Should I Buy CRML? CRML 2026 Analysis

Should You Buy Critical Metals Corp (CRML) Today? Analysis, Price Targets, and 2026 Outlook.

Conclusion

Hold

Latest Price

15.140

1 Day change

20.25%

52 Week Range

32.150

Analysis Updated At

2026/01/28

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CRML is not a good buy right now for a Beginner, long-term investor who wants to act immediately. Despite a positive long-term theme (rare earths) and a bullish analyst note, the stock is currently reacting to event-driven competitive fears, is very high-volatility, and the company’s fundamentals still look pre-revenue/early-stage. A better risk/reward buy point would be after the selloff stabilizes and the price reclaims key levels (at least the pivot area).

Technical Analysis

Trend/price action: CRML is down sharply today (about -6.16% regular session; -1.86% pre-market), showing near-term selling pressure. Momentum: MACD histogram is positive (0.185) but “positively contracting,” suggesting bullish momentum is fading rather than strengthening. RSI: RSI(6) ~51.3 (neutral) — no oversold bounce signal. Moving averages: Bullish structure (SMA_5 > SMA_20 > SMA_200) supports a broader uptrend, but today’s drop indicates a pullback within that trend. Key levels: Pivot ~17.646 (price ~17.09 is below pivot = near-term bearish). Support S1 ~14.364 (next major downside area if selling continues). Resistance R1 ~20.927 (needs reclaim to reassert upside control). Pattern-based forward view provided: similar-pattern stats imply modest upside next week (+1.28%) but a negative 1-month bias (-3.71%), aligning with a “choppy-to-down” near-term outlook.

Options Data

Bullish

Open Interest Put-Call Ratio

Bearish

Option Volume Put-Call Ratio

Positioning: Open interest put/call ratio of 0.46 suggests heavier call open interest (bullish longer-looking positioning).

Flow today: Put/call volume ratio of 1.07 is slightly put-heavy, consistent with near-term caution/hedging during the drop.

Volatility: Extremely high (HV ~228.7%, IV30 ~142.0%). IV percentile ~30 and IV rank ~21 indicate IV is not at extremes versus its own history, but the absolute level is still very high, reinforcing that this is a high-swing name.

Net read: Longer-dated sentiment looks constructive (calls dominate OI), but today’s trading is more defensive (puts slightly dominate volume).

Technical Summary

Sell

Buy

Positive Catalysts

Analyst support: Clear Street reiterated Buy and raised the price target to $20 (from $
on 2026-01-20, tied to the Saudi Arabia strategic partnership/JV term sheet for rare earth processing.
Project execution optics: Announced deployment of autonomous drone system and communications tower for the Tanbreez REE project (operational monitoring/safety/efficiency improvements) — incremental positive for de-risking operations.
Macro theme: Strategic government/industrial focus on rare earth supply chains remains supportive for the sector over the long run.

Neutral/Negative Catalysts

Competitive/event-driven shock: News that the U.S. government acquired a 10% stake in USA Rare Earth reportedly triggered CRML’s sharp decline (concerns about Tanbreez commercialization/competitive positioning).
Near-term technical weakness: Price is below the pivot after a large down day, increasing the chance of continued drawdown toward ~14.36 support.
Very high volatility: Makes timing and position sizing difficult for a Beginner long-term investor who wants immediate entry without waiting.

Financial Performance

Latest provided quarter: 2023/Q3. Revenue: 0 (no operating revenue reported), indicating an early-stage/pre-commercial profile. Profitability: Net income -170,007 and EPS -0.02 (still loss-making). Growth trend takeaway: With revenue still at zero and earnings negative, the investment case is primarily based on project development milestones and strategic partnerships rather than demonstrated operating growth.

Growth

Profitability

Efficiency

Analyst Ratings and Price Target Trends

Recent trend: Bullish. On 2026-01-20, Clear Street maintained a Buy and raised its price target to $20 from $14 after the Saudi JV/term-sheet announcement and expectations for Tanbreez Phase 1 output. Wall Street pros view (pros): Strategic partnerships, potential scale of rare earth concentrate production, leverage to a strong long-term rare earth supply-chain theme. Wall Street cons view (cons): Commercialization and competitive uncertainty (highlighted by the market reaction to USA Rare Earth news), plus the company’s early-stage financial profile. Ownership/trading by influential figures: Hedge funds neutral; insiders neutral. No recent Congress trading data available, and no politician activity was provided.

Analyst Rating

Wall Street analysts forecast CRML stock price to rise over the next 12 months. According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for CRML is 0 USD with a low forecast of 0 USD and a high forecast of 0 USD. However, analyst price targets are subjective and often lag stock prices, so investors should focus on the objective reasons behind analyst rating changes, which better reflect the company's fundamentals.

Buy

Hold

Sell

Current: 12.590

Low

Averages

High

Current: 12.590

Low

Averages

High

Clear Street

Buy

maintain

$14 -> $20

AI Analysis

2026-01-20

Reason

Clear Street

Price Target

$14 -> $20

AI Analysis

2026-01-20

maintain

Buy

Reason

Clear Street raised the firm's price target on Critical Metals to $20 from $14 and keeps a Buy rating on the shares. The company signed a 50/50 joint venture term sheet with a leading industrial conglomerate in Saudi Arabia for a strategic partnership to develop and construct a rare earth processing facility there, the analyst tells investors in a research note. The firm expects nearly 100,000 metric tons of annual production of rare earth elements concentrate production at Tanbreez in Phase 1.

Clear Street

Tim Moore

initiated

$12

2025-09-03

Reason

Clear Street

Tim Moore

Price Target

$12

2025-09-03

initiated

Reason

Clear Street analyst Tim Moore initiated coverage of Critical Metals with a Buy rating and $12 price target. Critical Metals is \"a unique way for investors to gain exposure\" to rare earths and high-value metals used in high performance technology and magnets, says the analyst, who notes the company plans ore mining with the Tanbreez project in Greenland. The Tanbreez mining project is \"the key catalyst,\" adds the analyst, who assumes Critical Metals owns 92.5% of it by late December after reaching a capex milestone.

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CRML Should I Buy

CRML Should I Buy

Should You Buy Critical Metals Corp (CRML) Today? Analysis, Price Targets, and 2026 Outlook.

Technical Analysis

Options Data

Technical Summary

Positive Catalysts

Neutral/Negative Catalysts

Financial Performance

Growth

Profitability

Efficiency

Analyst Ratings and Price Target Trends

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