Cooper-Standard Holdings Inc. (CPS) Q4 2025 Earnings Call Transcript
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Overview
The earnings call presented mixed signals: improved net loss and positive free cash flow are offset by reduced guidance and supply chain disruptions. The Q&A highlighted management's cautious optimism, but also noted uncertainties in production and revenue guidance. The alignment with electric vehicle trends and strong relationships with Chinese OEMs are positive, yet the lack of specific guidance details and refinancing urgency create uncertainties. These mixed factors suggest a neutral stock price movement in the short term.
Key Financial Performance
Fourth Quarter 2025 Sales $672 million, an increase of 1.8% year-over-year. The improvement was despite the negative impact from a customer supply chain disruption that significantly reduced production volumes on one of the top platforms. Favorable foreign exchange, mainly from the euro, contributed positively.
Fourth Quarter 2025 Adjusted EBITDA $34.9 million or 5.2% of sales, compared to $54.3 million or 8.2% of sales in Q4 2024. The decrease was primarily driven by short-term industry disruptions impacting volume and mix, as well as inflationary and compensation-related costs year-over-year.
Fourth Quarter 2025 Net Income (GAAP) $3.3 million, including a $45 million deferred tax asset valuation allowance release and $11.5 million in restructuring charges. Adjusted net loss was $31 million compared to an adjusted net loss of $2.9 million in Q4 2024.
Full Year 2025 Sales $2.74 billion, an increase of 0.4% year-over-year. The modest improvement was primarily due to favorable foreign exchange and net customer pricing and recoveries, which offset lost sales related to customer production disruptions.
Full Year 2025 Adjusted EBITDA $209.7 million, compared to $180.7 million in 2024. The improvement was driven by manufacturing and supply chain efficiencies, savings from restructuring initiatives, and favorable foreign exchange, which offset weak volume and unfavorable customer price adjustments.
Full Year 2025 Net Loss (GAAP) $4.2 million, significantly improved from a net loss of $78.7 million in 2024. Adjusted net loss was $30.9 million compared to $56.7 million in 2024.
Cost Savings in 2025 $64 million from operational efficiency improvements and lean initiatives, and $18 million from salary reduction actions implemented in Q2 2024.
Capital Expenditures in 2025 $48 million or 1.8% of sales, similar to 2024 levels. Focused on customer launch readiness and new business growth.
Free Cash Flow in 2025 $16.3 million for the full year, with $44.6 million generated in Q4. Positive free cash flow was achieved despite lower cash earnings in Q4.
Net New Business Awards in 2025 $298 million, with 74% related to value-add innovation and 74% tied to battery electric or hybrid vehicle platforms. 51% of awards were with Chinese OEMs.
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Operating Highlights
Net New Business Awards: Received $298 million in net new business awards in 2025, with 74% related to value-add innovation and 74% tied to battery electric or hybrid vehicle platforms.
Innovative Products: Launched new products like FlexiCore, FlushSeal, and eCoFlow family of integrated coolant control products, driving new business wins.
Geographic Expansion: Focused on expanding geographically with fast-growing customers, particularly in China, where revenue from Chinese OEMs is expected to grow at a CAGR of over 15% between 2025 and 2028.
Chinese OEMs: Currently, 36% of revenue in China comes from Chinese OEMs, expected to grow to over 60% by 2030. Total sales to Chinese OEMs globally are expected to triple over the next 5 years.
Operational Efficiencies: Achieved $64 million in cost savings from plant efficiency improvements and lean initiatives, and $18 million in savings from salary reductions.
Safety Performance: Achieved a safety incident rate of 0.24 per 200,000 hours worked, surpassing the world-class benchmark of 0.47.
Strategic Focus: Focused on leveraging operational improvements and innovation to drive margin expansion and profitable growth.
Debt Management: Planning to refinance certain outstanding debt, targeting a refinancing transaction in the near future.
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Risk or Challenges
Customer Supply Chain Disruption: Significant production disruptions from a top customer on a key vehicle program during Q4 2025 negatively impacted production volumes and financial performance.
