Should I Buy CSV? CSV 2026 Analysis

Should You Buy Carriage Services Inc (CSV) Today? Analysis, Price Targets, and 2026 Outlook.

Conclusion

Sell

Latest Price

44.320

1 Day change

0.05%

52 Week Range

49.410

Analysis Updated At

2026/02/04

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Not a good buy right now: the broader trend is still bearish (SMA_200 > SMA_20 > SMA_5), so rallies are more likely to fade than extend.
Short-term momentum has improved (MACD histogram positive and expanding), but it’s not strong enough to override the dominant downtrend.
Options positioning looks bullish by open interest (very low put/call OI ratio), but zero volume today and very low typical volume suggests sentiment is not strongly actionable.
Financials show modest revenue growth but sharp EPS/net income declines (margin/earnings pressure), which weakens the fundamental setup into the next earnings event.
With an impatient posture (no waiting for better entries), the risk/reward favors avoiding/exit rather than buying at $43.9.

Intellectia Proprietary Trading Signals

AI Stock Picker: No signal on given stock today.
SwingMax: No signal on given stock today.

Technical Analysis

Trend: Bearish structure (SMA_200 > SMA_20 > SMA_5) indicates the longer-term trend remains down.
Momentum: MACD histogram at 0.0118 (above 0 and expanding) suggests a nascent upside push, but still early-stage.
RSI: RSI_6 = 56 (neutral) shows no clear overbought/oversold edge.
Key levels: Pivot 42.828.
- Near resistance: R1 43.856 (price 43.9 is essentially at/just above this area), then R2 44.491.
- Support: S1 41.801, then S2 41.166.
Pattern-based forward bias (similar candlestick patterns): ~50% chance of -0.13% next day, -0.94% next week, and -13.43% next month (skews downside over the coming month).

Options Data

Bullish

Open Interest Put-Call Ratio

Bullish

Option Volume Put-Call Ratio

Open interest: Calls 97 vs Puts 17 → OI put/call = 0.18 (strong call-skew; superficially bullish positioning).
Volume: 0 calls / 0 puts today → volume put/call = 0.0, but with no trades this is not a meaningful real-time sentiment read.
Volatility: IV 30D 42.15 vs historical vol 21.55 → options imply elevated forward uncertainty.
IV Rank/Percentile: IV rank 12.41 and IV percentile 33.07 → implied vol is not extreme versus its own history (moderate), despite being high relative to realized.
Liquidity note: Very low average option volume (5D avg 4.8; 10D avg 3.3) makes options signals less reliable and execution potentially difficult.

Technical Summary

Sell

Buy

Positive Catalysts

if buyers follow through.

Neutral/Negative Catalysts

- Primary trend remains bearish (moving averages stacked bearishly), increasing probability of pullbacks after short rallies.
- Pattern-based projection skews sharply negative over the next month (-13.43% indicated by similar historical setups).
- Profitability deterioration: net income and EPS down materially YoY, which can pressure valuation and sentiment into earnings.
- No supportive news flow in the past week (no fresh positive catalyst identified).
- Political/congress activity: No recent congress trading data available in the last 90 days (no influential buying signal).
- Institutional/insider flows: Hedge funds neutral; insiders neutral (no accumulation signal).

Financial Performance

Latest quarter provided: 2025/Q3.
Revenue: $102.742M, +2.04% YoY (modest growth).
Net income: $6.474M, -33.53% YoY (meaningful decline).
EPS: $0.41, -34.92% YoY (earnings compression).
Gross margin: 36.88%, +0.35% YoY (slight improvement, but not enough to prevent earnings decline).

Growth

Profitability

Efficiency

Analyst Ratings and Price Target Trends

No analyst rating/price target change data was provided, so a recent Wall Street upgrade/downgrade trend cannot be confirmed from the dataset.
Practical “pros vs cons” view based on provided data:
- Pros: modest revenue growth; slightly improved gross margin.
- Cons: sharp EPS/net income decline; bearish technical trend; downside-skewed pattern projection; lack of identifiable near-term positive catalysts ahead of earnings.

3 Analyst Rating

Wall Street analysts forecast CSV stock price to rise over the next 12 months. According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for CSV is 58.33 USD with a low forecast of 56 USD and a high forecast of 60 USD. However, analyst price targets are subjective and often lag stock prices, so investors should focus on the objective reasons behind analyst rating changes, which better reflect the company's fundamentals.

3 Buy

0 Hold

0 Sell

Strong Buy

Current: 44.300

Low

Averages

58.33

High

Current: 44.300

Low

Averages

58.33

High

Raymond James

Outperform

initiated

$60

AI Analysis

2025-10-01

Reason

Raymond James

Price Target

$60

AI Analysis

2025-10-01

initiated

Outperform

Reason

Raymond James initiated coverage of Carriage Services (CSV) with an Outperform rating and $60 price target. The firm views Carriage as an turnaround story under the new the management team. The company has EBITDA growth tailwinds from the streamlining of its operations, efforts to grow its pre-need business, and the potential for acquisitions with a better balance sheet, the analyst tells investors in a research note. Raymond James sees room for the stock to close its valuation discount to Service Corporation (SCI).

B. Riley

Buy

maintain

$52 -> $65

2025-08-08

Reason

B. Riley

Price Target

$52 -> $65

2025-08-08

maintain

Buy

Reason

B. Riley raised the firm's price target on Carriage Services to $65 from $52 and keeps a Buy rating on the shares post the earnings report. The firm says the company is "returning to growth mode."

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CSV Should I Buy

CSV Should I Buy

Should You Buy Carriage Services Inc (CSV) Today? Analysis, Price Targets, and 2026 Outlook.

Technical Analysis

Options Data

Technical Summary

Positive Catalysts

Neutral/Negative Catalysts

Financial Performance

Growth

Profitability

Efficiency

Analyst Ratings and Price Target Trends

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