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CRC Should I Buy

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Intellectia

Should You Buy California Resources Corp (CRC) Today? Analysis, Price Targets, and 2026 Outlook.

Conclusion
Hold
Latest Price
61.640
1 Day change
-3.75%
52 Week Range
66.350
Analysis Updated At
2026/03/06
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California Resources Corp (CRC) is not a strong buy at the moment for a beginner investor with a long-term strategy. While there are positive indicators such as insider and hedge fund buying, as well as bullish technical indicators, the company's recent financial performance shows significant declines in revenue, net income, and EPS. Additionally, there are no strong proprietary trading signals, and the options data suggests a lack of significant bullish sentiment. For a long-term investor, it may be prudent to wait for more consistent financial performance or additional positive catalysts before investing.

Technical Analysis

The technical indicators are bullish. The MACD is positive and expanding, RSI is neutral at 78.595, and moving averages are in a bullish alignment (SMA_5 > SMA_20 > SMA_200). The stock is trading above key pivot levels, with resistance at R1: 63.028 and R2: 64.824, and support at S1: 57.214 and S2: 55.418.

Options Data

Bullish
Open Interest Put-Call Ratio
Bullish
Option Volume Put-Call Ratio

The open interest put-call ratio of 0.34 and option volume put-call ratio of 0.04 indicate a strong preference for calls over puts, but the overall volume is not significantly high. Implied volatility is at 46.58, with an IV percentile of 82.07, suggesting elevated volatility expectations.

Technical Summary

StrongSellSellNeutralBuyStrongBuydotted line Image
Sell
2
Buy
8

Positive Catalysts

  • Hedge funds and insiders are increasing their buying activity significantly.

  • Analysts have raised price targets recently, with Wells Fargo and Barclays projecting values up to $

  • The company demonstrates potential in its carbon capture business and land utilization for data centers.

Neutral/Negative Catalysts

  • The company's financial performance in Q4 2025 showed significant YoY declines in revenue (-13.82%), net income (-63.64%), and EPS (-61.11%).

  • Gross margin also dropped by 13.40%, indicating declining profitability.

  • No recent congress trading data or strong proprietary trading signals to support a buy decision.

Financial Performance

In Q4 2025, revenue dropped to $798 million (-13.82% YoY), net income fell to $12 million (-63.64% YoY), and EPS declined to $0.14 (-61.11% YoY). Gross margin decreased to 43.11% (-13.40% YoY), reflecting weaker financial performance overall.

Growth

Profitability

Efficiency

Analyst Ratings and Price Target Trends

Analysts maintain a generally positive outlook, with multiple firms raising price targets recently. Wells Fargo raised its target to $72, Roth Capital to $65, and Barclays to $67, citing improving capital efficiency, resource depth, and upside potential from carbon capture. However, UBS and Barclays had previously lowered targets in early 2026 due to macro volatility concerns.

Wall Street analysts forecast CRC stock price to rise
9 Analyst Rating
Wall Street analysts forecast CRC stock price to rise
9 Buy
0 Hold
0 Sell
Strong Buy
Current: 64.040
sliders
Low
56
Averages
64.33
High
72
Current: 64.040
sliders
Low
56
Averages
64.33
High
72
Jefferies
Emma Schwartz
Buy
maintain
$62 -> $84
AI Analysis
2026-03-08
New
Reason
Jefferies
Emma Schwartz
Price Target
$62 -> $84
AI Analysis
2026-03-08
New
maintain
Buy
Reason
Jefferies analyst Emma Schwartz raised the firm's price target on California Resources to $84 from $62 and keeps a Buy rating on the shares after hosting meetings with management. The analyst left "incrementally more positive" on the shares. The firm multiple catalysts to unlock value in 2026 across the business. As California's largest oil and gas producer, California Resources is well positioned to capitalize on improved permitting post SB-237, the analyst tells investors in a research note.
UBS
Buy
maintain
$63 -> $75
2026-03-05
Reason
UBS
Price Target
$63 -> $75
2026-03-05
maintain
Buy
Reason
UBS raised the firm's price target on California Resources to $75 from $63 and keeps a Buy rating on the shares. Energy is viewed as offering attractive risk/reward, with the higher price target reflecting a $10/bbl increase in 2026 oil price assumptions to $68 WTI and $72 Brent and a modest valuation multiple expansion due to geopolitical risk, the analyst tells investors in a research note. Markets appear to underprice prolonged Middle East conflict and potential Qatar gas supply disruptions, which could lift oil and natural gas prices and drive the strongest free cash flow upside for companies producing both oil and gas, the firm says.
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