Inflationary Pressures: Continued inflationary headwinds, including wage and energy cost increases, impacted operating costs and profitability.
Volume and Mix Challenges: Unfavorable volume and mix, including customer price adjustments and recoveries, reduced sales and impacted adjusted EBITDA.
Debt Refinancing Uncertainty: The company is monitoring debt markets for refinancing options, but timing is market-dependent, creating potential financial uncertainty.
Dependence on Key Platforms: Approximately 45% of planned revenue for 2026 is tied to 10 key platforms, which could pose risks if production volumes fluctuate.
China Market Dependence: Aggressive expansion into the Chinese market and reliance on Chinese OEMs for growth could expose the company to geopolitical and market-specific risks.
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Guidance & Outlook
Revenue Growth: The company expects an increase in sales of around 3% for 2026, based on the most recent industry production outlook.
Margin Expansion: The company anticipates achieving double-digit EBITDA margin for the full year 2026, with the first quarter being the weakest in terms of margins and cash flow, but improving steadily throughout the year.
China Market Growth: Revenue attributable to China is expected to grow at a CAGR of over 15% between 2025 and 2028. Additionally, the company plans to triple its total sales to Chinese OEMs globally over the next five years.
New Business Awards: The company received nearly $300 million in net new business awards in 2025, with 74% related to battery electric or hybrid vehicle platforms. This is expected to support sales growth exceeding the market in 2026.
Long-Term Financial Outlook: The company aims to reduce its net leverage ratio to 2x or lower by 2028 and triple its return on invested capital by the same year.
Product Segment Growth: Both product segments are expected to grow significantly over the next few years, supported by operational improvements and investments in innovation.
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Shareholder Return Plan
The selected topic was not discussed during the call.
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Key Q&A
Q:On Slide 20, the bridge to the $280 million of adjusted EBITDA includes $90 million from lean initiatives. Are there any significant initiatives worth mentioning?
A:Jonathan Banas (CFO) stated that it is business as usual for the team, focusing on continuous improvement in manufacturing and supply chain. There is nothing unusual within the $90 million.
Q:Does the $10 million volume, mix, and price include new products like eCoFlow?
A:Jeffrey Edwards (CEO) confirmed that it includes all new business booked in 2023, 2024, and 2025, whether launched or in launch. He also mentioned high confidence in the $90 million lean initiatives, with over 90% already identified for 2026.
Q:Does the volume mix bar include new products and the shift to hybrids?
A:Jeffrey Edwards confirmed it does and explained that their 3-year business plan (2026-2028) is clear and predictable, with over 95% of business for 2027 and 2028 already booked.
Q:Is the F-Series production back to normal?
A:Jonathan Banas mentioned that production is ramping up based on releases but avoided detailed comments. Jeffrey Edwards added that it is moving as predicted but did not provide specifics.
Q:What are you seeing with schedules from manufacturers, particularly for key models like the F-Series?
A:Jeffrey Edwards noted that the customer predicts 150,000 additional units in 2026 compared to 2025, which is 60,000 units above their plan. He mentioned cautious optimism but no specific insights into production timing.
Q:Have you seen any lump sum cash contributions for BEV-related projects, and do you expect any in 2026?
A:Jeffrey Edwards confirmed they finished some negotiations in 2025 and expect more in 2026, with most contributions being lump sums.
Q:Is there urgency to complete refinancing before March when notes become current?
A:Jonathan Banas stated they prefer to complete refinancing before the first and third lien notes come current in mid-March and mid-May, respectively, to avoid added pressure.
Q:What is included in the 2026 guide from net new business wins in 2023 and 2024, and how will they layer in over the next few years?
A:Jeffrey Edwards explained that the $300 million booked in 2025 will take 2-3 years to roll into the portfolio, with faster timelines for Chinese OEMs. He emphasized margin expansion and execution of launches.
Q:Why does the revenue guidance for 2026 appear lower than expected despite tailwinds from FX and new business wins?
