's valuation and limited upside.

Wall Street analysts forecast CTRA stock price to fall
12 Analyst Rating
Wall Street analysts forecast CTRA stock price to fall
10 Buy
2 Hold
0 Sell
Strong Buy
Current: 35.910
sliders
Low
28
Averages
33.9
High
50
Current: 35.910
sliders
Low
28
Averages
33.9
High
50
Citi
Buy
maintain
$32 -> $42
AI Analysis
2026-03-29
New
Reason
Citi
Price Target
$32 -> $42
AI Analysis
2026-03-29
New
maintain
Buy
Reason
Citi raised the firm's price target on Coterra Energy to $42 from $32 and keeps a Buy rating on the shares. Citi updated models in the oil exploration and production group to reflect its higher oil price forecasts.
Morgan Stanley
Devin McDermott
Equal Weight
maintain
$28 -> $42
2026-03-27
New
Reason
Morgan Stanley
Devin McDermott
Price Target
$28 -> $42
2026-03-27
New
maintain
Equal Weight
Reason
Morgan Stanley analyst Devin McDermott raised the firm's price target on Coterra Energy to $42 from $28 and keeps an Equal Weight rating on the shares. Oil, LNG and refining margins have hit their highest levels since 2022 and even with de-escalation in Iran, it is becoming less likely that these markets can revert to their prior regime anytime soon, the analyst tells investors. The firm updated its price deck, increasing its 2026 WTI benchmark by 44%, NGLs by 40%, and cracks by 35%, while noting that its EBITDA estimates across its North America energy coverage are rising by about 40% for 2026 and 23% in 2027 on average.
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