Should I Buy CPS? CPS 2026 Analysis

Should You Buy Cooper-Standard Holdings Inc (CPS) Today? Analysis, Price Targets, and 2026 Outlook.

Conclusion

Hold

Latest Price

31.370

1 Day change

-3.48%

52 Week Range

40.670

Analysis Updated At

2026/01/28

Not a good buy right now for a beginner, long-term investor with $50k–$100k. CPS is a small-cap, high-volatility cyclical auto supplier that is still loss-making (2025/Q3). While the stock looks short-term oversold and options positioning is bullish-leaning, the next major catalyst is upcoming earnings (Feb 18, 2026 after-hours), which adds near-term uncertainty. For an impatient investor looking to deploy capital now, this risk/reward is not attractive enough to call a clean long-term buy today.

Technical Analysis

Price/Trend: CPS at $31.23 is trading below the pivot level (32.183), indicating the near-term trend is still weak. Momentum: MACD histogram is negative (-0.245) but contracting, suggesting downside momentum is slowing (possible stabilization, not a confirmed reversal). RSI(6) at ~31.8 is near oversold territory, consistent with a potential short-term bounce. Levels: Support at S1 30.77 then S2 29.896; resistance at pivot 32.183 then R1 33.596. A convincing reclaim of ~32.18 would improve the technical backdrop; until then, it’s a weak/sideways-to-down setup. Intellectia Proprietary Trading Signals: **Intellectia Proprietary Trading Signals** - [AI Stock Picker](module://ai_stock_pick): No signal on given stock today. - [SwingMax](module://swingmax): No signal on given stock today.

Options Data

Bullish

Open Interest Put-Call Ratio

Bullish

Option Volume Put-Call Ratio

Options sentiment appears bullish-leaning: open interest put/call ratio of 0.29 suggests substantially more call positioning than puts, and volume put/call ratio of 0.0 shows today’s activity skewed to calls (or effectively no put volume). However, implied volatility is very high (30D IV ~73.5% vs historical vol ~82.2%), indicating the market is pricing large moves and uncertainty—consistent with an earnings-driven setup. Net: sentiment leans bullish, but the high IV signals elevated risk around catalysts.

Technical Summary

Sell

Buy

Positive Catalysts

and MACD downside momentum is weakening, which can support a short-term stabilization/bounce.

Neutral/Negative Catalysts

- Earnings risk is imminent: with high implied volatility and the company still loss-making, a miss or weak guidance could produce a large drawdown.
- Profitability remains weak: despite slightly higher revenue and improved gross margin in 2025/Q3, net loss widened YoY and EPS declined.
- No supportive flow signals from insiders/hedge funds: both are neutral with no notable recent accumulation trends.
- Small-cap + cyclical auto supplier profile typically means higher drawdowns in risk-off periods; current volatility metrics confirm this elevated risk.

Financial Performance

Latest reported quarter: 2025/Q3. Revenue rose to ~$695.5M (+1.48% YoY), showing modest top-line growth. Gross margin improved to ~12.28 (+12.66% YoY), a constructive sign operationally. However, profitability worsened: net income fell to about -$7.64M (down -30.87% YoY) and EPS declined to -$0.43 (down -31.75% YoY). Bottom line: margins improved, but the business is still not translating that into earnings—an issue for long-term, beginner-friendly investing.

Growth

Profitability

Efficiency

Analyst Ratings and Price Target Trends

Recent analyst trend is modestly positive on targets, mixed on stance: - 2025-12-16: Stifel (Buy) raised PT to $43 from $41 (bullish view tied to pricing power and expectations for improved volume dynamics into 2026). - 2025-12-15: Citi (Neutral) raised PT to $35 from $31 (less bullish conviction, but acknowledges improved outlook). Wall Street pros/cons view: Pros—improving industry/pricing dynamics and potential 2026 revenue growth tailwinds; Cons—still-loss-making profile and execution/volume sensitivity. Net: improving sentiment, but not a unanimous high-conviction buy.

2 Analyst Rating

Wall Street analysts forecast CPS stock price to rise over the next 12 months. According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for CPS is 39 USD with a low forecast of 35 USD and a high forecast of 43 USD. However, analyst price targets are subjective and often lag stock prices, so investors should focus on the objective reasons behind analyst rating changes, which better reflect the company's fundamentals.

1 Buy

1 Hold

0 Sell

Moderate Buy

Current: 32.500

Low

Averages

High

Current: 32.500

Low

Averages

High

Stifel

Nathan Jones

NULL -> Buy

maintain

$41 -> $43

AI Analysis

2025-12-16

Reason

Stifel

Nathan Jones

Price Target

$41 -> $43

AI Analysis

2025-12-16

maintain

NULL -> Buy

Reason

Stifel analyst Nathan Jones raised the firm's price target on Cooper-Standard to $43 from $41 and keeps a Buy rating on the shares. Growth in 2025 for diversified industrials has largely been driven by tariff related price increases, again demonstrating these companies have superior pricing power, with volumes generally flat to down modestly, the analyst tells investors in a research note. The firm expects volume growth in 2026 to be primarily driven by the absence of, or at least lower, levels of inventory destocking combined with carryover pricing leading to low to mid single-digit revenue growth in 2026.

Citi

Michael Ward

Neutral

maintain

$31 -> $35

2025-12-15

Reason

Citi

Michael Ward

Price Target

$31 -> $35

2025-12-15

maintain

Neutral

Reason

Citi analyst Michael Ward raised the firm's price target on Cooper-Standard to $35 from $31 and keeps a Neutral rating on the shares.

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CPS Should I Buy

CPS Should I Buy

Should You Buy Cooper-Standard Holdings Inc (CPS) Today? Analysis, Price Targets, and 2026 Outlook.

Technical Analysis

Options Data

Technical Summary

Positive Catalysts

Neutral/Negative Catalysts

Financial Performance

Growth

Profitability

Efficiency

Analyst Ratings and Price Target Trends

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