A:Jeffrey Edwards attributed it to down market predictions by S&P, with North America, Europe, and China volumes expected to decline. He highlighted significant revenue and EBITDA growth despite these challenges.
Q:What are the expectations for free cash flow in 2026?
A:Jonathan Banas mentioned increased capital expenditures, higher cash taxes, investments in tooling for new business, and working capital tied up due to higher revenue. These factors will impact free cash flow.
Q:What is the mix shift in revenues from Chinese OEMs, and what are the contract protections in China?
A:Jeffrey Edwards stated that the focus is on increasing Chinese OEM business in China from 36% to 60% of Asia Pacific revenues over the next 3 years. He emphasized strong relationships, no IP issues, and critical product performance.
Q:What variables could have the biggest impact on the 2026 guidance?
A:Jeffrey Edwards identified volume and mix as the primary factors, with minimal impact from raw material fluctuations due to indexed contracts. Tariffs could also be a factor, particularly for the Fluid business.
Q:Review of Unclear Management Responses
A:Management avoided providing specific details on F-Series production timing and lump sum cash contributions for BEV projects. They also used cautious and vague language regarding the impact of tariffs and volume/mix on 2026 guidance.
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Earnings Word Cloud
The most frequently occurring keywords in this quarter's earning call
China OEMs
Cooper Standard
Fluid
Sealing
Systems
action
adjustment recovery
asset utilization
cash hand
color
credit facility
culture
customer production
customer supply
debt
disruption production
disruption volume
efficiency margin
estimate
exchange sale
expansion cash
flow cash
incentive compensation
increase improvement
industry
integrity
liquidity balance
margin expansion
margin term
material
pricing recovery
production disruption
purchasing efficiency
recovery sale
relationship year
success
supply chain
work
CPS Transcript
Cooper-Standard Holdings Inc. (CPS) Q4 2025 Earnings Call Transcript
Unknown2-13
The earnings call presented mixed signals: improved net loss and positive free cash flow are offset by reduced guidance and supply chain disruptions. The Q&A highlighted management's cautious optimism, but also noted uncertainties in production and revenue guidance. The alignment with electric vehicle trends and strong relationships with Chinese OEMs are positive, yet the lack of specific guidance details and refinancing urgency create uncertainties. These mixed factors suggest a neutral stock price movement in the short term.
Cooper-Standard Holdings Inc. (CPS) Q3 2025 Earnings Call Transcript
Unknown10-31
The earnings call presents mixed signals. Financial performance shows slight improvement with increased sales and EBITDA, but higher costs and inflation pressures remain concerning. The Q&A highlights potential growth in 2026 and linear margin expansion, yet uncertainties like production delays and unclear guidance on new business breakdowns persist. Positive cash flow and liquidity are promising, but the lack of clear guidance on certain aspects tempers optimism. Thus, the overall sentiment is neutral, with no strong catalysts for significant stock price movement in either direction.
Cooper-Standard Holdings Inc. (CPS) Q2 2025 Earnings Call Transcript
Positive8-1
The company reported improved financial metrics, including a shift from a net loss to a positive adjusted net income, increased gross profit and EBITDA margins, and strong liquidity. The Q&A session confirmed significant new business and margin expansion potential, with conservative forecasts suggesting further upside. These factors, combined with a successful refinancing outlook, indicate a positive sentiment for the stock price over the next two weeks.
Cooper-Standard Holdings Inc. (CPS) Q1 2025 Earnings Call Transcript
Unknown5-2
The earnings call reveals mixed signals. While there is positive momentum in EBITDA and net income, sales have slightly declined. The absence of a share repurchase or dividend program, coupled with ongoing inflation and tariff challenges, dampens sentiment. Management's unclear responses in the Q&A about EVs and production levels add uncertainty. However, the maintenance of guidance and expected recovery of tariff costs provide stability. Given these factors, and without market cap data, a neutral stock price movement (-2% to 2%) is predicted.
CPS Slides
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